Equity Profile

CACI

CACI International Inc

IndustrialsResearch & Consulting Services$14.8B

Aug5Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

CACI International Inc is a leading provider of research and consulting services, primarily serving government and defense sectors. With a market cap of $15 billion, the company plays a crucial role in supporting national security and intelligence operations, making it significant in the current geopolitical climate.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's expansion and demand for its services, especially in a competitive market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CACI Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+13.44%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.25%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, CACI reported an EPS of $7.27, surpassing expectations by 5.36%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on expanding government contracts.
Commitment to maintaining strong profit margins.
Plans to invest in technology enhancements to improve service delivery.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are cautious as CACI has consistently beaten EPS estimates, but the market is wary of potential revenue surprises.

Bull Case

If CACI continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and secures new government contracts, it could lead to strong stock performance and increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or faces delays in contract awards, it could result in a negative market reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What new government contracts has CACI secured this quarter?

New contracts are vital for future revenue growth and can significantly influence market sentiment.

How does management plan to address any potential revenue shortfalls?

Understanding management's strategy for mitigating risks will be crucial for investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate the impact of new government contracts on CACI's revenue growth this quarter, given the recent uptick in defense spending.

Supporting Evidence

CACI has a strong track record of securing contracts, as evidenced by previous EPS beats.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a surprise.

Recent trends in government spending could favor CACI's service offerings.

Key Risk

If new contract wins exceed $500 million, it could significantly alter revenue forecasts.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis this quarter revolves around contract wins and revenue stability, which are critical for future growth.

Bull Confirmed If

Securing new contracts worth over $500 million would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

If EPS falls below $6.50, it would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.84%

Historical Avg

±0.7%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±2.8% while CACI has averaged ±0.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

30.3%

Calls (2K)P/C Ratio: 1.50Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 19 of 24 (79%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CACI beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could rise by about 1.6%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management expresses caution, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors digest the commentary.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.25%, reflecting disappointment in performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new government contracts and their expected revenue impact.
2Management's outlook on future revenue growth and market conditions.
3Updates on technology investments and their role in service delivery.
4Any commentary on competitive pressures in the consulting space.
5Insights into cost management strategies and profit margin expectations.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Aug3

ONBMO

ON Semiconductor Corporation

PreviewView

Aug3

LBMO

Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's expansion and demand for its services, especially in a competitive market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CACI Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+13.44%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.25%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, CACI reported an EPS of $7.27, surpassing expectations by 5.36%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on expanding government contracts.
Commitment to maintaining strong profit margins.
Plans to invest in technology enhancements to improve service delivery.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are cautious as CACI has consistently beaten EPS estimates, but the market is wary of potential revenue surprises.

Bull Case

If CACI continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and secures new government contracts, it could lead to strong stock performance and increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or faces delays in contract awards, it could result in a negative market reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What new government contracts has CACI secured this quarter?

New contracts are vital for future revenue growth and can significantly influence market sentiment.

How does management plan to address any potential revenue shortfalls?

Understanding management's strategy for mitigating risks will be crucial for investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate the impact of new government contracts on CACI's revenue growth this quarter, given the recent uptick in defense spending.

Supporting Evidence

CACI has a strong track record of securing contracts, as evidenced by previous EPS beats.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a surprise.

Recent trends in government spending could favor CACI's service offerings.

Key Risk

If new contract wins exceed $500 million, it could significantly alter revenue forecasts.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis this quarter revolves around contract wins and revenue stability, which are critical for future growth.

Bull Confirmed If

Securing new contracts worth over $500 million would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

If EPS falls below $6.50, it would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.84%

Historical Avg

±0.7%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±2.8% while CACI has averaged ±0.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

30.3%

Calls (2K)P/C Ratio: 1.50Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CACI beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could rise by about 1.6%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management expresses caution, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors digest the commentary.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.25%, reflecting disappointment in performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new government contracts and their expected revenue impact.
2Management's outlook on future revenue growth and market conditions.
3Updates on technology investments and their role in service delivery.
4Any commentary on competitive pressures in the consulting space.
5Insights into cost management strategies and profit margin expectations.