Equity Profile

AWK

American Water Works Company, Inc.

UtilitiesWater Utilities$24.3B

Apr29Wed

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:31 PM EDT

American Water Works Misses on EPS, Stock Down 0.53%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.01	$1.09	-8.18%
Revenue	N/A	$1.1B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

American Water Works Misses on EPS, Stock Down 0.53%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.01	$1.09	-8.18%
Revenue	N/A	$1.1B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

American Water Works reported earnings that fell short of expectations, particularly in EPS. The stock reacted by declining 0.53%, reflecting investor disappointment over the earnings miss. Without further guidance or commentary from management, it remains unclear how the company plans to address these results moving forward.

Company Snapshot

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) is a leading provider of water and wastewater services in the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

1.09

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall growth, important for assessing operational efficiency.

1.1B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) is a leading provider of water and wastewater services in the United States. Operating in the utilities sector, it plays a crucial role in ensuring access to clean water, a fundamental resource for households and businesses alike.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

-0.70%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, American Water Works reported an EPS of $1.24, slightly missing the estimate of $1.28. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 1.76% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect American Water Works to report an EPS of $1.09 and revenue of $1.1 billion for Q1 2026. The market is watching closely for any signs of growth or challenges in the utility sector.

Bull Case

If the company beats EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for water services and operational efficiency, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if earnings miss expectations or management provides cautious guidance, it could raise concerns about demand and operational challenges, resulting in a negative stock response.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

1.09

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

Revenue

1.1B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall growth, important for assessing operational efficiency.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.09?

A beat on EPS could indicate stronger-than-expected profitability, which would be a positive signal for investors.

What guidance will management provide regarding revenue growth?

Management's outlook on revenue growth will be crucial for assessing the company's future performance and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for American Water Works to exceed EPS expectations due to operational efficiencies not fully captured in consensus estimates.

Supporting Evidence

The company has a history of beating EPS estimates, with a 50% beat rate over the last eight quarters.

Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a larger reaction.

Recent insider selling could reflect a strategic repositioning rather than a lack of confidence in the company's fundamentals.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in below $1.05, it could undermine the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether American Water Works can maintain its profitability amidst potential challenges in the utilities sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.12 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.05 would support the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.2%

Historical Avg

±1.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while AWK has averaged ±1.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

19.5%

Calls (13K)P/C Ratio: 0.05Puts (41K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Utilities

n=30

Fade rate: 13 of 28 (46%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Utilities in the last 2 years. 13 of 28 faded and 15 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.5%, with a raw directional average of +0.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If American Water Works beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.79%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further clarity from management.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of about 0.12%, reflecting investor concerns about the company's performance.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$51,002.00–$115,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-WARick LarsenRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management initiatives and their impact on margins.
2Details on customer growth and retention rates in key markets.
3Insights into regulatory changes affecting the utilities sector.
4Management's commentary on infrastructure investments and their expected returns.
5Any changes in capital expenditure plans for the upcoming year.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) is a leading provider of water and wastewater services in the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

1.09

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall growth, important for assessing operational efficiency.

1.1B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

-0.70%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, American Water Works reported an EPS of $1.24, slightly missing the estimate of $1.28. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 1.76% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect American Water Works to report an EPS of $1.09 and revenue of $1.1 billion for Q1 2026. The market is watching closely for any signs of growth or challenges in the utility sector.

Bull Case

If the company beats EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for water services and operational efficiency, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if earnings miss expectations or management provides cautious guidance, it could raise concerns about demand and operational challenges, resulting in a negative stock response.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

1.09

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

Revenue

1.1B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall growth, important for assessing operational efficiency.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.09?

A beat on EPS could indicate stronger-than-expected profitability, which would be a positive signal for investors.

What guidance will management provide regarding revenue growth?

Management's outlook on revenue growth will be crucial for assessing the company's future performance and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for American Water Works to exceed EPS expectations due to operational efficiencies not fully captured in consensus estimates.

Supporting Evidence

The company has a history of beating EPS estimates, with a 50% beat rate over the last eight quarters.

Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a larger reaction.

Recent insider selling could reflect a strategic repositioning rather than a lack of confidence in the company's fundamentals.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in below $1.05, it could undermine the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether American Water Works can maintain its profitability amidst potential challenges in the utilities sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.12 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.05 would support the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.2%

Historical Avg

±1.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while AWK has averaged ±1.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

19.5%

Calls (13K)P/C Ratio: 0.05Puts (41K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Utilities

n=30

Fade rate: 13 of 28 (46%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If American Water Works beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.79%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further clarity from management.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of about 0.12%, reflecting investor concerns about the company's performance.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$51,002.00–$115,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-WARick LarsenRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management initiatives and their impact on margins.
2Details on customer growth and retention rates in key markets.
3Insights into regulatory changes affecting the utilities sector.
4Management's commentary on infrastructure investments and their expected returns.
5Any changes in capital expenditure plans for the upcoming year.