Equity Profile

AMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

IndustrialsResearch & Consulting Services$5.9B

May11Mon

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ2-2026After Close4:30 PM EDT

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Down 2.41%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.60	$0.57	+8.50%
Revenue	—	$3.5B	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Down 2.41%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.60	$0.57	+8.50%
Revenue	—	$3.5B	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

Amentum Holdings reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which indicates some operational strength. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 2.41%. The lack of revenue information and guidance may have contributed to investor uncertainty.

Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a key player in the industrial sector, specializing in research and consulting services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if Amentum can meet or exceed the consensus estimate.

$0.57

Revenue

Revenue figures indicate the company's overall sales performance and growth potential, making it a key focus for investors.

$3.5B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a key player in the industrial sector, specializing in research and consulting services. With a market cap of $6 billion, the company focuses on providing solutions to government and commercial clients, which is crucial for infrastructure and defense projects.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

86%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Amentum reported an EPS of $0.54, surpassing estimates by 8.65%. However, there was no revenue figure reported, leading to a slight decline in stock price the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Management has committed to maintaining strong operational performance.
They aim to continue expanding their service offerings in the government sector.
Investors expect updates on new contracts and project wins.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about Amentum's upcoming earnings, expecting them to meet or exceed EPS and revenue estimates.

Bull Case

If Amentum can deliver strong earnings and positive guidance, it could reflect robust demand for its services, driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

On the other hand, any signs of slowing growth or missed targets could raise concerns about the company's market position and lead to a negative reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.57

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if Amentum can meet or exceed the consensus estimate.

Revenue

$3.5B

Revenue figures indicate the company's overall sales performance and growth potential, making it a key focus for investors.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Amentum's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.57?

A higher EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

What revenue figures will Amentum report, and how do they align with the $3.5 billion consensus?

Revenue performance is crucial for assessing the company's growth trajectory and market demand.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Amentum's ability to secure new contracts, driven by recent government spending increases in infrastructure.

Supporting Evidence

Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.

The options market's implied move of 12.9% suggests traders expect significant volatility, which may not align with the consensus outlook.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in below $3.4 billion, it could raise doubts about the company's growth strategy.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating Amentum's ability to sustain growth amidst competitive pressures and changing demand in the industrial sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.60 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $3.5 billion, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.54 or revenue significantly under $3.4 billion would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.9%

Historical Avg

±2.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±11.8% while AMTM has averaged ±2.5% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.4%

30d HV

27.5%

Calls (87K)P/C Ratio: 0.19Puts (71K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amentum beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.45%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around 2.57%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new government contracts and project wins.
2Any commentary on operational efficiencies and cost management.
3Insights into market demand for Amentum's services.
4Guidance on future revenue growth and profitability.
5Management's outlook on industry trends and competitive landscape.

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Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a key player in the industrial sector, specializing in research and consulting services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if Amentum can meet or exceed the consensus estimate.

$0.57

Revenue

Revenue figures indicate the company's overall sales performance and growth potential, making it a key focus for investors.

$3.5B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

86%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Amentum reported an EPS of $0.54, surpassing estimates by 8.65%. However, there was no revenue figure reported, leading to a slight decline in stock price the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Management has committed to maintaining strong operational performance.
They aim to continue expanding their service offerings in the government sector.
Investors expect updates on new contracts and project wins.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about Amentum's upcoming earnings, expecting them to meet or exceed EPS and revenue estimates.

Bull Case

If Amentum can deliver strong earnings and positive guidance, it could reflect robust demand for its services, driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

On the other hand, any signs of slowing growth or missed targets could raise concerns about the company's market position and lead to a negative reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.57

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if Amentum can meet or exceed the consensus estimate.

Revenue

$3.5B

Revenue figures indicate the company's overall sales performance and growth potential, making it a key focus for investors.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Amentum's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.57?

A higher EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

What revenue figures will Amentum report, and how do they align with the $3.5 billion consensus?

Revenue performance is crucial for assessing the company's growth trajectory and market demand.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Amentum's ability to secure new contracts, driven by recent government spending increases in infrastructure.

Supporting Evidence

Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.

The options market's implied move of 12.9% suggests traders expect significant volatility, which may not align with the consensus outlook.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in below $3.4 billion, it could raise doubts about the company's growth strategy.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating Amentum's ability to sustain growth amidst competitive pressures and changing demand in the industrial sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.60 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $3.5 billion, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.54 or revenue significantly under $3.4 billion would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.9%

Historical Avg

±2.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±11.8% while AMTM has averaged ±2.5% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.4%

30d HV

27.5%

Calls (87K)P/C Ratio: 0.19Puts (71K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amentum beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.45%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around 2.57%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new government contracts and project wins.
2Any commentary on operational efficiencies and cost management.
3Insights into market demand for Amentum's services.
4Guidance on future revenue growth and profitability.
5Management's outlook on industry trends and competitive landscape.