Equity Profile

DAN

Dana Incorporated

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$2.9B

Apr29Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a leading supplier of automotive parts and equipment, focusing on driveline and sealing technologies. As a player in the consumer discretionary sector, its performance is closely tied to trends in vehicle production and consumer spending on automobiles.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.

0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand.

1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the estimate of $0.26. This disappointing performance led to a stock increase of 7.64% the following day, indicating some investor optimism despite the miss.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Dana to report an EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $1.8 billion for Q1-2026. The market is cautiously optimistic, given the recent trends in consumer spending and automotive production.

Bull Case

If Dana meets or exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal a recovery in profitability and operational efficiency, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Dana falls short of expectations again, it may raise concerns about ongoing operational challenges and market competitiveness, leading to a potential decline in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

0.44

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.

Revenue

1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana achieve an EPS of at least $0.44?

This figure is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent misses and could indicate a turnaround in profitability.

What are the revenue figures compared to the $1.8 billion consensus?

Revenue performance will provide insight into market demand and the company's ability to capitalize on consumer spending trends.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Dana's potential for a rebound, as recent trends in automotive production suggest a recovery in demand that could drive better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 4.79% move, but the stock has averaged a 6.15% move historically, suggesting potential for a larger reaction.

The recent increase in consumer spending on automobiles may not be fully reflected in the consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in below $0.40, it could signal deeper issues within the company that the market has not accounted for.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Dana's ability to recover from previous earnings misses and improve its financial health.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.44 or better, with revenue meeting or exceeding $1.8 billion.

Bear Confirmed If

Reporting an EPS below $0.40 or revenue below $1.8 billion.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.79%

Historical Avg

±6.15%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of approximately 4.79% around the earnings report, suggesting that traders expect some volatility.

Options are pricing a smaller move than the historical average, indicating a potentially undervalued setup.

Detail

30d HV

38.0%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 16 of 28 faded and 12 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.64%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to muted reactions, as investors weigh management commentary against recent performance.

Miss

If Dana misses expectations, history indicates an average decline of about 2.28%, reinforcing concerns about ongoing challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost-cutting measures and their impact on profitability.
2Insights into demand trends in the automotive sector and how they are affecting sales.
3Management's outlook on future quarters and any guidance provided.
4Details on new product launches or innovations that could drive growth.
5Comments on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.

0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand.

1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Dana to report an EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $1.8 billion for Q1-2026. The market is cautiously optimistic, given the recent trends in consumer spending and automotive production.

Bull Case

If Dana meets or exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal a recovery in profitability and operational efficiency, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Dana falls short of expectations again, it may raise concerns about ongoing operational challenges and market competitiveness, leading to a potential decline in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

0.44

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.

Revenue

1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana achieve an EPS of at least $0.44?

This figure is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent misses and could indicate a turnaround in profitability.

What are the revenue figures compared to the $1.8 billion consensus?

Revenue performance will provide insight into market demand and the company's ability to capitalize on consumer spending trends.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Dana's potential for a rebound, as recent trends in automotive production suggest a recovery in demand that could drive better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 4.79% move, but the stock has averaged a 6.15% move historically, suggesting potential for a larger reaction.

The recent increase in consumer spending on automobiles may not be fully reflected in the consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in below $0.40, it could signal deeper issues within the company that the market has not accounted for.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Dana's ability to recover from previous earnings misses and improve its financial health.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.44 or better, with revenue meeting or exceeding $1.8 billion.

Bear Confirmed If

Reporting an EPS below $0.40 or revenue below $1.8 billion.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.79%

Historical Avg

±6.15%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of approximately 4.79% around the earnings report, suggesting that traders expect some volatility.

Options are pricing a smaller move than the historical average, indicating a potentially undervalued setup.

Detail

30d HV

38.0%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.64%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to muted reactions, as investors weigh management commentary against recent performance.

Miss

If Dana misses expectations, history indicates an average decline of about 2.28%, reinforcing concerns about ongoing challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost-cutting measures and their impact on profitability.
2Insights into demand trends in the automotive sector and how they are affecting sales.
3Management's outlook on future quarters and any guidance provided.
4Details on new product launches or innovations that could drive growth.
5Comments on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.