Equity Profile

AMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

IndustrialsResearch & Consulting Services$5.0B

Aug3Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrial sector that focuses on research and consulting services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, and investors will be keen to see if Amentum can continue its trend of beating estimates.

$0.63

Revenue Growth

While specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in this area is essential for assessing the company's overall performance and market demand.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMTM Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrial sector that focuses on research and consulting services. It plays a significant role in supporting government and commercial clients with technical and engineering solutions, which is crucial as demand for such services continues to grow in various industries.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

86%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2-2026, Amentum reported an EPS of $0.60, surpassing expectations by 8.5%. However, the stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.41% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to focus on improving operational efficiency.
Expand service offerings to meet evolving client needs.
Maintain strong relationships with government contracts.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, but the stock has shown volatility post-earnings.

Bull Case

If Amentum can deliver strong EPS and show solid revenue growth, it may reinforce investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, any signs of slowing growth or missed expectations could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent negative reactions.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.63

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, and investors will be keen to see if Amentum can continue its trend of beating estimates.

Revenue Growth

N/A

While specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in this area is essential for assessing the company's overall performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q3-2026, and will it exceed $0.63?

Given Amentum's track record of beating EPS estimates, this will be a critical factor in determining market sentiment.

How is revenue growth trending compared to previous quarters?

Investors will closely watch revenue growth to gauge the company's ability to meet demand and sustain profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Amentum's ability to sustain its EPS growth, as historical performance shows a consistent trend of beating estimates despite market volatility.

Supporting Evidence

Amentum has a 100% EPS beat rate over the last seven quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a much larger move than historical averages, suggesting that traders expect a significant reaction regardless of the outcome.

Key Risk

If Amentum's EPS comes in below $0.60, it could undermine the bullish narrative built on previous performance.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis revolves around Amentum's ability to maintain its growth trajectory and profitability amidst market fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.63 or higher, coupled with positive commentary on revenue growth, would confirm the bullish outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.60 or indications of declining revenue growth would support the bearish case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±25.94%

Historical Avg

±2.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±25.9% while AMTM has averaged ±2.5% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

36.5%

Calls (65K)P/C Ratio: 0.26Puts (10K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.8%, with a raw directional average of +1.9% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amentum beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.8% on the following day, reinforcing positive investor sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors weigh future growth prospects.

Miss

Should Amentum miss EPS expectations, the average historical reaction suggests a potential decline of around 2.5%, raising concerns about the company's growth outlook.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on government contracts and their impact on future revenue.
2Details on cost management strategies and operational efficiencies.
3Insights into market demand for consulting services in the industrial sector.
4Comments on competitive pressures and how Amentum plans to address them.
5Guidance on expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarters.

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Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrial sector that focuses on research and consulting services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, and investors will be keen to see if Amentum can continue its trend of beating estimates.

$0.63

Revenue Growth

While specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in this area is essential for assessing the company's overall performance and market demand.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMTM Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

86%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2-2026, Amentum reported an EPS of $0.60, surpassing expectations by 8.5%. However, the stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.41% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to focus on improving operational efficiency.
Expand service offerings to meet evolving client needs.
Maintain strong relationships with government contracts.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, but the stock has shown volatility post-earnings.

Bull Case

If Amentum can deliver strong EPS and show solid revenue growth, it may reinforce investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, any signs of slowing growth or missed expectations could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent negative reactions.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.63

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, and investors will be keen to see if Amentum can continue its trend of beating estimates.

Revenue Growth

N/A

While specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in this area is essential for assessing the company's overall performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q3-2026, and will it exceed $0.63?

Given Amentum's track record of beating EPS estimates, this will be a critical factor in determining market sentiment.

How is revenue growth trending compared to previous quarters?

Investors will closely watch revenue growth to gauge the company's ability to meet demand and sustain profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Amentum's ability to sustain its EPS growth, as historical performance shows a consistent trend of beating estimates despite market volatility.

Supporting Evidence

Amentum has a 100% EPS beat rate over the last seven quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a much larger move than historical averages, suggesting that traders expect a significant reaction regardless of the outcome.

Key Risk

If Amentum's EPS comes in below $0.60, it could undermine the bullish narrative built on previous performance.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis revolves around Amentum's ability to maintain its growth trajectory and profitability amidst market fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.63 or higher, coupled with positive commentary on revenue growth, would confirm the bullish outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.60 or indications of declining revenue growth would support the bearish case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±25.94%

Historical Avg

±2.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±25.9% while AMTM has averaged ±2.5% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

36.5%

Calls (65K)P/C Ratio: 0.26Puts (10K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amentum beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.8% on the following day, reinforcing positive investor sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors weigh future growth prospects.

Miss

Should Amentum miss EPS expectations, the average historical reaction suggests a potential decline of around 2.5%, raising concerns about the company's growth outlook.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on government contracts and their impact on future revenue.
2Details on cost management strategies and operational efficiencies.
3Insights into market demand for consulting services in the industrial sector.
4Comments on competitive pressures and how Amentum plans to address them.
5Guidance on expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarters.