Equity Profile

DAN

Dana Incorporated

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$3.8B

Apr29Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on providing advanced solutions for vehicle manufacturers. As consumer spending trends shift and the automotive industry evolves, Dana's performance will be closely watched by investors looking for insights into broader market dynamics.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.

0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the estimate of $0.26. Despite the disappointing results, the stock saw a modest increase of 7.64% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Dana's upcoming earnings, expecting an EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $1.8 billion. However, given the company's recent performance, there is a mix of hope and skepticism among investors.

Bull Case

If Dana can meet or exceed the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal a turnaround in performance, boosting investor confidence and potentially leading to a significant stock rally.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it may raise concerns about its operational efficiency and market competitiveness, leading to a negative reaction in the stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

0.44

EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana achieve an EPS of at least $0.44?

This EPS figure is critical for restoring investor confidence after recent misses and could influence stock performance significantly.

How does Dana's revenue compare to the expected $1.8 billion?

Revenue performance is essential to assess market demand and operational efficiency, and any shortfall could raise red flags.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Dana's ability to rebound from recent earnings misses, as the company has been actively restructuring and improving operational efficiencies.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 4.79% move, but the stock has averaged 6.15% in past quarters, suggesting potential for a larger reaction.

The recent stock price increase after disappointing earnings indicates some investor optimism that may not be fully reflected in consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue significantly exceeds $1.8 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are pivotal as they will indicate whether Dana can recover from previous earnings disappointments and regain market confidence.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.44 or higher with revenue at or above $1.8 billion would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 or revenue below $1.8 billion would signal ongoing challenges for the company.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.79%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of approximately 4.79%, indicating that investors anticipate some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±4.8% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

30d HV

38.0%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 16 of 28 faded and 12 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats estimates, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.64%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted response, reflecting ongoing investor caution.

Miss

Should Dana miss expectations, the stock could drop by approximately 2.28%, reinforcing concerns about its operational performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost-cutting measures and their impact on profitability.
2Insights into demand trends in the automotive sector and how they affect Dana's sales.
3Management's commentary on supply chain challenges and their resolution.
4Details on new product launches and their expected contribution to revenue.
5Any guidance on future earnings expectations and strategic initiatives.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.

0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the estimate of $0.26. Despite the disappointing results, the stock saw a modest increase of 7.64% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Dana can meet or exceed the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal a turnaround in performance, boosting investor confidence and potentially leading to a significant stock rally.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it may raise concerns about its operational efficiency and market competitiveness, leading to a negative reaction in the stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

0.44

EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana achieve an EPS of at least $0.44?

This EPS figure is critical for restoring investor confidence after recent misses and could influence stock performance significantly.

How does Dana's revenue compare to the expected $1.8 billion?

Revenue performance is essential to assess market demand and operational efficiency, and any shortfall could raise red flags.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Dana's ability to rebound from recent earnings misses, as the company has been actively restructuring and improving operational efficiencies.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 4.79% move, but the stock has averaged 6.15% in past quarters, suggesting potential for a larger reaction.

The recent stock price increase after disappointing earnings indicates some investor optimism that may not be fully reflected in consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue significantly exceeds $1.8 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are pivotal as they will indicate whether Dana can recover from previous earnings disappointments and regain market confidence.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.44 or higher with revenue at or above $1.8 billion would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 or revenue below $1.8 billion would signal ongoing challenges for the company.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.79%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of approximately 4.79%, indicating that investors anticipate some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±4.8% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

30d HV

38.0%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats estimates, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.64%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted response, reflecting ongoing investor caution.

Miss

Should Dana miss expectations, the stock could drop by approximately 2.28%, reinforcing concerns about its operational performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost-cutting measures and their impact on profitability.
2Insights into demand trends in the automotive sector and how they affect Dana's sales.
3Management's commentary on supply chain challenges and their resolution.
4Details on new product launches and their expected contribution to revenue.
5Any guidance on future earnings expectations and strategic initiatives.