Financials·Property & Casualty Insurance·$4.9B
RLI Corp is a property and casualty insurance company that operates in the financial sector. With a market cap of $5 billion, it plays a significant role in providing various insurance products, which are essential for managing risk in both personal and commercial sectors.
EPS (Earnings Per Share)
EPS is a critical measure of a company's profitability and will indicate how well RLI is managing its costs and generating income.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth is vital for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and maintain competitiveness in the insurance industry.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
75%
Avg EPS Surprise
+15.59%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.61%
In Q1 2026, RLI reported an EPS of $0.83, slightly missing the estimate of $0.84. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 2.21% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall expectations for RLI's upcoming earnings are mixed, given the recent earnings miss and the lack of analyst estimates. Investors will be closely watching for any signs of recovery.
Bull Case
The optimistic view hinges on RLI delivering better-than-expected EPS and demonstrating strong revenue growth, signaling effective management and market resilience.
Bear Case
On the downside, if RLI reports another earnings miss or shows weak revenue growth, it could raise concerns about its competitive position and profitability.
EPS (Earnings Per Share)
N/AEPS is a critical measure of a company's profitability and will indicate how well RLI is managing its costs and generating income.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth is vital for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and maintain competitiveness in the insurance industry.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will the EPS be for Q2-2026, and how does it compare to the previous quarter?
The EPS figure will be crucial in determining whether RLI is on a recovery path or facing continued challenges.
Q2
How is RLI managing its costs and what are the expectations for revenue growth?
Understanding cost management and revenue expectations will give insights into RLI's operational efficiency and market position.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating RLI's ability to rebound from recent challenges, particularly in cost management and market positioning.
Supporting Evidence
RLI has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates 75% of the time, suggesting potential for positive surprises.
Despite recent misses, the company's historical performance indicates resilience in challenging market conditions.
Key Risk
If RLI's EPS exceeds $0.90, it could shift market sentiment significantly, challenging the current cautious outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is under scrutiny as RLI seeks to recover from a recent earnings miss, making EPS and revenue growth critical indicators.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.90 or higher would confirm a positive outlook and suggest effective cost management.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.80 would indicate ongoing challenges and could lead to further investor concern.
Implied Move
±N/A
There is no options market data available to gauge investor sentiment or expected volatility around the earnings report.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If RLI beats expectations with strong EPS and revenue growth, history suggests the stock could rise, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.
In-Line / Cautious
If RLI meets expectations but offers cautious commentary, the stock may remain stable, reflecting uncertainty in the market.
Miss
If RLI misses expectations again, history suggests a potential decline in stock price, reinforcing concerns about its competitive position.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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BERKLEY W R CORP
Jul 20, 2026