Equity Profile

CCEP

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC

Consumer StaplesSoft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages$40.2B

Sep2Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2021Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) is a major bottler for Coca-Cola products in Europe and the Pacific. Operating in the consumer staples sector, CCEP plays a crucial role in the soft drinks and non-alcoholic beverages industry, which is influenced by consumer spending trends and health-conscious choices.

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is vital as it indicates how well the company is expanding its market presence and meeting consumer demand.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and is closely watched by investors to gauge financial health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CCEP Q2-2021 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 2Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.61%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.52%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, CCEP reported an EPS of $0.33, exceeding estimates by 10.74%. The stock saw a modest increase of 0.35% the following day, reflecting a positive market reaction.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about CCEP's upcoming earnings, with expectations for steady revenue growth amid changing consumer preferences.

Bull Case

If CCEP demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains or increases its market share, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports weaker-than-expected earnings or shows signs of declining market share, it could raise concerns about its competitive position and lead to a negative stock reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth rate for the upcoming quarter?

This figure will be crucial in assessing the company's ability to capture market demand and compete effectively.

How is CCEP addressing changing consumer preferences towards healthier beverage options?

Consumer trends are shifting, and CCEP's response could significantly impact its market position and future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate CCEP's ability to adapt to consumer trends, particularly in health-focused beverages, which could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

The company's historical performance shows resilience in adapting to market changes.

Options pricing suggests a significant move is expected, indicating potential volatility that could favor a positive surprise.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds 5%, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around CCEP's ability to adapt to market changes and sustain growth.

Bull Confirmed If

Demonstrating revenue growth of 5% or more would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue decline or stagnation would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5%

The options market is pricing in a potential move of 5% in either direction following the earnings report, indicating a degree of uncertainty among investors.

Detail

30d HV

26.1%

Calls (10K)P/C Ratio: 0.10Puts (2K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat setup in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 30 (27%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 22 of 30 (73%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.8%, with a raw directional average of +1.9% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CCEP beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 0.35%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management expresses caution, the stock may see little movement as investors weigh future risks.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 1.39%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on market share changes in key regions.
2Insights into consumer trends and how CCEP is adapting its product offerings.
3Details on cost management and pricing strategies in response to inflation.
4Comments on supply chain stability and its impact on product availability.
5Future guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is vital as it indicates how well the company is expanding its market presence and meeting consumer demand.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and is closely watched by investors to gauge financial health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CCEP Q2-2021 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 2Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.61%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.52%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, CCEP reported an EPS of $0.33, exceeding estimates by 10.74%. The stock saw a modest increase of 0.35% the following day, reflecting a positive market reaction.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about CCEP's upcoming earnings, with expectations for steady revenue growth amid changing consumer preferences.

Bull Case

If CCEP demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains or increases its market share, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth rate for the upcoming quarter?

This figure will be crucial in assessing the company's ability to capture market demand and compete effectively.

How is CCEP addressing changing consumer preferences towards healthier beverage options?

Consumer trends are shifting, and CCEP's response could significantly impact its market position and future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate CCEP's ability to adapt to consumer trends, particularly in health-focused beverages, which could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

The company's historical performance shows resilience in adapting to market changes.

Options pricing suggests a significant move is expected, indicating potential volatility that could favor a positive surprise.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds 5%, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around CCEP's ability to adapt to market changes and sustain growth.

Bull Confirmed If

Demonstrating revenue growth of 5% or more would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue decline or stagnation would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5%

The options market is pricing in a potential move of 5% in either direction following the earnings report, indicating a degree of uncertainty among investors.

Detail

30d HV

26.1%

Calls (10K)P/C Ratio: 0.10Puts (2K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat setup in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 30 (27%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CCEP beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 0.35%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management expresses caution, the stock may see little movement as investors weigh future risks.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 1.39%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on market share changes in key regions.
2Insights into consumer trends and how CCEP is adapting its product offerings.
3Details on cost management and pricing strategies in response to inflation.
4Comments on supply chain stability and its impact on product availability.
5Future guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.