Equity Profile

GPOR

Gulfport Energy Corporation

EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production$3.0B

Feb25Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026After Close5:00 PM EST

Company Snapshot

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) is an energy company focused on oil and gas exploration and production. With a market cap of $3 billion, it plays a significant role in the energy sector, particularly in the context of fluctuating oil prices and increasing demand for natural gas.

Key Metrics to Watch

Production Volume

Understanding production levels is crucial as it directly impacts revenue and profitability.

N/A

Average Selling Price of Oil

The price at which Gulfport sells its oil affects overall revenue and can indicate market trends.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GPOR Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+315.09%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Gulfport reported an earnings surprise, significantly exceeding expectations. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about Gulfport's upcoming earnings report, especially after a strong performance last quarter. However, concerns about fluctuating oil prices and production levels remain.

Bull Case

If Gulfport can demonstrate strong production volumes and maintain favorable pricing for its oil, it could see significant upside in its stock price.

Bear Case

Conversely, if production levels fall short or costs rise unexpectedly, the stock could face downward pressure.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the production volume for the quarter?

Production levels are a key driver of revenue and will significantly influence market sentiment.

What is the average selling price of oil during this quarter?

This figure will help investors gauge the company's revenue potential and overall market conditions.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Gulfport's ability to maintain production levels despite market volatility, potentially leading to a more favorable earnings report than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

Gulfport has historically shown resilience in production even during downturns.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that traders expect more volatility than what consensus reflects.

Key Risk

If production volume exceeds 100,000 barrels per day, it could challenge the current cautious market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance hinges on production levels and pricing, which are critical for revenue generation.

Bull Confirmed If

Production volume exceeding 100,000 barrels per day would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Production volume falling below 80,000 barrels per day would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5%

Historical Avg

±5.8%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a moderate move of 5%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±5.0% while GPOR has averaged ±5.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

30d HV

25.3%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (200)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 23 of 30 (77%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -1.6% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Gulfport beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.27%, confirming positive momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 2.03%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on production volume and any changes in operational efficiency.
2Insights into the average selling price of oil and how it compares to previous quarters.
3Any updates on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
4Management's outlook on market conditions and future production plans.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding potential risks in the current oil market.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Production Volume

Understanding production levels is crucial as it directly impacts revenue and profitability.

N/A

Average Selling Price of Oil

The price at which Gulfport sells its oil affects overall revenue and can indicate market trends.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GPOR Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+315.09%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Gulfport reported an earnings surprise, significantly exceeding expectations. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Gulfport can demonstrate strong production volumes and maintain favorable pricing for its oil, it could see significant upside in its stock price.

Bear Case

Conversely, if production levels fall short or costs rise unexpectedly, the stock could face downward pressure.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the production volume for the quarter?

Production levels are a key driver of revenue and will significantly influence market sentiment.

What is the average selling price of oil during this quarter?

This figure will help investors gauge the company's revenue potential and overall market conditions.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Gulfport's ability to maintain production levels despite market volatility, potentially leading to a more favorable earnings report than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

Gulfport has historically shown resilience in production even during downturns.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that traders expect more volatility than what consensus reflects.

Key Risk

If production volume exceeds 100,000 barrels per day, it could challenge the current cautious market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance hinges on production levels and pricing, which are critical for revenue generation.

Bull Confirmed If

Production volume exceeding 100,000 barrels per day would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Production volume falling below 80,000 barrels per day would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5%

Historical Avg

±5.8%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a moderate move of 5%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±5.0% while GPOR has averaged ±5.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

30d HV

25.3%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (200)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Gulfport beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.27%, confirming positive momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 2.03%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on production volume and any changes in operational efficiency.
2Insights into the average selling price of oil and how it compares to previous quarters.
3Any updates on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
4Management's outlook on market conditions and future production plans.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding potential risks in the current oil market.