Equity Profile

STM

STMicroelectronics N.V.

Information TechnologySemiconductors$62.9B

Jul23Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) is a global semiconductor company that designs and manufactures a wide range of electronic components....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Understanding revenue growth is essential to gauge the company's ability to capitalize on market demand and its overall financial health.

N/A

Gross Margin

Gross margin indicates how efficiently STM is producing its products and is a key indicator of profitability.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STM Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) is a global semiconductor company that designs and manufactures a wide range of electronic components. As a key player in the Information Technology sector, STM is crucial for various industries, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics, especially as demand for advanced technologies like AI and IoT continues to grow.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

-5.28%

Avg Stock Reaction

-5.32%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, STM reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13, which was significantly below the expected $0.19, leading to a 10.81% increase in stock price the following day. This trend of missing expectations has raised concerns about the company's growth trajectory.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautious ahead of STM's upcoming earnings report, especially given the company's recent performance, which has seen several misses against analyst expectations. The market is looking for signs of recovery and growth in revenue and margins.

Bull Case

If STM can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a turnaround, leading to increased investor confidence and a potential rise in stock price.

Bear Case

Continued misses on earnings and revenue could reinforce negative sentiment, leading to further declines in stock price as investors lose faith in the company's growth prospects.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the revenue growth rate for the semiconductor segment this quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of STM's ability to capture market share and respond to demand in the semiconductor industry.

How has STM managed its gross margins in the face of rising production costs?

Gross margins will reflect the company's operational efficiency and pricing power, which are critical for long-term profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate STM's ability to leverage its technology in emerging markets, particularly in automotive and IoT applications, which could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

STM has a strong position in automotive semiconductors, which are in high demand as electric vehicles gain traction.

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility, suggesting that there may be more at stake than current consensus reflects.

Key Risk

If STM reports a significant uptick in automotive semiconductor sales, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on STM's ability to navigate market challenges and demonstrate growth in a competitive semiconductor landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate exceeding 10% would confirm the bull case and suggest strong demand for STM's products.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue decline or stagnation would confirm the bear case and raise concerns about STM's market position.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±14.33%

Historical Avg

±9.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 14.33%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±16.6% while STM has averaged ±9.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

58.6%

Calls (2.8M)P/C Ratio: 0.33Puts (215K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STM beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 9.82%, confirming a positive outlook for the company.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to muted reactions as investors assess management's commentary on future growth prospects.

Miss

If STM misses expectations again, history suggests a decline of approximately 3.56%, which could further dampen investor sentiment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships in the automotive sector.
2Details on how STM is addressing supply chain challenges.
3Insights into market demand for IoT products and how STM plans to capitalize on it.
4Management's outlook on gross margin trends amid rising costs.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures and how STM plans to differentiate its offerings.

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Company Snapshot

STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) is a global semiconductor company that designs and manufactures a wide range of electronic components....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Understanding revenue growth is essential to gauge the company's ability to capitalize on market demand and its overall financial health.

N/A

Gross Margin

Gross margin indicates how efficiently STM is producing its products and is a key indicator of profitability.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STM Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

-5.28%

Avg Stock Reaction

-5.32%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If STM can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a turnaround, leading to increased investor confidence and a potential rise in stock price.

Bear Case

Continued misses on earnings and revenue could reinforce negative sentiment, leading to further declines in stock price as investors lose faith in the company's growth prospects.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the revenue growth rate for the semiconductor segment this quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of STM's ability to capture market share and respond to demand in the semiconductor industry.

How has STM managed its gross margins in the face of rising production costs?

Gross margins will reflect the company's operational efficiency and pricing power, which are critical for long-term profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate STM's ability to leverage its technology in emerging markets, particularly in automotive and IoT applications, which could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

STM has a strong position in automotive semiconductors, which are in high demand as electric vehicles gain traction.

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility, suggesting that there may be more at stake than current consensus reflects.

Key Risk

If STM reports a significant uptick in automotive semiconductor sales, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on STM's ability to navigate market challenges and demonstrate growth in a competitive semiconductor landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate exceeding 10% would confirm the bull case and suggest strong demand for STM's products.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue decline or stagnation would confirm the bear case and raise concerns about STM's market position.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±14.33%

Historical Avg

±9.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 14.33%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±16.6% while STM has averaged ±9.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

58.6%

Calls (2.8M)P/C Ratio: 0.33Puts (215K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STM beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 9.82%, confirming a positive outlook for the company.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to muted reactions as investors assess management's commentary on future growth prospects.

Miss

If STM misses expectations again, history suggests a decline of approximately 3.56%, which could further dampen investor sentiment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships in the automotive sector.
2Details on how STM is addressing supply chain challenges.
3Insights into market demand for IoT products and how STM plans to capitalize on it.
4Management's outlook on gross margin trends amid rising costs.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures and how STM plans to differentiate its offerings.