Equity Profile

DAN

Dana Incorporated

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$3.3B

Apr29Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, providing essential components for vehicles. As consumer spending in the automotive industry fluctuates, Dana's performance can be a bellwether for broader trends in consumer discretionary spending.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and can indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in the automotive market.

1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly below the expected $0.26, leading to a notable stock reaction. The company continues to face challenges in meeting earnings expectations.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Dana's upcoming earnings, with expectations for a modest recovery in EPS and revenue. However, the company has struggled with past earnings surprises, which adds uncertainty.

Bull Case

If Dana can exceed the consensus EPS of $0.44 and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround in operational efficiency and market demand, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Dana fails to meet the EPS and revenue estimates, it may raise concerns about ongoing operational challenges and market conditions, leading to further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

0.44

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and can indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in the automotive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?

A beat on EPS could indicate improved operational performance and restore investor confidence after recent misses.

What revenue figures will Dana report, and how do they compare to the $1.8B consensus?

Revenue performance will be crucial in assessing demand for Dana's products and overall market health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be overly cautious given Dana's recent performance, potentially underestimating a rebound in demand for automotive parts.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 4.79% move, but the stock has historically moved more than that in similar setups.

The recent trend of consumer spending in the automotive sector shows signs of recovery, which could positively impact Dana's sales.

Key Risk

If Dana reports a significant improvement in operational efficiency, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it will determine whether Dana can recover from a series of disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.45 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $1.85B, would confirm a positive turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 and revenue under $1.75B would signal ongoing struggles and could lead to further stock declines.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.79%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential movement of about 4.79% in either direction following the earnings report, indicating some uncertainty among investors.

Options are pricing ±4.8% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

30d HV

38.0%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 16 of 28 faded and 12 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.6%, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results come in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors digest the news.

Miss

Should Dana miss estimates, the average historical reaction indicates a potential decline of about 2.28%, reflecting ongoing concerns.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
2Insights on demand trends for automotive parts in the current market.
3Details on any new contracts or partnerships that could drive future revenue.
4Management's outlook on the automotive industry for the remainder of the year.
5Any commentary on supply chain improvements and their effects on production.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and can indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in the automotive market.

1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Dana can exceed the consensus EPS of $0.44 and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround in operational efficiency and market demand, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Dana fails to meet the EPS and revenue estimates, it may raise concerns about ongoing operational challenges and market conditions, leading to further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

0.44

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and can indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in the automotive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?

A beat on EPS could indicate improved operational performance and restore investor confidence after recent misses.

What revenue figures will Dana report, and how do they compare to the $1.8B consensus?

Revenue performance will be crucial in assessing demand for Dana's products and overall market health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be overly cautious given Dana's recent performance, potentially underestimating a rebound in demand for automotive parts.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 4.79% move, but the stock has historically moved more than that in similar setups.

The recent trend of consumer spending in the automotive sector shows signs of recovery, which could positively impact Dana's sales.

Key Risk

If Dana reports a significant improvement in operational efficiency, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it will determine whether Dana can recover from a series of disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.45 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $1.85B, would confirm a positive turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 and revenue under $1.75B would signal ongoing struggles and could lead to further stock declines.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.79%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential movement of about 4.79% in either direction following the earnings report, indicating some uncertainty among investors.

Options are pricing ±4.8% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

30d HV

38.0%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.6%, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results come in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors digest the news.

Miss

Should Dana miss estimates, the average historical reaction indicates a potential decline of about 2.28%, reflecting ongoing concerns.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
2Insights on demand trends for automotive parts in the current market.
3Details on any new contracts or partnerships that could drive future revenue.
4Management's outlook on the automotive industry for the remainder of the year.
5Any commentary on supply chain improvements and their effects on production.