Consumer Discretionary·Leisure Products·$3.0B
YETI Holdings Inc. is a consumer discretionary company that specializes in high-quality outdoor products, particularly coolers and drinkware....
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well YETI is managing costs and driving sales.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth will indicate how well YETI is expanding its market share and responding to consumer demand.
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EPS Beat Streak
8Q
EPS Beat Rate
100%
Avg EPS Surprise
+34.90%
Avg Stock Reaction
+4.00%
In the last quarter (Q4-2025), YETI reported an EPS of $0.92, exceeding expectations by nearly 19%. However, the stock experienced a decline of 4.79% the following day, indicating some investor caution despite the positive earnings surprise.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, expectations for YETI's upcoming earnings are mixed, with investors keen to see if the company can continue its streak of positive earnings surprises. The market is particularly focused on revenue growth and margin stability.
Bull Case
If YETI can report strong revenue growth alongside solid margins, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear Case
Conversely, if YETI fails to meet revenue expectations or shows signs of margin compression, it could lead to a significant sell-off, as investors may question the company's growth trajectory.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well YETI is managing costs and driving sales.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth will indicate how well YETI is expanding its market share and responding to consumer demand.
Gross Margin
N/AGross margin reflects the efficiency of production and pricing strategy, which is crucial for maintaining profitability.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will the revenue growth rate be compared to last year?
Revenue growth is critical for understanding YETI's market performance and ability to capture consumer spending in a competitive environment.
Q2
How will gross margins be affected by input costs and pricing strategies?
Margins are essential for profitability; any significant changes could impact investor confidence and future earnings potential.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate YETI's ability to leverage its brand strength and expand its product offerings, leading to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.
Supporting Evidence
YETI has consistently surprised on EPS, indicating operational strength.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.
Recent trends in outdoor activities could boost demand for YETI's products.
Key Risk
If revenue growth exceeds 15%, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance hinges on YETI's ability to maintain growth in a challenging retail environment while managing costs effectively.
Bull Confirmed If
Revenue growth of 15% or more year-over-year would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
A revenue decline or growth below 5% would support the bear case.
Implied Move
±11.69%
Historical Avg
±8.0%
The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 11.69%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±11.7% while YETI has averaged ±8.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Discretionary
n=30Fade rate: 6 of 16 (38%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 10 of 16 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 5.3%, with a raw directional average of +0.9% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If YETI beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 4% on the first day, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line report with cautious commentary may lead to a muted reaction, as investors weigh the potential for future growth against current market conditions.
Miss
If YETI misses expectations, the stock could drop, with historical patterns suggesting a possible decline of around 4%.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
ARCHER AVIATION INC A
May 11, 2026