Equity Profile

CART

MAPLEBEAR INC

Consumer StaplesFood Retail$9.7B

May6Wed

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market7:00 AM EDT

Maplebear Inc. Misses on EPS, Stock Down 8.18%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.57	$0.89	-1.04%
Revenue	—	$1.0B	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Maplebear Inc. Misses on EPS, Stock Down 8.18%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.57	$0.89	-1.04%
Revenue	—	$1.0B	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Maplebear Inc.'s earnings report showed a significant miss on EPS, which likely contributed to the stock's sharp decline of 8.18%. Investors may be concerned about the company's performance relative to expectations, especially given the lack of revenue information. The absence of management commentary or guidance adds to the uncertainty surrounding the company's future outlook.

Company Snapshot

Maplebear Inc. operates in the consumer staples sector, focusing on food retail....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Maplebear is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.89

Revenue

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's market position and ability to attract customers in a competitive landscape.

$1.0B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Maplebear Inc. operates in the consumer staples sector, focusing on food retail. With a market cap of $10 billion, the company plays a significant role in the grocery market, which is influenced by consumer spending trends and shifts in buying behavior.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.45%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, Maplebear reported an EPS of $0.30, significantly missing the estimate of $0.52. Despite the miss, the stock saw a slight increase of 0.94% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Maplebear's upcoming earnings, expecting an EPS of $0.89 and revenue of $1.0 billion. The company has a history of beating EPS estimates, which could influence market sentiment.

Bull Case

If Maplebear can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal improved operational efficiency and consumer demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, especially after a prior miss, it could raise concerns about its growth trajectory and management effectiveness, potentially leading to a negative stock response.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.89

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Maplebear is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.0B

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's market position and ability to attract customers in a competitive landscape.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Maplebear's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.89?

A beat on EPS would reinforce confidence in the company's profitability and operational management, especially after a significant miss last quarter.

What revenue figures will Maplebear report, and how do they compare to the $1.0 billion consensus?

Revenue performance is critical for understanding the company's market position and growth potential, particularly in a competitive food retail environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a strong recovery in consumer spending, which could lead to better-than-expected revenue figures for Maplebear this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Maplebear has a history of surprising on the upside, with a 75% EPS beat rate over the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility and potential for a surprise.

Insider selling activity could suggest a lack of confidence from management, but it may not reflect the broader market sentiment.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in above $1.0 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift expectations positively.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating Maplebear's ability to recover from recent earnings misses and sustain growth in a challenging retail environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.90 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $1.0 billion, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.83 or revenue significantly under $996 million would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.59%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.2% while CART has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

41.6%

Calls (104K)P/C Ratio: 0.45Puts (99K)

Edge

Insider Activity

Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.

Bought

$0.00

0 sh

0 insiders

Sold

$377,904.31

9,390 sh

1 insider

Net

$377,904.31

Net selling

Most Active Insiders· 1 open-market trade

Chief Accounting OfficerBLACKWOOD-KAPRAL LISA
$377,904.31

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Maplebear beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.01%, confirming a positive outlook for the company.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with estimates, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, the pattern has been that the stock could decline by about 0.36%, raising concerns about its growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on consumer demand trends and how they are impacting sales.
2Management's commentary on cost management and operational efficiency improvements.
3Insights into competitive pressures in the food retail sector.
4Any guidance on future quarters and expectations for revenue growth.
5Details on product launches or initiatives that could drive future sales.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Maplebear Inc. operates in the consumer staples sector, focusing on food retail....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Maplebear is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.89

Revenue

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's market position and ability to attract customers in a competitive landscape.

$1.0B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.45%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, Maplebear reported an EPS of $0.30, significantly missing the estimate of $0.52. Despite the miss, the stock saw a slight increase of 0.94% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Maplebear can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal improved operational efficiency and consumer demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.89

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Maplebear is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.0B

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's market position and ability to attract customers in a competitive landscape.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Maplebear's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.89?

A beat on EPS would reinforce confidence in the company's profitability and operational management, especially after a significant miss last quarter.

What revenue figures will Maplebear report, and how do they compare to the $1.0 billion consensus?

Revenue performance is critical for understanding the company's market position and growth potential, particularly in a competitive food retail environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a strong recovery in consumer spending, which could lead to better-than-expected revenue figures for Maplebear this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Maplebear has a history of surprising on the upside, with a 75% EPS beat rate over the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility and potential for a surprise.

Insider selling activity could suggest a lack of confidence from management, but it may not reflect the broader market sentiment.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in above $1.0 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift expectations positively.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating Maplebear's ability to recover from recent earnings misses and sustain growth in a challenging retail environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.90 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $1.0 billion, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.83 or revenue significantly under $996 million would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.59%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.2% while CART has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

41.6%

Calls (104K)P/C Ratio: 0.45Puts (99K)

Edge

Insider Activity

Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.

Bought

$0.00

0 sh

0 insiders

Sold

$377,904.31

9,390 sh

1 insider

Net

$377,904.31

Net selling

Most Active Insiders· 1 open-market trade

Chief Accounting OfficerBLACKWOOD-KAPRAL LISA
$377,904.31

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Maplebear beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.01%, confirming a positive outlook for the company.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with estimates, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, the pattern has been that the stock could decline by about 0.36%, raising concerns about its growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on consumer demand trends and how they are impacting sales.
2Management's commentary on cost management and operational efficiency improvements.
3Insights into competitive pressures in the food retail sector.
4Any guidance on future quarters and expectations for revenue growth.
5Details on product launches or initiatives that could drive future sales.