Equity Profile

CHRW

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

IndustrialsAir Freight & Logistics$17.5B

Apr29Wed

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:05 PM EDT

C.H. Robinson Beats on EPS, Stock Down 0.81%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.35	$1.23	+8.43%
Revenue	N/A	$4.0B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

C.H. Robinson Beats on EPS, Stock Down 0.81%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.35	$1.23	+8.43%
Revenue	N/A	$4.0B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record for the earnings call, so the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

C.H. Robinson's earnings report showed a positive surprise in EPS, indicating better-than-expected profitability. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 0.81%. The lack of revenue data and guidance may have contributed to investor uncertainty.

Company Snapshot

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.

$1.23

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the overall business activity and demand for logistics services, which is critical in the current economic environment.

$4.0B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is a leading logistics company that specializes in freight transportation and supply chain management. Operating in the industrials sector, it plays a crucial role in global trade by connecting shippers with carriers, making it an important player in the air freight and logistics industry.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+11.73%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, C.H. Robinson reported an EPS of $1.23, exceeding expectations by 9.72%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 2.14% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about C.H. Robinson's upcoming earnings, expecting solid EPS and revenue figures. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If C.H. Robinson continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and demand in logistics, potentially leading to a stock price increase.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides cautious guidance, it could raise concerns about future growth and profitability, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.23

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.

Revenue

$4.0B

Total revenue reflects the overall business activity and demand for logistics services, which is critical in the current economic environment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.23?

A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could boost investor confidence.

What will management say about revenue growth expectations?

Guidance on revenue growth is crucial for understanding the demand environment and future profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate C.H. Robinson's ability to capitalize on increasing demand for logistics services, especially in light of recent supply chain disruptions.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting higher volatility expectations that may not align with conservative consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly exceeds $4.0B, it could challenge the current market narrative.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching C.H. Robinson's ability to maintain its growth trajectory amid economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.30 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.14 would indicate potential challenges in meeting market expectations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±10.02%

Historical Avg

±1.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating that traders expect volatility.

Options are pricing ±10.0% while CHRW has averaged ±1.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

34.0%

Calls (27K)P/C Ratio: 1.94Puts (83K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If C.H. Robinson beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 0.38%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of 0.0% when expectations are not met.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new customer contracts or partnerships.
2Insights into cost management strategies amid rising operational costs.
3Comments on market demand trends in logistics and freight.
4Guidance on future revenue growth and profitability outlook.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.

$1.23

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the overall business activity and demand for logistics services, which is critical in the current economic environment.

$4.0B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+11.73%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, C.H. Robinson reported an EPS of $1.23, exceeding expectations by 9.72%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 2.14% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about C.H. Robinson's upcoming earnings, expecting solid EPS and revenue figures. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If C.H. Robinson continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and demand in logistics, potentially leading to a stock price increase.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides cautious guidance, it could raise concerns about future growth and profitability, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.23

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.

Revenue

$4.0B

Total revenue reflects the overall business activity and demand for logistics services, which is critical in the current economic environment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.23?

A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could boost investor confidence.

What will management say about revenue growth expectations?

Guidance on revenue growth is crucial for understanding the demand environment and future profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate C.H. Robinson's ability to capitalize on increasing demand for logistics services, especially in light of recent supply chain disruptions.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting higher volatility expectations that may not align with conservative consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly exceeds $4.0B, it could challenge the current market narrative.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching C.H. Robinson's ability to maintain its growth trajectory amid economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.30 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.14 would indicate potential challenges in meeting market expectations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±10.02%

Historical Avg

±1.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating that traders expect volatility.

Options are pricing ±10.0% while CHRW has averaged ±1.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

34.0%

Calls (27K)P/C Ratio: 1.94Puts (83K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If C.H. Robinson beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 0.38%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of 0.0% when expectations are not met.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new customer contracts or partnerships.
2Insights into cost management strategies amid rising operational costs.
3Comments on market demand trends in logistics and freight.
4Guidance on future revenue growth and profitability outlook.