Equity Profile

DCI

Donaldson Company, Inc.

IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components$10.3B

Sep1Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) is a leading manufacturer in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in filtration systems and replacement parts....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will help gauge financial health this quarter.

$0.90

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is critical for understanding the demand for Donaldson's products and overall business performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DCI Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) is a leading manufacturer in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in filtration systems and replacement parts. With a market cap of $10 billion, the company plays a crucial role in various industries, including aerospace, agriculture, and transportation, by providing solutions that enhance air and fluid filtration.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.16%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.83%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2-2026, Donaldson reported an EPS of $0.83, which was below the expected $0.90, resulting in a stock drop of 11.73% the following day. The company continues to face challenges in meeting revenue expectations.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiencies.
Commitment to innovation in filtration technology.
Plans to expand market presence in emerging sectors.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautious ahead of the earnings report, given the recent EPS miss and the overall industrial sector's challenges. Investors are looking for signs of recovery in profitability and revenue growth.

Bull Case

If Donaldson can exceed EPS expectations and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a rebound in demand and operational efficiency, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses EPS again and fails to provide a clear path to recovery, it could lead to further declines in stock price, reflecting ongoing operational struggles.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.90

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will help gauge financial health this quarter.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth is critical for understanding the demand for Donaldson's products and overall business performance.

Gross Margin

N/A

Gross margin will provide insights into cost management and pricing power in a competitive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed $0.90, and what factors contributed to any changes?

This number is crucial for assessing the company's profitability and could significantly influence investor sentiment.

What is the outlook for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?

Understanding revenue trends will help investors gauge the company's market position and demand for its products.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Donaldson's potential for operational improvements and cost management, which could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a surprise.

Donaldson has a history of beating EPS estimates 63% of the time, suggesting a higher likelihood of positive outcomes.

Recent operational changes could yield better margins than anticipated, contrary to market expectations.

Key Risk

If the company reports an EPS below $0.83, it could undermine the bullish narrative and lead to a reassessment of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a disappointing EPS report, and investors are keenly watching for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.90 or higher, with positive commentary on revenue growth, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.83, coupled with weak revenue guidance, would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.83%

Historical Avg

±5.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±7.8% while DCI has averaged ±5.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

22.3%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 0.06Puts (100)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Donaldson beats EPS expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 2.87%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest management's commentary.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of around 7.01%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on operational efficiency improvements and their impact on margins.
2Details on market demand for filtration products in key sectors.
3Any commentary on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
4Insights into future product innovations and market expansion plans.
5Management's outlook on revenue growth for the next quarter.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI) is a leading manufacturer in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in filtration systems and replacement parts....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will help gauge financial health this quarter.

$0.90

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is critical for understanding the demand for Donaldson's products and overall business performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DCI Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.16%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.83%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiencies.
Commitment to innovation in filtration technology.
Plans to expand market presence in emerging sectors.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Donaldson can exceed EPS expectations and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a rebound in demand and operational efficiency, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses EPS again and fails to provide a clear path to recovery, it could lead to further declines in stock price, reflecting ongoing operational struggles.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.90

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will help gauge financial health this quarter.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth is critical for understanding the demand for Donaldson's products and overall business performance.

Gross Margin

N/A

Gross margin will provide insights into cost management and pricing power in a competitive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed $0.90, and what factors contributed to any changes?

This number is crucial for assessing the company's profitability and could significantly influence investor sentiment.

What is the outlook for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?

Understanding revenue trends will help investors gauge the company's market position and demand for its products.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Donaldson's potential for operational improvements and cost management, which could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for a surprise.

Donaldson has a history of beating EPS estimates 63% of the time, suggesting a higher likelihood of positive outcomes.

Recent operational changes could yield better margins than anticipated, contrary to market expectations.

Key Risk

If the company reports an EPS below $0.83, it could undermine the bullish narrative and lead to a reassessment of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a disappointing EPS report, and investors are keenly watching for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.90 or higher, with positive commentary on revenue growth, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.83, coupled with weak revenue guidance, would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.83%

Historical Avg

±5.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±7.8% while DCI has averaged ±5.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

22.3%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 0.06Puts (100)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Donaldson beats EPS expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 2.87%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest management's commentary.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of around 7.01%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on operational efficiency improvements and their impact on margins.
2Details on market demand for filtration products in key sectors.
3Any commentary on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
4Insights into future product innovations and market expansion plans.
5Management's outlook on revenue growth for the next quarter.