Equity Profile

MBLY

Mobileye Global Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$7.6B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Mobileye Global Inc. is a leader in advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous driving technologies....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating revenue.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet consumer demand, which is vital for future investments.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MBLY Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Mobileye Global Inc. is a leader in advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous driving technologies. Operating in the Consumer Discretionary sector, the company plays a crucial role in the automotive parts and equipment industry, focusing on enhancing vehicle safety and efficiency through innovative technology.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+1071.80%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.03%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Mobileye reported an EPS of $0.12, significantly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining over 10% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on innovation in autonomous driving technology.
Commitment to expanding partnerships with automotive manufacturers.
Plans to enhance product offerings in the driver-assistance systems market.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given the company's strong performance in previous quarters. However, there are concerns about whether Mobileye can maintain its growth trajectory.

Bull Case

If Mobileye continues to deliver strong earnings and demonstrates robust revenue growth, it could solidify its position as a market leader in automotive technology.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the volatility in the automotive sector.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What specific revenue growth can Mobileye report from its new partnerships?

This will indicate the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and sustain its growth momentum.

How does Mobileye plan to address competition in the autonomous driving space?

Understanding their strategy against competitors will help gauge their long-term viability and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Mobileye's potential for revenue growth due to its unique technology offerings that differentiate it from competitors.

Supporting Evidence

The company's consistent EPS beats suggest stronger operational efficiency than anticipated.

Options pricing indicates a lower expected volatility, which may not reflect the company's growth potential.

Key Risk

If Mobileye's revenue growth exceeds 15%, it could challenge the current cautious market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around Mobileye's ability to sustain growth amidst increasing competition and market challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

Demonstrating revenue growth of 15% or more year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Any revenue decline or lack of new partnership announcements could confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.20%

Historical Avg

±7.9%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 5.2%, which is lower than the historical average of 7.88%, suggesting a more stable outlook than in previous quarters.

Options are pricing ±5.2% while MBLY has averaged ±7.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

61.8%

Calls (1.8M)P/C Ratio: 0.08Puts (148K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Mobileye beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 7.88%, confirming strong market confidence.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management expresses caution, the stock may see limited movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 3.4%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new partnerships and their expected impact on revenue.
2Updates on product innovations in autonomous driving technology.
3Management's outlook on competition in the automotive tech space.
4Any commentary on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
5Insights into customer demand trends for Mobileye's products.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Mobileye Global Inc. is a leader in advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous driving technologies....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating revenue.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet consumer demand, which is vital for future investments.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MBLY Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+1071.80%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.03%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Mobileye reported an EPS of $0.12, significantly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining over 10% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on innovation in autonomous driving technology.
Commitment to expanding partnerships with automotive manufacturers.
Plans to enhance product offerings in the driver-assistance systems market.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Mobileye continues to deliver strong earnings and demonstrates robust revenue growth, it could solidify its position as a market leader in automotive technology.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the volatility in the automotive sector.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What specific revenue growth can Mobileye report from its new partnerships?

This will indicate the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and sustain its growth momentum.

How does Mobileye plan to address competition in the autonomous driving space?

Understanding their strategy against competitors will help gauge their long-term viability and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Mobileye's potential for revenue growth due to its unique technology offerings that differentiate it from competitors.

Supporting Evidence

The company's consistent EPS beats suggest stronger operational efficiency than anticipated.

Options pricing indicates a lower expected volatility, which may not reflect the company's growth potential.

Key Risk

If Mobileye's revenue growth exceeds 15%, it could challenge the current cautious market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around Mobileye's ability to sustain growth amidst increasing competition and market challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

Demonstrating revenue growth of 15% or more year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Any revenue decline or lack of new partnership announcements could confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.20%

Historical Avg

±7.9%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 5.2%, which is lower than the historical average of 7.88%, suggesting a more stable outlook than in previous quarters.

Options are pricing ±5.2% while MBLY has averaged ±7.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

61.8%

Calls (1.8M)P/C Ratio: 0.08Puts (148K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Mobileye beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 7.88%, confirming strong market confidence.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management expresses caution, the stock may see limited movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 3.4%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new partnerships and their expected impact on revenue.
2Updates on product innovations in autonomous driving technology.
3Management's outlook on competition in the automotive tech space.
4Any commentary on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
5Insights into customer demand trends for Mobileye's products.