Equity Profile

GGG

Graco Inc.

IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components$12.3B

Oct22Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Graco Inc. (GGG) is a leading manufacturer of fluid handling systems and products, primarily serving the industrial machinery sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

Not available

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand, impacting overall performance.

Not available

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GGG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Graco Inc. (GGG) is a leading manufacturer of fluid handling systems and products, primarily serving the industrial machinery sector. With a market cap of $13 billion, Graco plays a crucial role in various industries by providing innovative solutions for fluid management, which is essential for manufacturing and construction processes.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-4.52%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.83%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Graco reported an EPS of $0.66, which was 12% lower than analysts' expectations. The stock reacted negatively, declining by nearly 2% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautious ahead of Graco's Q2 earnings report, given the recent earnings miss and lack of analyst estimates. The market is looking for signs of recovery in profitability and revenue growth.

Bull Case

If Graco can demonstrate a rebound in EPS and revenue, it may signal a strong recovery in demand for its products, leading to positive investor sentiment.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations, it could raise concerns about its competitive position and overall market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Graco's EPS exceed the previous quarter's $0.66?

A higher EPS would indicate a recovery in profitability, which is crucial for restoring investor confidence.

What are the revenue growth projections for the upcoming quarters?

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and drive future earnings.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Graco's potential for a rebound in demand, especially if recent supply chain issues have been resolved.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 1.6% move, but the stock has historically moved more than 0.91% following earnings.

The company's historical EPS surprises indicate potential for a positive turnaround.

Key Risk

If Graco reports an EPS above $0.75, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Graco can turn around its recent performance and meet or exceed expectations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.75 or higher would confirm a strong recovery and positive market sentiment.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.66 would reinforce concerns about ongoing challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±1.6%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a modest move of about 1.6%, suggesting that traders expect limited volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±1.6% while GGG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

19.9%

Calls (0)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Graco beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.91%, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious, the stock may experience minimal movement as investors weigh future guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 0.90%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain improvements and their impact on production.
2Details on customer demand trends in key markets.
3Management's outlook on future revenue growth.
4Insights into cost management strategies and their effectiveness.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning in the industrial machinery sector.

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Company Snapshot

Graco Inc. (GGG) is a leading manufacturer of fluid handling systems and products, primarily serving the industrial machinery sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

Not available

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand, impacting overall performance.

Not available

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GGG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-4.52%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.83%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Graco reported an EPS of $0.66, which was 12% lower than analysts' expectations. The stock reacted negatively, declining by nearly 2% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Graco can demonstrate a rebound in EPS and revenue, it may signal a strong recovery in demand for its products, leading to positive investor sentiment.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations, it could raise concerns about its competitive position and overall market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Graco's EPS exceed the previous quarter's $0.66?

A higher EPS would indicate a recovery in profitability, which is crucial for restoring investor confidence.

What are the revenue growth projections for the upcoming quarters?

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and drive future earnings.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Graco's potential for a rebound in demand, especially if recent supply chain issues have been resolved.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 1.6% move, but the stock has historically moved more than 0.91% following earnings.

The company's historical EPS surprises indicate potential for a positive turnaround.

Key Risk

If Graco reports an EPS above $0.75, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Graco can turn around its recent performance and meet or exceed expectations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.75 or higher would confirm a strong recovery and positive market sentiment.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.66 would reinforce concerns about ongoing challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±1.6%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a modest move of about 1.6%, suggesting that traders expect limited volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±1.6% while GGG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

19.9%

Calls (0)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Graco beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.91%, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious, the stock may experience minimal movement as investors weigh future guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 0.90%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain improvements and their impact on production.
2Details on customer demand trends in key markets.
3Management's outlook on future revenue growth.
4Insights into cost management strategies and their effectiveness.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning in the industrial machinery sector.