Equity Profile

COTY

Coty Inc.

Consumer StaplesPersonal Care Products$2.0B

Aug20Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a consumer staples company that specializes in personal care products, including cosmetics and fragrances....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely watch.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and capture market share in a competitive industry.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

COTY Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a consumer staples company that specializes in personal care products, including cosmetics and fragrances. With a market cap of $2 billion, Coty plays a significant role in the beauty industry, which is influenced by trends in consumer spending and preferences for personal care products.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-264.36%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.70%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter (Q3-2026), Coty reported an EPS of -$0.03, falling short of expectations by a significant margin. The stock reacted positively, increasing by 5.79% the following day despite the disappointing earnings.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Coty's upcoming earnings report are mixed, given its recent history of earnings misses. Investors are looking for signs of improvement in profitability and revenue growth.

Bull Case

If Coty can show a turnaround in earnings and revenue growth, it could signal a recovery in its business, leading to increased investor confidence and a potential rise in stock price.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Coty continues to miss earnings expectations and fails to demonstrate growth, it may lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

Given Coty's recent history of earnings misses, the EPS figure will be crucial in determining investor sentiment and stock movement.

What is the revenue growth rate for key product segments?

Revenue growth in critical areas will indicate whether Coty is successfully navigating market challenges and gaining traction with consumers.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Coty's potential for a rebound in consumer demand, especially in the fragrance segment, which has shown resilience in recent trends.

Supporting Evidence

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility regardless of past performance.

Coty's recent stock price increase following poor earnings indicates that some investors may be anticipating a recovery.

The company's brand portfolio includes strong names that could drive sales if marketing efforts are successful.

Key Risk

If Coty reports an unexpected increase in revenue from key segments, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results will be pivotal in assessing Coty's recovery trajectory and ability to meet market expectations.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS of $0.05 or better, along with revenue growth of at least 5% year-over-year.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below -$0.05 and flat or declining revenue growth.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±28.17%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move of over 28%, indicating heightened uncertainty around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±28.2% while COTY has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

51.5%

Calls (105K)P/C Ratio: 0.13Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 5.3%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Coty beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 5.79%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer signals of growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data indicating an average drop of about 0.70% following earnings misses.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on product launches or marketing strategies that could drive sales growth.
2Insights into consumer trends that are impacting Coty's performance.
3Management's commentary on cost management and profitability initiatives.
4Details on market share changes in the personal care products sector.
5Any guidance on future earnings expectations or strategic direction.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Fabrinet

Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a consumer staples company that specializes in personal care products, including cosmetics and fragrances....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely watch.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and capture market share in a competitive industry.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

COTY Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-264.36%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.70%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Coty's upcoming earnings report are mixed, given its recent history of earnings misses. Investors are looking for signs of improvement in profitability and revenue growth.

Bull Case

If Coty can show a turnaround in earnings and revenue growth, it could signal a recovery in its business, leading to increased investor confidence and a potential rise in stock price.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Coty continues to miss earnings expectations and fails to demonstrate growth, it may lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

Given Coty's recent history of earnings misses, the EPS figure will be crucial in determining investor sentiment and stock movement.

What is the revenue growth rate for key product segments?

Revenue growth in critical areas will indicate whether Coty is successfully navigating market challenges and gaining traction with consumers.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Coty's potential for a rebound in consumer demand, especially in the fragrance segment, which has shown resilience in recent trends.

Supporting Evidence

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility regardless of past performance.

Coty's recent stock price increase following poor earnings indicates that some investors may be anticipating a recovery.

The company's brand portfolio includes strong names that could drive sales if marketing efforts are successful.

Key Risk

If Coty reports an unexpected increase in revenue from key segments, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results will be pivotal in assessing Coty's recovery trajectory and ability to meet market expectations.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS of $0.05 or better, along with revenue growth of at least 5% year-over-year.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below -$0.05 and flat or declining revenue growth.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±28.17%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move of over 28%, indicating heightened uncertainty around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±28.2% while COTY has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

51.5%

Calls (105K)P/C Ratio: 0.13Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Coty beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 5.79%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer signals of growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data indicating an average drop of about 0.70% following earnings misses.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on product launches or marketing strategies that could drive sales growth.
2Insights into consumer trends that are impacting Coty's performance.
3Management's commentary on cost management and profitability initiatives.
4Details on market share changes in the personal care products sector.
5Any guidance on future earnings expectations or strategic direction.