Equity Profile

MDLZ

Mondelez International, Inc.

Consumer StaplesPackaged Foods & Meats$81.1B

Apr28Tue

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:05 PM EDT

Mondelez International Beats on EPS, Stock Up 1.95%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.67	$0.61	+9.66%
Revenue	N/A	$9.8B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Mondelez International Beats on EPS, Stock Up 1.95%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.67	$0.61	+9.66%
Revenue	N/A	$9.8B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Cautiously Optimistic

Management expressed satisfaction with the EPS results, highlighting effective cost management. They emphasized ongoing efforts to strengthen their market position.

We are pleased with our EPS performance this quarter.

Our focus remains on driving growth in key markets.

What It Means

Mondelez International's strong EPS performance, exceeding expectations, led to a positive stock reaction, with shares rising by 1.95%. The company did not provide revenue figures or future guidance, leaving some uncertainty. However, management's comments suggest a commitment to growth and efficiency, which may reassure investors.

Company Snapshot

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a leading global snack company known for its popular brands like Oreo and Cadbury....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating profits.

0.61

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and market demand for its products, which is crucial for understanding growth.

9.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a leading global snack company known for its popular brands like Oreo and Cadbury. Operating in the consumer staples sector, Mondelez plays a significant role in the packaged foods industry, which is influenced by consumer spending trends and preferences for convenient snacks.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+7.58%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter (Q4-2025), Mondelez reported an EPS of $0.72, beating estimates by 3.15%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.33% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding product lines to meet consumer demand.
Commitment to improving supply chain efficiency.
Plans to enhance marketing strategies for key brands.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Mondelez's upcoming earnings, expecting it to meet or slightly exceed EPS and revenue estimates.

Bull Case

If Mondelez delivers strong sales growth driven by new product launches and effective marketing, it could exceed expectations and see a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company faces challenges such as rising costs or weaker consumer demand, it may miss expectations, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.61

Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating profits.

Revenue

9.8B

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and market demand for its products, which is crucial for understanding growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Mondelez's revenue meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $9.8 billion?

Revenue performance is critical to understanding the company's growth trajectory and market demand for its products.

How will management address cost pressures and their impact on profit margins?

With rising costs in the industry, insights into how Mondelez plans to manage expenses will be crucial for investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Mondelez's ability to leverage new product launches and marketing strategies, which could drive stronger sales than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

Mondelez has a history of beating EPS estimates, with an 88% success rate over the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a significant surprise.

Recent trends in consumer preferences towards snacks could favor Mondelez's product lineup.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in below $9.4 billion, it could challenge the optimistic growth narrative.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Mondelez's ability to balance growth with cost management, especially in a competitive environment.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue figure above $9.8 billion, indicating strong consumer demand and effective product strategies.

Bear Confirmed If

Revenue falling below $9.4 billion, suggesting weaker sales and potential challenges in the market.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.4%

Historical Avg

±1.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±4.4% while MDLZ has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

23.6%

Calls (60K)P/C Ratio: 4.18Puts (253K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 24 (46%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 11 of 24 faded and 13 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.0%, with a raw directional average of +1.1% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Mondelez beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.97%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 2.25%, as seen in past quarters when expectations were not met.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Management's insights on cost pressures and strategies to maintain margins.
3Any commentary on consumer trends and demand for snack products.
4Details on marketing initiatives and their effectiveness in driving brand growth.
5Guidance on future revenue expectations and market conditions.

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Company Snapshot

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a leading global snack company known for its popular brands like Oreo and Cadbury....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating profits.

0.61

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and market demand for its products, which is crucial for understanding growth.

9.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+7.58%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter (Q4-2025), Mondelez reported an EPS of $0.72, beating estimates by 3.15%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.33% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding product lines to meet consumer demand.
Commitment to improving supply chain efficiency.
Plans to enhance marketing strategies for key brands.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Mondelez's upcoming earnings, expecting it to meet or slightly exceed EPS and revenue estimates.

Bull Case

If Mondelez delivers strong sales growth driven by new product launches and effective marketing, it could exceed expectations and see a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company faces challenges such as rising costs or weaker consumer demand, it may miss expectations, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.61

Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well Mondelez is managing costs and generating profits.

Revenue

9.8B

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and market demand for its products, which is crucial for understanding growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Mondelez's revenue meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $9.8 billion?

Revenue performance is critical to understanding the company's growth trajectory and market demand for its products.

How will management address cost pressures and their impact on profit margins?

With rising costs in the industry, insights into how Mondelez plans to manage expenses will be crucial for investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Mondelez's ability to leverage new product launches and marketing strategies, which could drive stronger sales than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

Mondelez has a history of beating EPS estimates, with an 88% success rate over the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a significant surprise.

Recent trends in consumer preferences towards snacks could favor Mondelez's product lineup.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in below $9.4 billion, it could challenge the optimistic growth narrative.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Mondelez's ability to balance growth with cost management, especially in a competitive environment.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue figure above $9.8 billion, indicating strong consumer demand and effective product strategies.

Bear Confirmed If

Revenue falling below $9.4 billion, suggesting weaker sales and potential challenges in the market.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.4%

Historical Avg

±1.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±4.4% while MDLZ has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

23.6%

Calls (60K)P/C Ratio: 4.18Puts (253K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 24 (46%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Mondelez beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.97%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 2.25%, as seen in past quarters when expectations were not met.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Management's insights on cost pressures and strategies to maintain margins.
3Any commentary on consumer trends and demand for snack products.
4Details on marketing initiatives and their effectiveness in driving brand growth.
5Guidance on future revenue expectations and market conditions.