Equity Profile

CART

Maplebear Inc.

Consumer StaplesFood Retail$11.6B

Apr29Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Maplebear Inc. (CART) operates in the consumer staples sector, focusing on food retail....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and attract customers.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CART Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Maplebear Inc. (CART) operates in the consumer staples sector, focusing on food retail. As a significant player in the grocery market, its performance is closely tied to consumer spending trends and food inflation, making it an important company to watch in the current economic climate.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.45%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Maplebear reported an EPS of $0.57, slightly missing expectations. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 8.18% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Maplebear's upcoming earnings, given its historical performance and market conditions. However, concerns about rising costs and competition may temper enthusiasm.

Bull Case

If Maplebear can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports another earnings miss or shows signs of declining sales, it could lead to further stock declines.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and a significant deviation from expectations could impact stock performance.

How did same-store sales perform in the last quarter?

This metric will indicate customer demand and loyalty, which are essential for future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for recovery in Maplebear's sales, especially given recent trends in consumer spending.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a 2.62% move, which is higher than the historical average of 2.24%.

The company's historical EPS beat rate of 63% suggests it has a solid chance of exceeding expectations.

Recent consumer spending data indicates a potential uptick in grocery sales, which could benefit Maplebear.

Key Risk

If same-store sales growth exceeds 3%, it could significantly shift market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing the company's ability to recover from recent earnings misses against its potential for growth in a competitive environment.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS surprise of at least 5% would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS miss of more than 5% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.62%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a moderate move around the earnings report, suggesting uncertainty about the results.

Options are pricing ±2.6% while CART has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

49.5%

Calls (18K)P/C Ratio: 1.11Puts (33K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 19 of 30 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 5.1%, with a raw directional average of +1.0% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

History suggests that a strong earnings beat could lead to a stock increase of around 1.24%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If the results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.49%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies to improve margins.
2Details on customer acquisition and retention efforts.
3Insights into supply chain stability and its impact on pricing.
4Management's outlook on consumer spending trends for the upcoming quarters.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the food retail space.

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Company Snapshot

Maplebear Inc. (CART) operates in the consumer staples sector, focusing on food retail....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and attract customers.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CART Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.45%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Maplebear reported an EPS of $0.57, slightly missing expectations. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 8.18% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Maplebear can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports another earnings miss or shows signs of declining sales, it could lead to further stock declines.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and a significant deviation from expectations could impact stock performance.

How did same-store sales perform in the last quarter?

This metric will indicate customer demand and loyalty, which are essential for future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for recovery in Maplebear's sales, especially given recent trends in consumer spending.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a 2.62% move, which is higher than the historical average of 2.24%.

The company's historical EPS beat rate of 63% suggests it has a solid chance of exceeding expectations.

Recent consumer spending data indicates a potential uptick in grocery sales, which could benefit Maplebear.

Key Risk

If same-store sales growth exceeds 3%, it could significantly shift market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing the company's ability to recover from recent earnings misses against its potential for growth in a competitive environment.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS surprise of at least 5% would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS miss of more than 5% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.62%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a moderate move around the earnings report, suggesting uncertainty about the results.

Options are pricing ±2.6% while CART has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

49.5%

Calls (18K)P/C Ratio: 1.11Puts (33K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

History suggests that a strong earnings beat could lead to a stock increase of around 1.24%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If the results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.49%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies to improve margins.
2Details on customer acquisition and retention efforts.
3Insights into supply chain stability and its impact on pricing.
4Management's outlook on consumer spending trends for the upcoming quarters.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the food retail space.