Information Technology·Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals·$17.5B
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is a technology company that specializes in high-performance computing solutions and storage systems. As part of the Information Technology sector, it plays a crucial role in the growing demand for cloud computing and data center infrastructure, especially with the increasing focus on AI and big data.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand, particularly in the competitive tech landscape.
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Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is a technology company that specializes in high-performance computing solutions and storage systems. As part of the Information Technology sector, it plays a crucial role in the growing demand for cloud computing and data center infrastructure, especially with the increasing focus on AI and big data.
EPS Beat Streak
4Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+31.38%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.21%
In the last quarter, Super Micro Computer reported an EPS of $0.69, significantly surpassing estimates by nearly 70%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions despite the strong earnings surprise.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, expectations for Super Micro Computer's upcoming earnings are cautious, with investors looking for signs of sustained growth and profitability. The market is particularly interested in any updates regarding revenue and margin trends.
Bull Case
If the company reports strong revenue growth and maintains healthy margins, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive market reaction.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the earnings report reveals declining margins or stagnant revenue growth, it may raise concerns about the company's competitive position and future prospects.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand, particularly in the competitive tech landscape.
Gross Margin
N/AGross margin indicates how efficiently the company is producing its products and managing costs, which is vital for maintaining profitability.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What is the expected revenue growth rate for the upcoming quarter?
Revenue growth will be a critical indicator of the company's ability to capture market demand and sustain its competitive edge.
Q2
How is Super Micro managing its gross margins in the current economic environment?
Understanding margin management will help investors gauge the company's efficiency and profitability amidst rising costs in the tech sector.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate Super Micro's ability to leverage its high-performance computing solutions for increased market share, especially in AI-driven sectors.
Supporting Evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger-than-expected demand.
Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting investor uncertainty that could be resolved positively.
Recent trends in cloud computing and AI are likely to drive demand for Super Micro's products.
Key Risk
If revenue growth exceeds 15%, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of the company's market position.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will hinge on the company's ability to demonstrate strong revenue growth and effective cost management in a competitive environment.
Bull Confirmed If
Revenue growth of 15% year-over-year or better, with gross margins exceeding 30%.
Bear Confirmed If
Revenue growth of less than 5% year-over-year, with gross margins dropping below 25%.
Implied Move
±5%
Historical Avg
±3.2%
The options market is pricing in a potential move of 5% in either direction following the earnings report, suggesting that investors expect significant volatility.
Options are pricing ±5.0% while SMCI has averaged ±3.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Super Micro beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a modest increase of around 0.05% on the first day, confirming a positive outlook for growth.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors reassess future growth prospects.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 1.33%, indicating market disappointment and concerns about future performance.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
PLAINS ALL AMERICAN
Feb 7, 2025