Equity Profile

AIT

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.

IndustrialsTrading Companies & Distributors$12.2B

Oct27Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) is a leading distributor of industrial products and services, focusing on fluid power, bearings, and other mechanical components....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if AIT can maintain its positive earnings surprise trend.

N/A

Revenue Growth

While specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in revenue is critical for assessing overall business health and market demand.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AIT Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) is a leading distributor of industrial products and services, focusing on fluid power, bearings, and other mechanical components. With a market cap of $12 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the industrial sector, which is influenced by trends in manufacturing and infrastructure spending.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.24%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.05%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, AIT reported an EPS of $2.65, slightly beating estimates by 0.84%. Despite the positive surprise, the stock saw a modest increase of 1.05% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to focus on operational efficiencies.
Expand product offerings in key markets.
Maintain strong customer relationships to drive sales.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations are cautious as AIT has consistently beaten EPS estimates but has not seen significant stock price appreciation following these beats. Investors are looking for signs of sustained revenue growth.

Bull Case

If AIT can deliver another strong EPS and show positive revenue trends, it could signal robust demand in the industrial sector, potentially leading to a stock price rally.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sell-off, especially given the recent stock performance trends.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q4-2026?

Given AIT's history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial in determining market sentiment and stock movement.

How does management view revenue growth prospects for the upcoming quarters?

Investors will be looking for insights into future demand and potential challenges in the industrial sector, which could impact stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating AIT's ability to leverage operational efficiencies and expand its product offerings, which could lead to stronger-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

AIT has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong management execution.

The options market is pricing for a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a surprise.

Recent insider selling may not reflect the overall confidence in the company's future performance.

Key Risk

If AIT's EPS exceeds $2.70, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and lead to a re-evaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether AIT can sustain its earnings growth amid economic uncertainties and fluctuating demand in the industrial sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.60 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues in revenue generation.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.2%

Historical Avg

±2.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±4.2% while AIT has averaged ±2.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

22.8%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 1.25Puts (500)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 19 of 24 (79%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If AIT beats expectations, history suggests a modest increase in stock price, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain stable but could see cautious trading as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline in stock price, with history suggesting an average drop of around 1% following such outcomes.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

Senate only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OKMarkwayne MullinSen.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiencies and cost management strategies.
2Insights into customer demand trends in the industrial sector.
3Management's outlook on revenue growth for the next fiscal year.
4Details on new product launches or market expansions.
5Any commentary on macroeconomic factors affecting the business.

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Company Snapshot

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) is a leading distributor of industrial products and services, focusing on fluid power, bearings, and other mechanical components....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if AIT can maintain its positive earnings surprise trend.

N/A

Revenue Growth

While specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in revenue is critical for assessing overall business health and market demand.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AIT Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.24%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.05%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, AIT reported an EPS of $2.65, slightly beating estimates by 0.84%. Despite the positive surprise, the stock saw a modest increase of 1.05% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to focus on operational efficiencies.
Expand product offerings in key markets.
Maintain strong customer relationships to drive sales.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If AIT can deliver another strong EPS and show positive revenue trends, it could signal robust demand in the industrial sector, potentially leading to a stock price rally.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sell-off, especially given the recent stock performance trends.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q4-2026?

Given AIT's history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial in determining market sentiment and stock movement.

How does management view revenue growth prospects for the upcoming quarters?

Investors will be looking for insights into future demand and potential challenges in the industrial sector, which could impact stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating AIT's ability to leverage operational efficiencies and expand its product offerings, which could lead to stronger-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

AIT has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong management execution.

The options market is pricing for a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a surprise.

Recent insider selling may not reflect the overall confidence in the company's future performance.

Key Risk

If AIT's EPS exceeds $2.70, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and lead to a re-evaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether AIT can sustain its earnings growth amid economic uncertainties and fluctuating demand in the industrial sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.60 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues in revenue generation.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.2%

Historical Avg

±2.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±4.2% while AIT has averaged ±2.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

22.8%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 1.25Puts (500)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If AIT beats expectations, history suggests a modest increase in stock price, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain stable but could see cautious trading as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline in stock price, with history suggesting an average drop of around 1% following such outcomes.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

Senate only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OKMarkwayne MullinSen.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiencies and cost management strategies.
2Insights into customer demand trends in the industrial sector.
3Management's outlook on revenue growth for the next fiscal year.
4Details on new product launches or market expansions.
5Any commentary on macroeconomic factors affecting the business.