Equity Profile

EMBJ

Embraer S.A.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$10.1B

May8Fri

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market1:00 AM EDT

Embraer S.A. Misses on EPS, Stock Up 0.12%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.19	$0.24	-36.66%
Revenue	—	$1.4B	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Embraer S.A. Misses on EPS, Stock Up 0.12%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.19	$0.24	-36.66%
Revenue	—	$1.4B	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Embraer reported earnings that fell short of expectations, particularly in EPS, which may raise concerns among investors about profitability. Despite the miss, the stock saw a slight increase of 0.12%, indicating that investors may have had lower expectations or are reacting positively to other factors not detailed in the earnings report. The lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves some uncertainty about the company's future performance.

Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

$0.24

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

$1.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft. As a key player in the aerospace and defense sector, Embraer is significant for its innovative technologies and contributions to the global aviation market.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 2Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+63.91%

Avg Stock Reaction

-9.23%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, Embraer reported an EPS of $0.45, significantly exceeding expectations of $0.17, marking a 164% surprise. However, the stock fell by 7.19% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Embraer's upcoming earnings, with expectations of solid EPS and revenue figures. However, the recent stock performance raises concerns about sustainability.

Bull Case

If Embraer meets or exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, any miss on earnings or revenue could lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the recent history of stock volatility.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.24

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

Revenue

$1.4B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $0.24?

A strong EPS performance could validate the company's growth strategy and improve market sentiment.

What are the revenue figures compared to the consensus of $1.4B?

Revenue performance is critical to understanding demand for Embraer's products and overall business health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may be underestimating the potential for Embraer to exceed revenue expectations due to recent contract wins and increased demand in the aerospace sector.

Supporting Evidence

The last quarter's EPS surprise indicates a strong operational performance that could continue.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting uncertainty that could work in Embraer's favor if results are strong.

Key Risk

If revenue exceeds $1.5B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Embraer's recent performance can be sustained amid competitive pressures and economic conditions.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.28 or higher would confirm strong earnings growth.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.20 would raise concerns about the company's profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±6.97%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

45.0%

Calls (46K)P/C Ratio: 1.09Puts (10K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 0 of 30 (0%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 5.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Embraer beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 7.19%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further commentary.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical data suggesting a potential drop of around 7.19%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts or orders that could impact future revenue.
2Insights into production capacity and any supply chain challenges.
3Management's outlook on market demand for commercial and military aircraft.
4Updates on cost management and profitability initiatives.
5Any commentary on competitive dynamics in the aerospace sector.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

$0.24

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

$1.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 2Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+63.91%

Avg Stock Reaction

-9.23%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, Embraer reported an EPS of $0.45, significantly exceeding expectations of $0.17, marking a 164% surprise. However, the stock fell by 7.19% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Embraer's upcoming earnings, with expectations of solid EPS and revenue figures. However, the recent stock performance raises concerns about sustainability.

Bull Case

If Embraer meets or exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, any miss on earnings or revenue could lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the recent history of stock volatility.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.24

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

Revenue

$1.4B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $0.24?

A strong EPS performance could validate the company's growth strategy and improve market sentiment.

What are the revenue figures compared to the consensus of $1.4B?

Revenue performance is critical to understanding demand for Embraer's products and overall business health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may be underestimating the potential for Embraer to exceed revenue expectations due to recent contract wins and increased demand in the aerospace sector.

Supporting Evidence

The last quarter's EPS surprise indicates a strong operational performance that could continue.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting uncertainty that could work in Embraer's favor if results are strong.

Key Risk

If revenue exceeds $1.5B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Embraer's recent performance can be sustained amid competitive pressures and economic conditions.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.28 or higher would confirm strong earnings growth.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.20 would raise concerns about the company's profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±6.97%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

45.0%

Calls (46K)P/C Ratio: 1.09Puts (10K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 0 of 30 (0%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 5.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Embraer beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 7.19%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further commentary.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical data suggesting a potential drop of around 7.19%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts or orders that could impact future revenue.
2Insights into production capacity and any supply chain challenges.
3Management's outlook on market demand for commercial and military aircraft.
4Updates on cost management and profitability initiatives.
5Any commentary on competitive dynamics in the aerospace sector.