Equity Profile

FMX

Fomento EconÃ³mico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.

Consumer StaplesSoft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages$39.7B

Oct28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2017Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will show how well FMX has managed costs and revenue.

$0.90

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is crucial to assess the company's ability to expand its market share and respond to consumer demand.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

FMX Q4-2017 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX) is a leading player in the consumer staples sector, primarily focusing on soft drinks and non-alcoholic beverages. As a major bottler and distributor in Mexico, its performance is closely tied to consumer spending trends and preferences in the beverage market.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

+0.03%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.10%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3 2017, FMX reported an EPS of $0.78, which was below expectations. The stock experienced a slight decline of 0.13% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Invest in marketing to boost brand visibility.
Commit to sustainability initiatives.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about FMX's upcoming earnings, particularly regarding its ability to meet or exceed EPS expectations.

Bull Case

If FMX can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a recovery in consumer spending and market share gains.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or shows signs of declining market share, it could lead to negative sentiment and a sell-off.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.90

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will show how well FMX has managed costs and revenue.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth is crucial to assess the company's ability to expand its market share and respond to consumer demand.

Market Share

N/A

Understanding changes in market share can provide insights into FMX's competitive position in the beverage industry.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will FMX's EPS exceed $0.90?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

What are the latest trends in market share?

Understanding market share trends will help assess FMX's competitive position and future growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating FMX's potential for revenue growth driven by new product launches and marketing strategies.

Supporting Evidence

Historical trends show that FMX often surprises on the upside when launching new products.

The options market is pricing in a smaller move than what has historically occurred during earnings announcements.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could shift sentiment significantly.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching FMX's ability to manage costs and grow revenue in a competitive beverage landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.90 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational management.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.78 would validate the bear case, indicating potential issues in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.99%

Historical Avg

±1.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a nearly 3% move, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±3.0% while FMX has averaged ±1.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

23.5%

Calls (1K)P/C Ratio: 0.25Puts (0)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 18 of 27 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Mixed flows

Institutional

47.53%

of float

Insider

0.00%

of float

Holders

400

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

First Eagle Investment Management, LLC
12,507,215 sh · $1.4B
6.18%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If FMX beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.75%, confirming the positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may see minimal movement as investors digest the information.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around 0.14%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Updates on marketing strategies aimed at increasing brand visibility.
3Insights into cost management and operational efficiency improvements.
4Any commentary on consumer trends and preferences in the beverage market.

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Company Snapshot

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will show how well FMX has managed costs and revenue.

$0.90

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is crucial to assess the company's ability to expand its market share and respond to consumer demand.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

FMX Q4-2017 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

+0.03%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.10%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3 2017, FMX reported an EPS of $0.78, which was below expectations. The stock experienced a slight decline of 0.13% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Invest in marketing to boost brand visibility.
Commit to sustainability initiatives.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about FMX's upcoming earnings, particularly regarding its ability to meet or exceed EPS expectations.

Bull Case

If FMX can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a recovery in consumer spending and market share gains.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or shows signs of declining market share, it could lead to negative sentiment and a sell-off.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.90

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will show how well FMX has managed costs and revenue.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth is crucial to assess the company's ability to expand its market share and respond to consumer demand.

Market Share

N/A

Understanding changes in market share can provide insights into FMX's competitive position in the beverage industry.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will FMX's EPS exceed $0.90?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

What are the latest trends in market share?

Understanding market share trends will help assess FMX's competitive position and future growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating FMX's potential for revenue growth driven by new product launches and marketing strategies.

Supporting Evidence

Historical trends show that FMX often surprises on the upside when launching new products.

The options market is pricing in a smaller move than what has historically occurred during earnings announcements.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could shift sentiment significantly.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching FMX's ability to manage costs and grow revenue in a competitive beverage landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.90 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational management.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.78 would validate the bear case, indicating potential issues in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.99%

Historical Avg

±1.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a nearly 3% move, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±3.0% while FMX has averaged ±1.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

23.5%

Calls (1K)P/C Ratio: 0.25Puts (0)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Mixed flows

Institutional

47.53%

of float

Insider

0.00%

of float

Holders

400

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

First Eagle Investment Management, LLC
12,507,215 sh · $1.4B
6.18%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If FMX beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.75%, confirming the positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may see minimal movement as investors digest the information.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around 0.14%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Updates on marketing strategies aimed at increasing brand visibility.
3Insights into cost management and operational efficiency improvements.
4Any commentary on consumer trends and preferences in the beverage market.