Equity Profile

USFD

US Foods Holding Corp.

Consumer StaplesFood Distributors$18.0B

May7Thu

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market6:45 AM EDT

US Foods Holding Corp. Misses on Revenue, Stock Down 5.62%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.78	$0.81	+4.00%
Revenue	—	$9.6B	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

US Foods Holding Corp. Misses on Revenue, Stock Down 5.62%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.78	$0.81	+4.00%
Revenue	—	$9.6B	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record for this earnings call, so the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

US Foods reported earnings with an EPS of $0.78, slightly below the expected $0.81. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, contributing to a negative stock reaction of 5.62%. Investors may be concerned about the lack of revenue transparency and guidance, which could impact future performance.

Company Snapshot

US Foods Holding Corp. is a major food distributor in the Consumer Staples sector, providing a wide range of food products to restaurants and food service operations....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps assess the company's financial health.

0.81

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

9.6B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

US Foods Holding Corp. is a major food distributor in the Consumer Staples sector, providing a wide range of food products to restaurants and food service operations. As consumer spending on dining out continues to evolve, USFD plays a crucial role in the supply chain, making its performance important for investors to monitor.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.33%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.75%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, US Foods reported an EPS of $1.04, surpassing estimates by 10.87%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 13.40% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are expecting US Foods to report solid earnings this quarter, with an EPS of $0.81 and revenue of $9.6 billion. The company has consistently beaten earnings expectations in the past.

Bull Case

If US Foods continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and demand, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

However, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a negative market reaction, especially given the current economic pressures.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.81

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps assess the company's financial health.

Revenue

9.6B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will US Foods achieve an EPS of $0.81 or higher?

Achieving or exceeding this EPS target will reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could boost investor confidence.

What guidance will management provide regarding revenue growth?

Management's outlook on revenue growth will be crucial for understanding future performance and market conditions.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate US Foods' ability to capitalize on increased demand for food services, particularly as dining out rebounds post-pandemic.

Supporting Evidence

USFD has consistently beaten EPS expectations, indicating strong operational management.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that traders expect significant volatility.

The recent positive earnings surprises could indicate a trend that the market has not fully priced in.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly outpaces expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching US Foods' ability to maintain profitability and revenue growth amid economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.85 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.77 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential challenges ahead.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.77%

Historical Avg

±4.4%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating uncertainty or anticipation of volatility.

Options are pricing ±6.2% while USFD has averaged ±4.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

24.5%

Calls (2K)P/C Ratio: 0.54Puts (1K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If US Foods beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.03%, confirming strong operational strength.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors assess management's commentary and outlook.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline, which could reflect investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain improvements and their impact on costs.
2Insights into customer demand trends in the food service industry.
3Details on any new product offerings or partnerships.
4Management's outlook on inflation and its effects on pricing strategies.
5Guidance on expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarters.

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Company Snapshot

US Foods Holding Corp. is a major food distributor in the Consumer Staples sector, providing a wide range of food products to restaurants and food service operations....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps assess the company's financial health.

0.81

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

9.6B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.33%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.75%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, US Foods reported an EPS of $1.04, surpassing estimates by 10.87%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 13.40% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are expecting US Foods to report solid earnings this quarter, with an EPS of $0.81 and revenue of $9.6 billion. The company has consistently beaten earnings expectations in the past.

Bull Case

If US Foods continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and demand, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

However, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a negative market reaction, especially given the current economic pressures.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.81

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps assess the company's financial health.

Revenue

9.6B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will US Foods achieve an EPS of $0.81 or higher?

Achieving or exceeding this EPS target will reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could boost investor confidence.

What guidance will management provide regarding revenue growth?

Management's outlook on revenue growth will be crucial for understanding future performance and market conditions.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate US Foods' ability to capitalize on increased demand for food services, particularly as dining out rebounds post-pandemic.

Supporting Evidence

USFD has consistently beaten EPS expectations, indicating strong operational management.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that traders expect significant volatility.

The recent positive earnings surprises could indicate a trend that the market has not fully priced in.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly outpaces expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching US Foods' ability to maintain profitability and revenue growth amid economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.85 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.77 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential challenges ahead.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.77%

Historical Avg

±4.4%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating uncertainty or anticipation of volatility.

Options are pricing ±6.2% while USFD has averaged ±4.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

24.5%

Calls (2K)P/C Ratio: 0.54Puts (1K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If US Foods beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.03%, confirming strong operational strength.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors assess management's commentary and outlook.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline, which could reflect investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain improvements and their impact on costs.
2Insights into customer demand trends in the food service industry.
3Details on any new product offerings or partnerships.
4Management's outlook on inflation and its effects on pricing strategies.
5Guidance on expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarters.