Equity Profile

GPOR

Gulfport Energy Corporation

EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production$2.8B

Feb25Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026After Close5:00 PM EST

Company Snapshot

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) is an energy company focused on oil and gas exploration and production. With a market cap of $3 billion, it plays a significant role in the energy sector, which is influenced by global oil prices and demand trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

N/A

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's operational performance and market demand.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GPOR Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+315.09%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Gulfport Energy reported an EPS of $6.15, exceeding estimates by 13.62%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations for Gulfport Energy's upcoming earnings report are mixed, with investors closely watching for any signs of continued profitability and production stability.

Bull Case

The bullish perspective hinges on the potential for strong EPS growth and improved production figures, which could lead to increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

On the other hand, a disappointing revenue report or lower production levels could raise concerns about the company's ability to sustain profitability in a volatile market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the production volume be for this quarter?

Production levels are critical for assessing the company's ability to meet market demand and influence revenue.

How does management view the current pricing environment for oil and gas?

Management's perspective on pricing can provide insights into future profitability and strategic direction.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Gulfport's ability to capitalize on rising oil prices, as recent production improvements could drive better-than-expected revenue.

Supporting Evidence

The company has a history of surprising on EPS, with a 50% beat rate in recent quarters.

Options pricing suggests a 5% move, but historical averages indicate larger potential swings.

Recent trends in oil prices have been favorable, which could positively impact Gulfport's revenue.

Key Risk

If production volume exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis revolves around the company's ability to maintain or grow production levels amidst fluctuating market conditions.

Bull Confirmed If

A production volume increase of over 10% compared to the previous quarter would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A production volume decrease of more than 5% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5%

Historical Avg

±5.8%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a 5% potential move in either direction following the earnings announcement, indicating uncertainty among investors.

Options are pricing ±5.0% while GPOR has averaged ±5.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

30d HV

25.3%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (200)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 23 of 30 (77%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -1.3% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Gulfport beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.27%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors await further clarity on future guidance.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 2.03%, raising concerns about operational efficiency.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on production volume and operational efficiency.
2Management's outlook on oil and gas pricing trends.
3Details on cost management strategies in the current market environment.
4Insights into any new projects or expansions planned for the year.
5Responses to questions about competitive positioning in the energy sector.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

N/A

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's operational performance and market demand.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GPOR Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+315.09%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Gulfport Energy reported an EPS of $6.15, exceeding estimates by 13.62%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations for Gulfport Energy's upcoming earnings report are mixed, with investors closely watching for any signs of continued profitability and production stability.

Bull Case

The bullish perspective hinges on the potential for strong EPS growth and improved production figures, which could lead to increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

On the other hand, a disappointing revenue report or lower production levels could raise concerns about the company's ability to sustain profitability in a volatile market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the production volume be for this quarter?

Production levels are critical for assessing the company's ability to meet market demand and influence revenue.

How does management view the current pricing environment for oil and gas?

Management's perspective on pricing can provide insights into future profitability and strategic direction.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Gulfport's ability to capitalize on rising oil prices, as recent production improvements could drive better-than-expected revenue.

Supporting Evidence

The company has a history of surprising on EPS, with a 50% beat rate in recent quarters.

Options pricing suggests a 5% move, but historical averages indicate larger potential swings.

Recent trends in oil prices have been favorable, which could positively impact Gulfport's revenue.

Key Risk

If production volume exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis revolves around the company's ability to maintain or grow production levels amidst fluctuating market conditions.

Bull Confirmed If

A production volume increase of over 10% compared to the previous quarter would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A production volume decrease of more than 5% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5%

Historical Avg

±5.8%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a 5% potential move in either direction following the earnings announcement, indicating uncertainty among investors.

Options are pricing ±5.0% while GPOR has averaged ±5.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

30d HV

25.3%

Calls (400)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (200)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Gulfport beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.27%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors await further clarity on future guidance.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 2.03%, raising concerns about operational efficiency.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on production volume and operational efficiency.
2Management's outlook on oil and gas pricing trends.
3Details on cost management strategies in the current market environment.
4Insights into any new projects or expansions planned for the year.
5Responses to questions about competitive positioning in the energy sector.