Equity Profile

DJT

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

Communication ServicesInteractive Media & Services$2.4B

Apr24Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2025After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the communication services sector, focusing on interactive media and services....

Key Metrics to Watch

User Engagement Metrics

Understanding user engagement is crucial for assessing the platform's growth and sustainability.

N/A

Advertising Revenue

As a media company, advertising revenue is a key driver of financial performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DJT Q3-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the communication services sector, focusing on interactive media and services. The company is known for its unique approach to media and technology, which has garnered significant attention and debate in recent years.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 3Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

+0.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2 2025, Trump Media reported an EPS of -$0.08, continuing a trend of losses. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.81% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautious ahead of the earnings report, given the company's recent losses and lack of analyst estimates. The market is looking for any signs of improvement in user engagement and revenue.

Bull Case

If the company shows a significant increase in user engagement and advertising revenue, it could lead to a positive reassessment of its growth potential.

Bear Case

Continued losses without a clear path to profitability may lead to further declines in stock price and investor confidence.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the latest user engagement metrics?

User engagement is critical for the company's growth strategy, and any positive trends could boost investor confidence.

How has advertising revenue changed compared to the previous quarter?

Advertising revenue is a key indicator of financial health, and any improvement could signal a turnaround.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in user engagement, which could drive advertising revenue higher than expected.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 5.93% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with the actual performance.

The company's unique media approach could attract new users, contrary to current pessimistic views.

Key Risk

If user engagement metrics show a significant increase, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The company's ability to turn around its financial performance hinges on user engagement and advertising revenue.

Bull Confirmed If

A significant increase in user engagement metrics and advertising revenue growth of over 15% quarter-over-quarter.

Bear Confirmed If

Continued losses with no improvement in user engagement or advertising revenue.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.93%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while DJT has averaged ±2.0% over the last 3 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

50.7%

Calls (1.5M)P/C Ratio: 0.39Puts (142K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If the company beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +2.04%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management is cautious, the stock may see muted movement as investors assess future guidance.

Miss

In the event of a miss, history suggests a potential average one-day move of -1.16%, which could lead to further declines.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on user engagement metrics and growth strategies.
2Details on advertising revenue performance and trends.
3Insights into content creation costs and efficiency measures.
4Management's outlook on future profitability and growth.
5Responses to competitive pressures in the media landscape.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the communication services sector, focusing on interactive media and services....

Key Metrics to Watch

User Engagement Metrics

Understanding user engagement is crucial for assessing the platform's growth and sustainability.

N/A

Advertising Revenue

As a media company, advertising revenue is a key driver of financial performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DJT Q3-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 3Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

+0.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2 2025, Trump Media reported an EPS of -$0.08, continuing a trend of losses. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.81% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If the company shows a significant increase in user engagement and advertising revenue, it could lead to a positive reassessment of its growth potential.

Bear Case

Continued losses without a clear path to profitability may lead to further declines in stock price and investor confidence.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the latest user engagement metrics?

User engagement is critical for the company's growth strategy, and any positive trends could boost investor confidence.

How has advertising revenue changed compared to the previous quarter?

Advertising revenue is a key indicator of financial health, and any improvement could signal a turnaround.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in user engagement, which could drive advertising revenue higher than expected.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 5.93% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with the actual performance.

The company's unique media approach could attract new users, contrary to current pessimistic views.

Key Risk

If user engagement metrics show a significant increase, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The company's ability to turn around its financial performance hinges on user engagement and advertising revenue.

Bull Confirmed If

A significant increase in user engagement metrics and advertising revenue growth of over 15% quarter-over-quarter.

Bear Confirmed If

Continued losses with no improvement in user engagement or advertising revenue.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.93%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while DJT has averaged ±2.0% over the last 3 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

50.7%

Calls (1.5M)P/C Ratio: 0.39Puts (142K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If the company beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +2.04%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management is cautious, the stock may see muted movement as investors assess future guidance.

Miss

In the event of a miss, history suggests a potential average one-day move of -1.16%, which could lead to further declines.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on user engagement metrics and growth strategies.
2Details on advertising revenue performance and trends.
3Insights into content creation costs and efficiency measures.
4Management's outlook on future profitability and growth.
5Responses to competitive pressures in the media landscape.