Equity Profile

XMTR

Xometry, Inc.

IndustrialsTrading Companies & Distributors$4.4B

May7Thu

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market7:05 AM EDT

Xometry Beats on EPS, Stock Up 39.18%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.12	$0.09	+182.76%
Revenue	—	$188M	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Xometry Beats on EPS, Stock Up 39.18%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.12	$0.09	+182.76%
Revenue	—	$188M	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

Xometry's earnings report showed a strong earnings per share performance, beating expectations significantly. The stock reacted positively, rising by 39.18%, likely driven by the better-than-expected EPS. However, the lack of revenue data and guidance leaves some uncertainty about future performance.

Company Snapshot

Xometry, Inc. is a technology-driven marketplace for custom manufacturing, connecting businesses with suppliers for on-demand production....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a positive outlook.

$0.09

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects demand for Xometry's services and is critical for assessing overall business health.

$188M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Xometry, Inc. is a technology-driven marketplace for custom manufacturing, connecting businesses with suppliers for on-demand production. As part of the industrial sector, it plays a crucial role in streamlining manufacturing processes, which is increasingly important as companies look to optimize costs and efficiency.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+170.75%

Avg Stock Reaction

+18.57%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, Xometry reported an EPS of $0.16, significantly beating estimates, which led to a notable drop in stock price the following day. This performance continues a trend of positive earnings surprises.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding supplier partnerships to enhance service offerings.
Commitment to improving technology for better customer experience.
Plans to explore new market segments to drive growth.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Xometry to maintain its trend of positive earnings surprises, with a consensus EPS of $0.09 and revenue of $188M. The market is cautiously optimistic about continued growth.

Bull Case

If Xometry exceeds expectations, it could signal strong demand and operational efficiency, potentially leading to a stock price increase.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet even the lowered expectations, it may raise concerns about growth sustainability, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.09

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a positive outlook.

Revenue

$188M

Revenue growth reflects demand for Xometry's services and is critical for assessing overall business health.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Xometry's revenue exceed the consensus estimate of $188M?

Revenue growth is crucial for investor confidence and reflects the company's ability to meet market demand.

Can Xometry maintain its positive EPS trend with a consensus of $0.09?

Sustaining earnings growth is vital for validating the company's operational strategy and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Xometry's growth potential, particularly in new market segments that are not fully reflected in current estimates.

Supporting Evidence

Xometry's recent expansion efforts suggest a stronger demand than anticipated.

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating a trend that may continue.

Options pricing suggests traders expect a significant move, indicating underlying volatility that could favor a positive outcome.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly exceeds $188M, it could shift market sentiment dramatically.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results will be critical in determining whether Xometry can continue its momentum in a competitive market.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.14 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.03 would raise concerns about the company's growth trajectory.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±19.63%

Historical Avg

±26.4%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±22.6% while XMTR has averaged ±26.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

1.6%

Calls (37K)P/C Ratio: 6.80Puts (14K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.8% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

History suggests that a strong earnings beat could lead to a stock price increase of approximately 13.9%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 11.3%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new supplier partnerships and their impact on service delivery.
2Insights into customer demand trends in key market segments.
3Any commentary on technology improvements and their effect on operational efficiency.
4Management's outlook on future revenue growth and market expansion.
5Responses to competitive pressures and how they plan to address them.

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Company Snapshot

Xometry, Inc. is a technology-driven marketplace for custom manufacturing, connecting businesses with suppliers for on-demand production....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a positive outlook.

$0.09

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects demand for Xometry's services and is critical for assessing overall business health.

$188M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+170.75%

Avg Stock Reaction

+18.57%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding supplier partnerships to enhance service offerings.
Commitment to improving technology for better customer experience.
Plans to explore new market segments to drive growth.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Xometry to maintain its trend of positive earnings surprises, with a consensus EPS of $0.09 and revenue of $188M. The market is cautiously optimistic about continued growth.

Bull Case

If Xometry exceeds expectations, it could signal strong demand and operational efficiency, potentially leading to a stock price increase.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet even the lowered expectations, it may raise concerns about growth sustainability, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.09

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a positive outlook.

Revenue

$188M

Revenue growth reflects demand for Xometry's services and is critical for assessing overall business health.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Xometry's revenue exceed the consensus estimate of $188M?

Revenue growth is crucial for investor confidence and reflects the company's ability to meet market demand.

Can Xometry maintain its positive EPS trend with a consensus of $0.09?

Sustaining earnings growth is vital for validating the company's operational strategy and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Xometry's growth potential, particularly in new market segments that are not fully reflected in current estimates.

Supporting Evidence

Xometry's recent expansion efforts suggest a stronger demand than anticipated.

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating a trend that may continue.

Options pricing suggests traders expect a significant move, indicating underlying volatility that could favor a positive outcome.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly exceeds $188M, it could shift market sentiment dramatically.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results will be critical in determining whether Xometry can continue its momentum in a competitive market.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.14 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.03 would raise concerns about the company's growth trajectory.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±19.63%

Historical Avg

±26.4%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±22.6% while XMTR has averaged ±26.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

1.6%

Calls (37K)P/C Ratio: 6.80Puts (14K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.8% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

History suggests that a strong earnings beat could lead to a stock price increase of approximately 13.9%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 11.3%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new supplier partnerships and their impact on service delivery.
2Insights into customer demand trends in key market segments.
3Any commentary on technology improvements and their effect on operational efficiency.
4Management's outlook on future revenue growth and market expansion.
5Responses to competitive pressures and how they plan to address them.