Equity Profile

AVPT

AvePoint, Inc.

Information TechnologyApplication Software$2.9B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

AvePoint, Inc. is a technology company that specializes in application software, particularly for data management and collaboration in cloud environments....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

This metric will indicate how well AvePoint is expanding its business and attracting new customers in a competitive market.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help assess the company's financial health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AVPT Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

AvePoint, Inc. is a technology company that specializes in application software, particularly for data management and collaboration in cloud environments. With a market cap of $3 billion, it plays a crucial role in helping organizations manage their data efficiently, which is increasingly important as businesses continue to transition to cloud-based solutions.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

-110.93%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.41%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, AvePoint reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly beating expectations by 159.26%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.58% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding cloud services.
Commitment to improving customer support.
Plans to enhance product features based on user feedback.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about AvePoint's upcoming earnings, especially given its recent performance. However, there are concerns about sustaining growth in a competitive landscape.

Bull Case

If AvePoint continues to show strong EPS growth and solid revenue performance, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet growth expectations or shows signs of slowing demand, investors may react negatively, impacting the stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the exact EPS figure and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given the strong EPS surprises in recent quarters, investors will closely watch this metric to gauge ongoing profitability.

How is AvePoint's customer retention rate trending?

A stable or improving retention rate is crucial for long-term growth and indicates customer satisfaction with AvePoint's offerings.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate AvePoint's ability to maintain its growth trajectory, especially given its recent strong EPS performance.

Supporting Evidence

AvePoint has consistently beaten EPS expectations, suggesting a trend of improving profitability.

The options market indicates a high level of expected volatility, which could reflect underlying confidence in the company's performance.

Key Risk

If EPS falls below $0.05, it could challenge the narrative of sustained growth.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether AvePoint can sustain its recent growth trajectory amid increasing competition.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.08 or higher would confirm strong profitability and growth.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.05 would raise concerns about demand and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±30.37%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±30.4% while AVPT has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

56.4%

Calls (1K)P/C Ratio: 0.03Puts (0)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Information Technology

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 4 of 9 faded and 5 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If AvePoint beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.21%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see minimal movement as investors digest the news.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of about 1.12%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer acquisition and retention strategies.
2Insights into revenue growth from cloud services.
3Management's outlook on competitive pressures in the application software market.
4Details on product enhancements and customer feedback.
5Any commentary on future guidance and market conditions.

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Company Snapshot

AvePoint, Inc. is a technology company that specializes in application software, particularly for data management and collaboration in cloud environments....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

This metric will indicate how well AvePoint is expanding its business and attracting new customers in a competitive market.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help assess the company's financial health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AVPT Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

-110.93%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.41%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, AvePoint reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly beating expectations by 159.26%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.58% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding cloud services.
Commitment to improving customer support.
Plans to enhance product features based on user feedback.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If AvePoint continues to show strong EPS growth and solid revenue performance, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet growth expectations or shows signs of slowing demand, investors may react negatively, impacting the stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the exact EPS figure and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given the strong EPS surprises in recent quarters, investors will closely watch this metric to gauge ongoing profitability.

How is AvePoint's customer retention rate trending?

A stable or improving retention rate is crucial for long-term growth and indicates customer satisfaction with AvePoint's offerings.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate AvePoint's ability to maintain its growth trajectory, especially given its recent strong EPS performance.

Supporting Evidence

AvePoint has consistently beaten EPS expectations, suggesting a trend of improving profitability.

The options market indicates a high level of expected volatility, which could reflect underlying confidence in the company's performance.

Key Risk

If EPS falls below $0.05, it could challenge the narrative of sustained growth.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether AvePoint can sustain its recent growth trajectory amid increasing competition.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.08 or higher would confirm strong profitability and growth.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.05 would raise concerns about demand and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±30.37%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±30.4% while AVPT has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

56.4%

Calls (1K)P/C Ratio: 0.03Puts (0)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Information Technology

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If AvePoint beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.21%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see minimal movement as investors digest the news.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of about 1.12%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer acquisition and retention strategies.
2Insights into revenue growth from cloud services.
3Management's outlook on competitive pressures in the application software market.
4Details on product enhancements and customer feedback.
5Any commentary on future guidance and market conditions.