Equity Profile

EDU

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryEducation Services$7.7B

Feb22Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) is a leading provider of educational services in China, focusing on language training, test preparation, and online education....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Enrollment Numbers

Tracking enrollment figures can provide insight into demand for New Oriental's services and overall growth potential.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EDU Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) is a leading provider of educational services in China, focusing on language training, test preparation, and online education. As a player in the consumer discretionary sector, the company's performance can be influenced by consumer spending trends and the ongoing demand for educational services.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.41%

Avg Stock Reaction

-7.06%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, New Oriental reported an EPS of $0.95, beating estimates by 5.56%. However, the stock fell 2.89% the next day, indicating mixed investor sentiment despite the positive earnings surprise.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding online education offerings.
Commitment to improving student engagement and retention.
Plans to enhance marketing strategies to attract more students.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as investors weigh the company's recent performance against broader market conditions. The stock has shown volatility in response to earnings surprises in the past.

Bull Case

If New Oriental can demonstrate strong enrollment growth and continued profitability, it may attract more investors looking for growth in the education sector.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports disappointing enrollment figures or lower-than-expected revenue growth, it could lead to further declines in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the enrollment numbers for the latest quarter?

Enrollment figures will be crucial in determining the company's growth trajectory and market demand for its services.

How does management plan to address recent revenue fluctuations?

Understanding management's strategy for stabilizing revenue will be key to assessing future performance and investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating New Oriental's potential for enrollment growth due to recent investments in online education, which could lead to better-than-expected results this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

The company's recent focus on enhancing online offerings aligns with current trends in education.

Historical data shows that when the company beats EPS estimates, the stock often reacts positively despite initial declines.

Options pricing suggests a lower expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

Key Risk

If enrollment numbers exceed expectations, it could lead to a significant upward revision of growth forecasts.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance hinges on how well New Oriental can attract and retain students in a competitive education market.

Bull Confirmed If

Enrollment growth exceeding 10% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in enrollment numbers or revenue growth below 5% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.92%

Historical Avg

±8.4%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of nearly 6%, suggesting that traders expect significant volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while EDU has averaged ±8.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

37.0%

Calls (8K)P/C Ratio: 3.67Puts (15K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

History suggests that if New Oriental beats expectations, the stock could see an average one-day move of +4.13%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential average one-day decline of -11.96%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on enrollment growth and retention rates.
2Management's strategy for addressing revenue fluctuations.
3Updates on online education initiatives and their impact on overall performance.
4Any changes in competitive landscape and how New Oriental plans to adapt.
5Insights into consumer spending trends affecting the education sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

APA Corporation

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) is a leading provider of educational services in China, focusing on language training, test preparation, and online education....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Enrollment Numbers

Tracking enrollment figures can provide insight into demand for New Oriental's services and overall growth potential.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EDU Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.41%

Avg Stock Reaction

-7.06%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding online education offerings.
Commitment to improving student engagement and retention.
Plans to enhance marketing strategies to attract more students.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as investors weigh the company's recent performance against broader market conditions. The stock has shown volatility in response to earnings surprises in the past.

Bull Case

If New Oriental can demonstrate strong enrollment growth and continued profitability, it may attract more investors looking for growth in the education sector.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports disappointing enrollment figures or lower-than-expected revenue growth, it could lead to further declines in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the enrollment numbers for the latest quarter?

Enrollment figures will be crucial in determining the company's growth trajectory and market demand for its services.

How does management plan to address recent revenue fluctuations?

Understanding management's strategy for stabilizing revenue will be key to assessing future performance and investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating New Oriental's potential for enrollment growth due to recent investments in online education, which could lead to better-than-expected results this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

The company's recent focus on enhancing online offerings aligns with current trends in education.

Historical data shows that when the company beats EPS estimates, the stock often reacts positively despite initial declines.

Options pricing suggests a lower expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

Key Risk

If enrollment numbers exceed expectations, it could lead to a significant upward revision of growth forecasts.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance hinges on how well New Oriental can attract and retain students in a competitive education market.

Bull Confirmed If

Enrollment growth exceeding 10% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in enrollment numbers or revenue growth below 5% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.92%

Historical Avg

±8.4%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of nearly 6%, suggesting that traders expect significant volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while EDU has averaged ±8.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

37.0%

Calls (8K)P/C Ratio: 3.67Puts (15K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

History suggests that if New Oriental beats expectations, the stock could see an average one-day move of +4.13%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential average one-day decline of -11.96%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on enrollment growth and retention rates.
2Management's strategy for addressing revenue fluctuations.
3Updates on online education initiatives and their impact on overall performance.
4Any changes in competitive landscape and how New Oriental plans to adapt.
5Insights into consumer spending trends affecting the education sector.