Equity Profile

GPOR

Gulfport Energy Corporation

EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production$3.0B

Feb25Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2022After Close5:00 PM EST

Company Snapshot

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) is an energy company focused on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. With a market cap of $3 billion, it plays a significant role in the oil and gas sector, which is influenced by global energy demand and pricing trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to increase sales, which is crucial for sustaining profitability in the competitive energy market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GPOR Q2-2022 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+315.09%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2022, Gulfport reported an EPS of $6.15, beating estimates by 13.62%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 3.43% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Gulfport's upcoming earnings are mixed, with investors looking for signs of continued profitability and production efficiency.

Bull Case

If Gulfport can maintain or exceed its previous EPS and show strong revenue growth, it could signal robust operational performance and attract more investors.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports lower production levels or misses EPS expectations, it may raise concerns about its ability to compete in the volatile energy market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the expected production levels for Q2-2022?

Production levels are crucial for assessing the company's ability to meet demand and generate revenue, impacting investor confidence.

How does Gulfport plan to manage costs amid fluctuating oil prices?

Cost management strategies will be key to maintaining profitability, especially in a volatile market where oil prices can significantly impact margins.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Gulfport's ability to manage costs effectively in a volatile oil market, leading to potential upside in earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Gulfport has a history of surprising on the upside, as seen in Q1-2022 with a 13.62% EPS beat.

The options market is pricing in a modest move, which could indicate a potential for a larger reaction if results exceed expectations.

Key Risk

If production levels exceed 100,000 barrels, it could challenge the cautious outlook currently held by many analysts.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis this quarter revolves around Gulfport's ability to maintain production levels and manage costs effectively in a fluctuating energy market.

Bull Confirmed If

Production levels exceeding 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Production levels falling below 80,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.08%

Historical Avg

±5.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a relatively modest move, suggesting that investors may not expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while GPOR has averaged ±5.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

32.4%

Calls (1K)P/C Ratio: 0.10Puts (1K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap setup in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 23 of 30 (77%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -1.3% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Gulfport beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 4.27%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.03%, reflecting investor concerns about the company's competitiveness.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on production levels and any changes in operational strategy.
2Insights into cost management and how the company plans to navigate fluctuating oil prices.
3Any updates on new projects or exploration initiatives that could impact future revenue.
4Management's outlook on market conditions and how they plan to respond to potential challenges.
5Comments on capital expenditures and investment plans for the upcoming quarters.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to increase sales, which is crucial for sustaining profitability in the competitive energy market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GPOR Q2-2022 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+315.09%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2022, Gulfport reported an EPS of $6.15, beating estimates by 13.62%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 3.43% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Gulfport's upcoming earnings are mixed, with investors looking for signs of continued profitability and production efficiency.

Bull Case

If Gulfport can maintain or exceed its previous EPS and show strong revenue growth, it could signal robust operational performance and attract more investors.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports lower production levels or misses EPS expectations, it may raise concerns about its ability to compete in the volatile energy market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What are the expected production levels for Q2-2022?

Production levels are crucial for assessing the company's ability to meet demand and generate revenue, impacting investor confidence.

How does Gulfport plan to manage costs amid fluctuating oil prices?

Cost management strategies will be key to maintaining profitability, especially in a volatile market where oil prices can significantly impact margins.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Gulfport's ability to manage costs effectively in a volatile oil market, leading to potential upside in earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Gulfport has a history of surprising on the upside, as seen in Q1-2022 with a 13.62% EPS beat.

The options market is pricing in a modest move, which could indicate a potential for a larger reaction if results exceed expectations.

Key Risk

If production levels exceed 100,000 barrels, it could challenge the cautious outlook currently held by many analysts.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis this quarter revolves around Gulfport's ability to maintain production levels and manage costs effectively in a fluctuating energy market.

Bull Confirmed If

Production levels exceeding 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Production levels falling below 80,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.08%

Historical Avg

±5.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a relatively modest move, suggesting that investors may not expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while GPOR has averaged ±5.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

32.4%

Calls (1K)P/C Ratio: 0.10Puts (1K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap setup in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 30 (23%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Gulfport beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 4.27%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.03%, reflecting investor concerns about the company's competitiveness.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on production levels and any changes in operational strategy.
2Insights into cost management and how the company plans to navigate fluctuating oil prices.
3Any updates on new projects or exploration initiatives that could impact future revenue.
4Management's outlook on market conditions and how they plan to respond to potential challenges.
5Comments on capital expenditures and investment plans for the upcoming quarters.