Equity Profile

BJ

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.

Consumer StaplesConsumer Staples Merchandise Retail$11.4B

May22Fri

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market6:45 AM EDT

BJ's Wholesale Club Beats on EPS, Stock Down 8.25%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.10	$1.04	+5.36%
Revenue	N/A	$5.4B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

BJ's Wholesale Club Beats on EPS, Stock Down 8.25%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.10	$1.04	+5.36%
Revenue	N/A	$5.4B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

BJ's Wholesale Club reported better-than-expected earnings per share, but the stock fell by 8.25%. The decline may be attributed to the lack of revenue details and guidance, leaving investors uncertain about future performance.

Company Snapshot

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates membership-based warehouse clubs offering a variety of products at discounted prices....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps assess the company's financial health.

$1.04

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate sales and is critical for understanding growth.

$5.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates membership-based warehouse clubs offering a variety of products at discounted prices. As a player in the consumer staples sector, BJ's is positioned to benefit from ongoing consumer spending trends, especially as shoppers seek value in their purchases.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+10.16%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.60%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, BJ's reported an EPS of $0.96, beating estimates by 3.23%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to focus on expanding product offerings.
Enhance customer loyalty programs.
Invest in technology to improve operational efficiency.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect BJ's to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $1.04 and revenue of $5.4B. The market is closely watching for any signs of sustained consumer demand.

Bull Case

If BJ's beats earnings estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could indicate robust consumer spending and market share gains, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if BJ's misses estimates or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about consumer spending trends and competitive pressures, resulting in a negative stock reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.04

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps assess the company's financial health.

Revenue

$5.4B

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate sales and is critical for understanding growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will BJ's report an EPS above $1.04?

A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's growth narrative and potentially boost investor confidence.

What guidance will BJ's provide for revenue growth?

Guidance on revenue will be crucial for assessing the company's outlook amid changing consumer spending habits.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate BJ's ability to capitalize on consumer trends toward bulk buying and value shopping, especially in a challenging economic environment.

Supporting Evidence

BJ's has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting potential for a significant reaction.

Insider selling may reflect profit-taking rather than a lack of confidence in the company's future.

Key Risk

If BJ's reports an EPS significantly above $1.04, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether BJ's can maintain its growth trajectory in a competitive retail environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm strong demand and operational efficiency.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.90 would signal potential issues with sales and consumer demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±8.9%

Historical Avg

±5.4%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting heightened investor uncertainty.

Options are pricing a larger move than the stock has averaged historically, indicating potential volatility.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

26.0%

Calls (8K)P/C Ratio: 0.98Puts (176K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 29 (28%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 21 of 29 (72%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.1% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Insider Activity

Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.

Bought

$0.00

0 sh

0 insiders

Sold

$2.3M

24,922 sh

3 insiders

Net

$2.3M

Net selling

Most Active Insiders· 5 open-market trades

EVP, Chief Growth OfficerMorningstar Timothy Pierce
$1.4M

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If BJ's beats estimates, history suggests the stock could rise by about 2.2%, confirming strong consumer demand.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to muted reactions as investors await further commentary on future growth.

Miss

If BJ's misses expectations, the stock could drop by around 8.5%, reflecting concerns over consumer spending.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·8 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$8,008.00–$120,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-MDApril McClain DelaneyRep.
8

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on membership growth and retention rates.
2Insights into consumer spending trends and product demand.
3Details on cost management initiatives and operational efficiencies.
4Guidance on future revenue expectations and market conditions.
5Comments on competitive pressures and market share developments.

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Company Snapshot

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates membership-based warehouse clubs offering a variety of products at discounted prices....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps assess the company's financial health.

$1.04

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate sales and is critical for understanding growth.

$5.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+10.16%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.60%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, BJ's reported an EPS of $0.96, beating estimates by 3.23%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to focus on expanding product offerings.
Enhance customer loyalty programs.
Invest in technology to improve operational efficiency.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect BJ's to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $1.04 and revenue of $5.4B. The market is closely watching for any signs of sustained consumer demand.

Bull Case

If BJ's beats earnings estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could indicate robust consumer spending and market share gains, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if BJ's misses estimates or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about consumer spending trends and competitive pressures, resulting in a negative stock reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.04

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps assess the company's financial health.

Revenue

$5.4B

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate sales and is critical for understanding growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will BJ's report an EPS above $1.04?

A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's growth narrative and potentially boost investor confidence.

What guidance will BJ's provide for revenue growth?

Guidance on revenue will be crucial for assessing the company's outlook amid changing consumer spending habits.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate BJ's ability to capitalize on consumer trends toward bulk buying and value shopping, especially in a challenging economic environment.

Supporting Evidence

BJ's has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting potential for a significant reaction.

Insider selling may reflect profit-taking rather than a lack of confidence in the company's future.

Key Risk

If BJ's reports an EPS significantly above $1.04, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether BJ's can maintain its growth trajectory in a competitive retail environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm strong demand and operational efficiency.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.90 would signal potential issues with sales and consumer demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±8.9%

Historical Avg

±5.4%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting heightened investor uncertainty.

Options are pricing a larger move than the stock has averaged historically, indicating potential volatility.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

26.0%

Calls (8K)P/C Ratio: 0.98Puts (176K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 29 (28%)

Edge

Insider Activity

Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.

Bought

$0.00

0 sh

0 insiders

Sold

$2.3M

24,922 sh

3 insiders

Net

$2.3M

Net selling

Most Active Insiders· 5 open-market trades

EVP, Chief Growth OfficerMorningstar Timothy Pierce
$1.4M

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If BJ's beats estimates, history suggests the stock could rise by about 2.2%, confirming strong consumer demand.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to muted reactions as investors await further commentary on future growth.

Miss

If BJ's misses expectations, the stock could drop by around 8.5%, reflecting concerns over consumer spending.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·8 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$8,008.00–$120,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-MDApril McClain DelaneyRep.
8

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on membership growth and retention rates.
2Insights into consumer spending trends and product demand.
3Details on cost management initiatives and operational efficiencies.
4Guidance on future revenue expectations and market conditions.
5Comments on competitive pressures and market share developments.