Equity Profile

APO

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

FinancialsDiversified Financial Services$68.5B

Aug13Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close1:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a leading global alternative investment manager, focusing on private equity, credit, and real estate....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing its investments.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential to understand the company's ability to expand its investment portfolio and generate returns.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

APO Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a leading global alternative investment manager, focusing on private equity, credit, and real estate. With a market cap of $69 billion, the company plays a significant role in the financial sector, particularly in diversified financial services, which are crucial for capital allocation and economic growth.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+11.11%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.37%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Apollo reported an EPS of $1.94, exceeding expectations by 5.04%. However, the stock saw a slight decline of 0.59% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Apollo's upcoming earnings are cautious, given the lack of analyst estimates and management guidance. Investors will be closely watching for any signs of continued growth or potential challenges.

Bull Case

If Apollo continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and investment performance, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing growth, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent mixed reactions.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the reported EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and any deviation from expectations could significantly impact investor sentiment.

What is the current status of Apollo's Assets Under Management?

AUM is vital for understanding the company's growth potential and revenue generation capabilities, which are key to its valuation.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Apollo's ability to leverage its diversified investment strategy, which could lead to stronger-than-expected performance this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Apollo has consistently beaten EPS estimates in previous quarters, suggesting a trend of operational efficiency.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, indicating potential undervaluation of the stock's volatility.

Recent market conditions have favored alternative investments, which could benefit Apollo's portfolio.

Key Risk

If AUM growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of Apollo's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is currently uncertain about Apollo's ability to maintain its growth trajectory, making these thresholds critical for investor sentiment.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS of $2.00 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.85 would raise concerns about profitability and growth prospects.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.71%

Historical Avg

±3.5%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a modest move of approximately 2.71%, suggesting that investors are uncertain about the upcoming earnings results.

Options are pricing ±2.7% while APO has averaged ±3.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

30.8%

Calls (56K)P/C Ratio: 1.03Puts (93K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Apollo beats expectations, history suggests a positive stock reaction, with an average 1-day move of +1.48%, confirming operational strength.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain relatively stable, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.

Miss

A miss could lead to a significant decline, with historical data showing an average 1-day move of -7.45%, indicating strong negative sentiment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on the performance of key investment segments, particularly private equity and credit.
2Management's outlook on market conditions and their impact on future earnings.
3Details on any new funds or investment strategies being launched.
4Insights into cost management and operational efficiencies.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning within the diversified financial services industry.

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Company Snapshot

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a leading global alternative investment manager, focusing on private equity, credit, and real estate....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing its investments.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential to understand the company's ability to expand its investment portfolio and generate returns.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

APO Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+11.11%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.37%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Apollo reported an EPS of $1.94, exceeding expectations by 5.04%. However, the stock saw a slight decline of 0.59% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Apollo continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and investment performance, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing growth, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent mixed reactions.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the reported EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and any deviation from expectations could significantly impact investor sentiment.

What is the current status of Apollo's Assets Under Management?

AUM is vital for understanding the company's growth potential and revenue generation capabilities, which are key to its valuation.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Apollo's ability to leverage its diversified investment strategy, which could lead to stronger-than-expected performance this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Apollo has consistently beaten EPS estimates in previous quarters, suggesting a trend of operational efficiency.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, indicating potential undervaluation of the stock's volatility.

Recent market conditions have favored alternative investments, which could benefit Apollo's portfolio.

Key Risk

If AUM growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of Apollo's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is currently uncertain about Apollo's ability to maintain its growth trajectory, making these thresholds critical for investor sentiment.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS of $2.00 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.85 would raise concerns about profitability and growth prospects.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.71%

Historical Avg

±3.5%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a modest move of approximately 2.71%, suggesting that investors are uncertain about the upcoming earnings results.

Options are pricing ±2.7% while APO has averaged ±3.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

30.8%

Calls (56K)P/C Ratio: 1.03Puts (93K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Apollo beats expectations, history suggests a positive stock reaction, with an average 1-day move of +1.48%, confirming operational strength.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain relatively stable, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.

Miss

A miss could lead to a significant decline, with historical data showing an average 1-day move of -7.45%, indicating strong negative sentiment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on the performance of key investment segments, particularly private equity and credit.
2Management's outlook on market conditions and their impact on future earnings.
3Details on any new funds or investment strategies being launched.
4Insights into cost management and operational efficiencies.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning within the diversified financial services industry.