Equity Profile

CCU

CompaÃ±Ãa CervecerÃas Unidas S.A.

Consumer StaplesBrewers$2.0B

Apr29Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2018After Close1:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (CCU) is a major player in the brewing industry, primarily operating in the consumer staples sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates how well CCU is expanding its sales, which is crucial for investor confidence.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, impacting stock performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CCU Q2-2018 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (CCU) is a major player in the brewing industry, primarily operating in the consumer staples sector. The company produces and distributes a variety of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, making it an important part of the beverage market in Latin America.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

13%

Avg EPS Surprise

-7.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.31%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, CCU reported an EPS of $307.10, but there were no estimates available for comparison. The stock saw a slight increase of 0.31% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for CCU's upcoming earnings report are uncertain due to a lack of analyst estimates and management guidance. Investors will be keen to see how the company navigates current market challenges.

Bull Case

If CCU demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability, it could signal a robust recovery in consumer demand, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company shows signs of declining sales or profitability, it may raise concerns about its competitive position and lead to a negative market response.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for this quarter?

Revenue growth is critical for CCU's valuation and will indicate how well the company is performing in a competitive market.

How has consumer demand changed in recent months?

Understanding shifts in consumer demand will help investors gauge the company's ability to adapt and thrive in the current economic environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating CCU's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, particularly in the craft beer segment, which could drive stronger-than-expected sales.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 22.92% move, indicating significant uncertainty that may not reflect the company's underlying strength.

CCU's historical performance shows a 50% EPS beat rate, suggesting potential for positive surprises.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around CCU's ability to maintain or grow its market share in a challenging economic landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue growth of over 5% compared to the previous quarter would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in revenue or negative commentary on market conditions would confirm a bearish outlook.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±22.92%

Historical Avg

±0.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating high uncertainty or volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±22.9% while CCU has averaged ±0.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

30d HV

35.7%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 1.12Puts (0)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 18 of 27 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Mixed flows

Institutional

13.85%

of float

Insider

0.00%

of float

Holders

100

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

First Eagle Investment Management, LLC
15,915,910 sh · $182.2M
8.61%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CCU beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.07%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the market may react cautiously, leading to minimal movement in stock price.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 1.19%, indicating investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on market share changes in key beverage segments.
2Insights into consumer demand trends and preferences.
3Management's outlook on pricing strategies and cost management.
4Discussion on competitive pressures from other brewers.
5Any commentary on international market performance.

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Company Snapshot

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (CCU) is a major player in the brewing industry, primarily operating in the consumer staples sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates how well CCU is expanding its sales, which is crucial for investor confidence.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, impacting stock performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CCU Q2-2018 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

13%

Avg EPS Surprise

-7.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.31%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, CCU reported an EPS of $307.10, but there were no estimates available for comparison. The stock saw a slight increase of 0.31% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If CCU demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability, it could signal a robust recovery in consumer demand, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company shows signs of declining sales or profitability, it may raise concerns about its competitive position and lead to a negative market response.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for this quarter?

Revenue growth is critical for CCU's valuation and will indicate how well the company is performing in a competitive market.

How has consumer demand changed in recent months?

Understanding shifts in consumer demand will help investors gauge the company's ability to adapt and thrive in the current economic environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating CCU's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, particularly in the craft beer segment, which could drive stronger-than-expected sales.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 22.92% move, indicating significant uncertainty that may not reflect the company's underlying strength.

CCU's historical performance shows a 50% EPS beat rate, suggesting potential for positive surprises.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around CCU's ability to maintain or grow its market share in a challenging economic landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue growth of over 5% compared to the previous quarter would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in revenue or negative commentary on market conditions would confirm a bearish outlook.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±22.92%

Historical Avg

±0.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating high uncertainty or volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±22.9% while CCU has averaged ±0.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

30d HV

35.7%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 1.12Puts (0)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Mixed flows

Institutional

13.85%

of float

Insider

0.00%

of float

Holders

100

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

First Eagle Investment Management, LLC
15,915,910 sh · $182.2M
8.61%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CCU beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.07%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the market may react cautiously, leading to minimal movement in stock price.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 1.19%, indicating investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on market share changes in key beverage segments.
2Insights into consumer demand trends and preferences.
3Management's outlook on pricing strategies and cost management.
4Discussion on competitive pressures from other brewers.
5Any commentary on international market performance.