Equity Profile

DJT

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

Communication ServicesInteractive Media & Services$2.3B

Apr24Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2025After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the communication services sector, focusing on interactive media and technology....

Key Metrics to Watch

User Engagement Metrics

Understanding user growth and engagement is crucial for assessing the platform's popularity and potential revenue generation.

N/A

Advertising Revenue

As a media company, advertising revenue is a key driver of financial performance and growth.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DJT Q3-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the communication services sector, focusing on interactive media and technology. With a market cap of $3 billion, the company aims to provide a platform for social media and digital content, which is increasingly relevant in today's digital landscape.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 3Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

+0.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2 2025, Trump Media reported an EPS of -$0.08, continuing a trend of losses. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.81% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for the upcoming earnings report are cautious, given the company's recent history of losses and lack of analyst estimates.

Bull Case

If the company can show improved user engagement and a rebound in advertising revenue, it could signal a turnaround, leading to positive investor sentiment.

Bear Case

Continued losses and stagnant user growth could reinforce concerns about the company's viability, leading to further stock declines.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the latest user engagement metrics and how do they compare to previous quarters?

User engagement is critical for the company's growth strategy and will indicate whether their platform is gaining traction.

What is the outlook for advertising revenue in the coming quarters?

As advertising revenue is a primary source of income, insights into its future performance will be closely watched by investors.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in user engagement and advertising revenue, which could surprise positively.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing in a 5.93% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with the company's potential recovery.

The recent drop in stock price may have created a buying opportunity if user metrics show improvement.

Historical trends suggest that companies in similar situations have rebounded strongly after periods of losses.

Key Risk

If user engagement metrics show a significant increase, it could challenge the current negative sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether the company can turn around its recent performance and achieve sustainable growth.

Bull Confirmed If

A significant increase in user engagement metrics, indicating a potential turnaround in growth.

Bear Confirmed If

Continued losses and stagnant user growth, confirming ongoing concerns about the company's business model.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.93%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while DJT has averaged ±2.0% over the last 3 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

50.7%

Calls (1.5M)P/C Ratio: 0.39Puts (142K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If the company beats expectations, history suggests a potential average 1-day move of +2.04%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious inline report may lead to muted reactions, as investors await clearer signals of recovery.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential average 1-day move of -1.16%, indicating further downside risk.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on user engagement metrics and growth trends.
2Details on advertising revenue performance and future outlook.
3Any new partnerships or content creator initiatives.
4Management's strategy for addressing recent losses.
5Insights into competitive positioning within the media landscape.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the communication services sector, focusing on interactive media and technology....

Key Metrics to Watch

User Engagement Metrics

Understanding user growth and engagement is crucial for assessing the platform's popularity and potential revenue generation.

N/A

Advertising Revenue

As a media company, advertising revenue is a key driver of financial performance and growth.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DJT Q3-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 3Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

+0.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2 2025, Trump Media reported an EPS of -$0.08, continuing a trend of losses. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.81% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for the upcoming earnings report are cautious, given the company's recent history of losses and lack of analyst estimates.

Bull Case

If the company can show improved user engagement and a rebound in advertising revenue, it could signal a turnaround, leading to positive investor sentiment.

Bear Case

Continued losses and stagnant user growth could reinforce concerns about the company's viability, leading to further stock declines.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the latest user engagement metrics and how do they compare to previous quarters?

User engagement is critical for the company's growth strategy and will indicate whether their platform is gaining traction.

What is the outlook for advertising revenue in the coming quarters?

As advertising revenue is a primary source of income, insights into its future performance will be closely watched by investors.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in user engagement and advertising revenue, which could surprise positively.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing in a 5.93% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with the company's potential recovery.

The recent drop in stock price may have created a buying opportunity if user metrics show improvement.

Historical trends suggest that companies in similar situations have rebounded strongly after periods of losses.

Key Risk

If user engagement metrics show a significant increase, it could challenge the current negative sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether the company can turn around its recent performance and achieve sustainable growth.

Bull Confirmed If

A significant increase in user engagement metrics, indicating a potential turnaround in growth.

Bear Confirmed If

Continued losses and stagnant user growth, confirming ongoing concerns about the company's business model.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.93%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while DJT has averaged ±2.0% over the last 3 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

50.7%

Calls (1.5M)P/C Ratio: 0.39Puts (142K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If the company beats expectations, history suggests a potential average 1-day move of +2.04%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious inline report may lead to muted reactions, as investors await clearer signals of recovery.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential average 1-day move of -1.16%, indicating further downside risk.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on user engagement metrics and growth trends.
2Details on advertising revenue performance and future outlook.
3Any new partnerships or content creator initiatives.
4Management's strategy for addressing recent losses.
5Insights into competitive positioning within the media landscape.