Equity Profile

DJT

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

Communication ServicesInteractive Media & Services$2.3B

Apr24Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2025After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the Communication Services sector, focusing on interactive media and services....

Key Metrics to Watch

User Engagement Metrics

Understanding user engagement is crucial as it reflects the platform's growth and popularity.

N/A

Advertising Revenue

Advertising revenue is a key driver for media companies, indicating financial health and market competitiveness.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DJT Q3-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the Communication Services sector, focusing on interactive media and services. The company aims to provide innovative platforms for social media and communication, which are increasingly important in today's digital landscape.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 3Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

+0.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2 2025, Trump Media reported an EPS of -$0.08, continuing a trend of losses. The stock saw a decline of 3.81% the following day, reflecting investor concerns.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautious ahead of the earnings report, given the company's recent performance. There is uncertainty about whether the company can turn around its financial results.

Bull Case

If user engagement and advertising revenue show significant improvement, it could indicate a strong recovery, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Continued losses and weak user metrics could further erode investor confidence, resulting in a negative stock response.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the latest user engagement metrics?

User engagement directly impacts advertising revenue and overall platform success, making it a critical focus for investors.

How has advertising revenue changed this quarter?

Advertising revenue is essential for the company's financial health, and any significant changes could influence stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate the potential for a rebound in user engagement and advertising revenue, which could surprise positively this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for volatility.

Recent trends in social media engagement may not fully reflect in the company's reported metrics yet.

Key Risk

If user engagement metrics show unexpected growth, it could challenge the current bearish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether the company can improve user engagement and revenue after recent losses.

Bull Confirmed If

A substantial increase in user engagement metrics, indicating a rebound in platform popularity.

Bear Confirmed If

Continued decline in advertising revenue, signaling persistent challenges in monetization.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.93%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while DJT has averaged ±2.0% over the last 3 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

50.7%

Calls (1.5M)P/C Ratio: 0.39Puts (142K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If the company beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.99%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to muted reactions, as investors await clearer signs of recovery in future quarters.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 1.99%, reinforcing negative sentiment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on user engagement strategies and their effectiveness.
2Details on changes in advertising revenue and client acquisition.
3Management's outlook on future growth and market positioning.
4Insights into competitive pressures and how the company plans to address them.
5Any commentary on partnerships or collaborations that may enhance platform capabilities.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. operates in the Communication Services sector, focusing on interactive media and services....

Key Metrics to Watch

User Engagement Metrics

Understanding user engagement is crucial as it reflects the platform's growth and popularity.

N/A

Advertising Revenue

Advertising revenue is a key driver for media companies, indicating financial health and market competitiveness.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DJT Q3-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 3Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

+0.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2 2025, Trump Media reported an EPS of -$0.08, continuing a trend of losses. The stock saw a decline of 3.81% the following day, reflecting investor concerns.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautious ahead of the earnings report, given the company's recent performance. There is uncertainty about whether the company can turn around its financial results.

Bull Case

If user engagement and advertising revenue show significant improvement, it could indicate a strong recovery, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Continued losses and weak user metrics could further erode investor confidence, resulting in a negative stock response.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the latest user engagement metrics?

User engagement directly impacts advertising revenue and overall platform success, making it a critical focus for investors.

How has advertising revenue changed this quarter?

Advertising revenue is essential for the company's financial health, and any significant changes could influence stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate the potential for a rebound in user engagement and advertising revenue, which could surprise positively this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for volatility.

Recent trends in social media engagement may not fully reflect in the company's reported metrics yet.

Key Risk

If user engagement metrics show unexpected growth, it could challenge the current bearish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether the company can improve user engagement and revenue after recent losses.

Bull Confirmed If

A substantial increase in user engagement metrics, indicating a rebound in platform popularity.

Bear Confirmed If

Continued decline in advertising revenue, signaling persistent challenges in monetization.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.93%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while DJT has averaged ±2.0% over the last 3 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

50.7%

Calls (1.5M)P/C Ratio: 0.39Puts (142K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If the company beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.99%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to muted reactions, as investors await clearer signs of recovery in future quarters.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 1.99%, reinforcing negative sentiment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on user engagement strategies and their effectiveness.
2Details on changes in advertising revenue and client acquisition.
3Management's outlook on future growth and market positioning.
4Insights into competitive pressures and how the company plans to address them.
5Any commentary on partnerships or collaborations that may enhance platform capabilities.