Equity Profile

DAN

Dana Incorporated

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$3.8B

Aug4Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on providing innovative solutions for vehicle manufacturers. As consumer spending shifts and the automotive industry evolves, Dana's performance is closely watched by investors seeking insights into broader market trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$0.44

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and demand for its products, which is vital for assessing growth.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2025, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the estimate of $0.26, which raised concerns about its profitability. The stock reacted positively the next day, gaining 7.64%, indicating some investor optimism despite the earnings miss.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic for Dana's upcoming earnings, expecting an EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $1.8 billion. However, the company's recent history of earnings misses raises concerns about whether it can meet these expectations.

Bull Case

If Dana can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in its operational efficiency and market demand, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Dana misses its earnings targets again, it could indicate deeper issues within the company, leading to a further decline in stock price and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.44

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.8B

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and demand for its products, which is vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana achieve an EPS of $0.44 or better this quarter?

This figure is crucial as it will determine whether the company can regain investor confidence after several earnings misses.

What are the revenue figures for this quarter, and how do they compare to the expected $1.8 billion?

Revenue performance will be a key indicator of demand for Dana's products and overall market health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Dana to rebound, as recent operational changes could lead to improved margins and efficiency.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a 13.34% move, indicating expectations of significant volatility that may not align with historical performance.

Dana's recent stock price movements suggest that investors are still optimistic despite past earnings misses.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue comes in significantly above $1.8 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether Dana can overcome its recent performance issues and meet market expectations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.44 or better, along with revenue exceeding $1.8 billion, would confirm a positive turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 or revenue falling short of $1.8 billion would signal ongoing challenges for the company.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.34%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting that traders expect volatility based on the upcoming results.

Options are pricing ±13.3% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

39.8%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.97Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 16 of 28 faded and 12 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 3.64%, confirming a positive shift in its operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

If Dana misses its targets, history indicates a potential decline of around 2.28%, reflecting ongoing investor concerns.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost-cutting measures and their impact on profitability.
2Insights into demand trends for Dana's products in the automotive market.
3Management's outlook on future revenue growth and market conditions.
4Details on any new contracts or partnerships that could drive sales.
5Comments on supply chain stability and its effect on production.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$0.44

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and demand for its products, which is vital for assessing growth.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Dana can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in its operational efficiency and market demand, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Dana misses its earnings targets again, it could indicate deeper issues within the company, leading to a further decline in stock price and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.44

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.8B

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and demand for its products, which is vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana achieve an EPS of $0.44 or better this quarter?

This figure is crucial as it will determine whether the company can regain investor confidence after several earnings misses.

What are the revenue figures for this quarter, and how do they compare to the expected $1.8 billion?

Revenue performance will be a key indicator of demand for Dana's products and overall market health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Dana to rebound, as recent operational changes could lead to improved margins and efficiency.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a 13.34% move, indicating expectations of significant volatility that may not align with historical performance.

Dana's recent stock price movements suggest that investors are still optimistic despite past earnings misses.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue comes in significantly above $1.8 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether Dana can overcome its recent performance issues and meet market expectations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.44 or better, along with revenue exceeding $1.8 billion, would confirm a positive turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 or revenue falling short of $1.8 billion would signal ongoing challenges for the company.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.34%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting that traders expect volatility based on the upcoming results.

Options are pricing ±13.3% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

39.8%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.97Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 3.64%, confirming a positive shift in its operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

If Dana misses its targets, history indicates a potential decline of around 2.28%, reflecting ongoing investor concerns.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost-cutting measures and their impact on profitability.
2Insights into demand trends for Dana's products in the automotive market.
3Management's outlook on future revenue growth and market conditions.
4Details on any new contracts or partnerships that could drive sales.
5Comments on supply chain stability and its effect on production.