Equity Profile

EDU

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryEducation Services$7.3B

Feb22Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) operates in the education services sector, providing a range of educational programs and services in China....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's ability to expand its market presence and attract more students.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EDU Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) operates in the education services sector, providing a range of educational programs and services in China. The company is significant as it caters to a growing demand for quality education and skills training, especially amid increasing consumer spending on education.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.41%

Avg Stock Reaction

-7.06%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, New Oriental reported an EPS of $0.95, exceeding estimates by 5.56%. However, the stock fell by 2.89% the following day, indicating market skepticism despite the positive earnings surprise.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding online education offerings.
Commitment to improving student engagement and outcomes.
Plans to enhance marketing strategies to attract more students.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, the market is cautiously optimistic about New Oriental's upcoming earnings, especially after a recent EPS beat. However, investors are wary due to mixed reactions in previous quarters.

Bull Case

If New Oriental continues to show strong EPS growth and effective cost management, it could signal a robust recovery and growth trajectory, attracting more investors.

Bear Case

On the flip side, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, reflecting ongoing concerns about the education sector.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to last quarter's $0.95?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and any significant deviation could impact investor sentiment.

What guidance will management provide regarding revenue growth for the upcoming quarters?

Guidance on revenue growth will indicate the company's outlook and ability to navigate the competitive education market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for New Oriental to leverage its online education offerings effectively, which could lead to better-than-expected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

The company has shown a consistent ability to surprise on EPS, with a 63% beat rate historically.

Options pricing suggests a lower expected move compared to historical averages, indicating potential for a larger reaction.

Recent trends in consumer spending on education may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If EPS exceeds $1.00, it could challenge the current cautious consensus and lead to a reevaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it will reflect the company's ability to sustain growth in a challenging education sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.00 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.80 would confirm the bear case, indicating potential struggles in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.92%

Historical Avg

±8.4%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 5.92%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while EDU has averaged ±8.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

37.0%

Calls (8K)P/C Ratio: 3.67Puts (15K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If New Oriental beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 4.13%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 11.96%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on the expansion of online education programs.
2Management's commentary on student enrollment trends.
3Details on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
4Guidance on future revenue growth expectations.
5Insights into competitive pressures within the education sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

APA Corporation

Company Snapshot

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) operates in the education services sector, providing a range of educational programs and services in China....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's ability to expand its market presence and attract more students.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EDU Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.41%

Avg Stock Reaction

-7.06%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding online education offerings.
Commitment to improving student engagement and outcomes.
Plans to enhance marketing strategies to attract more students.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, the market is cautiously optimistic about New Oriental's upcoming earnings, especially after a recent EPS beat. However, investors are wary due to mixed reactions in previous quarters.

Bull Case

If New Oriental continues to show strong EPS growth and effective cost management, it could signal a robust recovery and growth trajectory, attracting more investors.

Bear Case

On the flip side, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, reflecting ongoing concerns about the education sector.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to last quarter's $0.95?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and any significant deviation could impact investor sentiment.

What guidance will management provide regarding revenue growth for the upcoming quarters?

Guidance on revenue growth will indicate the company's outlook and ability to navigate the competitive education market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for New Oriental to leverage its online education offerings effectively, which could lead to better-than-expected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

The company has shown a consistent ability to surprise on EPS, with a 63% beat rate historically.

Options pricing suggests a lower expected move compared to historical averages, indicating potential for a larger reaction.

Recent trends in consumer spending on education may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If EPS exceeds $1.00, it could challenge the current cautious consensus and lead to a reevaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it will reflect the company's ability to sustain growth in a challenging education sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.00 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.80 would confirm the bear case, indicating potential struggles in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.92%

Historical Avg

±8.4%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 5.92%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±5.9% while EDU has averaged ±8.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

37.0%

Calls (8K)P/C Ratio: 3.67Puts (15K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If New Oriental beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 4.13%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 11.96%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on the expansion of online education programs.
2Management's commentary on student enrollment trends.
3Details on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
4Guidance on future revenue growth expectations.
5Insights into competitive pressures within the education sector.