Information Technology·Semiconductors·$5.1T
NVIDIA Corp is a leading technology company that specializes in semiconductors, particularly graphics processing units (GPUs). Their products are crucial for gaming, artificial intelligence, and data centers, making them a key player in the rapidly growing tech sector.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, and it helps investors gauge how well the company is performing compared to expectations.
Revenue
Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales, which is vital for sustaining its market position and funding future innovations.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
3Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+11.78%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.50%
In the last quarter, NVIDIA reported an EPS of $1.62, exceeding expectations by 11.57%. The company continues to show strong performance in its core segments, particularly in gaming and AI.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect NVIDIA to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $1.77 and revenue of $78.8B. The market is closely watching for any signs of growth in AI and data center revenues.
Bull Case
If NVIDIA beats earnings expectations, it could signal strong demand for its AI products, potentially driving the stock higher as investors gain confidence in its growth trajectory.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company misses on EPS or revenue, it may raise concerns about slowing demand in key segments, leading to a negative reaction in the stock.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.77EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, and it helps investors gauge how well the company is performing compared to expectations.
Revenue
$78.8BRevenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales, which is vital for sustaining its market position and funding future innovations.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will NVIDIA's revenue from AI-related products exceed $30B?
This figure will indicate the strength of demand in a key growth area and could significantly impact investor sentiment.
Q2
How will gross margins hold up in the face of rising competition?
Maintaining strong margins is crucial for profitability, and any decline could raise concerns about the company's pricing power.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate NVIDIA's growth in AI, as recent trends indicate a stronger-than-expected demand for AI chips that could push revenue higher than anticipated.
Supporting Evidence
Options pricing suggests a 5% move, but historical data shows the stock has often reacted more strongly to positive surprises.
Recent commentary from industry peers indicates robust demand for AI technologies, which could benefit NVIDIA more than expected.
Key Risk
If AI revenue significantly exceeds $30B, it could shift market expectations and validate a more aggressive growth outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether NVIDIA can sustain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition and changing market dynamics.
Bull Confirmed If
Revenue from AI products exceeding $30B would confirm strong demand and growth potential.
Bear Confirmed If
If gross margins fall below 65%, it would raise red flags about profitability and competitive pressures.
Implied Move
±5%
Historical Avg
±1.5%
The options market is pricing in a potential move of 5% in either direction following the earnings report, indicating uncertainty among investors.
Options are pricing ±10.6% while NVDA has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If NVIDIA beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 3.9%, confirming strong demand for its products.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line, management's commentary will be crucial, and the stock may see muted movement as investors assess future guidance.
Miss
Should NVIDIA miss on earnings, history suggests a potential decline of around 1.5%, reflecting investor disappointment.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VIKING HLDGS LTD
May 19, 2026