Financials·Mortgage REITs·$16.6B
Annalay Capital Management Inc. (NLY) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily invests in mortgage-backed securities....
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing its investments amidst changing interest rates.
Dividend Yield
As a REIT, NLY is expected to provide dividends, and any changes could impact investor sentiment significantly.
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EPS Beat Streak
6Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+2.76%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.32%
In Q1 2026, NLY reported an EPS of $0.76, beating estimates by nearly 3%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, expectations are mixed ahead of NLY's earnings report. While the company has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, the market reaction has not always been positive.
Bull Case
If NLY continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong management and effective investment strategies, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear Case
On the other hand, if the earnings report reveals any signs of declining profitability or challenges in the mortgage market, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing its investments amidst changing interest rates.
Dividend Yield
N/AAs a REIT, NLY is expected to provide dividends, and any changes could impact investor sentiment significantly.
Net Interest Margin
N/AThis metric reflects the profitability of NLY's investment portfolio, particularly in a fluctuating interest rate environment.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will be the EPS for Q2 2026?
EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and any significant change could impact investor confidence.
Q2
How is NLY managing its net interest margin in the current interest rate environment?
Understanding the net interest margin will provide insights into the company's profitability and operational efficiency.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the impact of rising interest rates on NLY's net interest margin, which could lead to better-than-expected profitability.
Supporting Evidence
NLY has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting strong management.
The historical trend shows that even small beats have not resulted in significant stock gains, indicating potential undervaluation.
The current economic environment may favor NLY's investment strategy more than anticipated.
Key Risk
If the net interest margin exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of NLY's profitability.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate this quarter revolves around NLY's ability to maintain profitability amidst fluctuating interest rates and market conditions.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.80 or higher would confirm strong performance and effective management.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.70 would raise concerns about profitability and management effectiveness.
Implied Move
±N/A
There is no options market data available to gauge investor sentiment ahead of the earnings report.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If NLY beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.68%, confirming strong operational performance.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 0.46%, indicating investor disappointment and concerns about future performance.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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