Equity Profile
Pre-Earnings Brief
Sunrun Inc (RUN) is a leading residential solar energy company that designs, installs, and maintains solar energy systems. As a key player in the renewable energy sector, Sunrun is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for clean energy solutions amid increasing consumer interest in sustainability and energy independence.
EPS
Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability, and analysts expect a loss this quarter, which could impact investor sentiment.
Revenue
Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and growth trajectory in the competitive solar market.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
5Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+395.78%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.77%
In the last quarter, Sunrun surprised analysts with a positive EPS of $0.38, significantly higher than the expected loss. This strong performance led to a modest stock increase the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Sunrun's upcoming earnings, with expectations for a slight loss but potential for revenue growth. The market is closely watching how the company navigates the challenges in the solar industry.
Bull Case
If Sunrun can report better-than-expected revenue and show signs of profitability, it could signal strong demand for solar solutions and boost investor confidence.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or reports larger losses, it may raise concerns about its market position and growth strategy.
EPS
$-0.05Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability, and analysts expect a loss this quarter, which could impact investor sentiment.
Revenue
$639MRevenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and growth trajectory in the competitive solar market.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will Sunrun achieve revenue of at least $639 million this quarter?
This figure is crucial for assessing the company's growth and market demand, and a miss could signal deeper issues.
Q2
What is the outlook for profitability given the expected EPS loss?
Understanding management's perspective on future profitability will be key for investor confidence moving forward.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Sunrun's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for renewable energy, as recent trends show increased consumer interest.
Supporting Evidence
The company has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, suggesting potential for positive surprises.
Options pricing indicates a significant move, reflecting uncertainty that could work in Sunrun's favor if they deliver strong results.
Key Risk
If revenue exceeds $639 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift investor outlook.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating Sunrun's ability to maintain growth while managing costs in a competitive landscape.
Bull Confirmed If
Achieving revenue above $639 million with a path to profitability would confirm the bullish outlook.
Bear Confirmed If
Reporting a larger-than-expected loss or revenue below $439 million would validate the bearish concerns.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±21.77%
Historical Avg
±3.1%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation surrounding the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±21.8% while RUN has averaged ±3.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.9%
30d HV
65.1%
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Sunrun beats expectations, history suggests a modest stock increase, confirming the company's growth potential.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line report may lead to a mixed reaction, as investors weigh management's commentary on future prospects.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, the average reaction has been a decline, indicating potential investor disappointment.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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