Equity Profile

GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$5.4B

Nov5Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, specializing in turbocharging technologies that enhance vehicle performance and efficiency....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and a strong performance could indicate robust demand for Garrett's products.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential to assess the company's ability to expand and capture market share in the competitive automotive sector.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GTX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, specializing in turbocharging technologies that enhance vehicle performance and efficiency. As consumer spending shifts towards more fuel-efficient and high-performance vehicles, Garrett's innovations are increasingly relevant in the automotive market.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.87%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.77%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Garrett reported an EPS of $0.49, exceeding expectations by 15.29%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 25% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given Garrett's strong track record of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance raises some concerns.

Bull Case

If Garrett continues its trend of exceeding EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and market demand, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to provide clear revenue growth signals or misses EPS expectations, it could lead to a significant sell-off.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given Garrett's history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for investor sentiment and stock performance.

What insights can management provide on revenue growth?

Revenue growth is vital for assessing the company's market position and future potential, especially in a competitive sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Garrett's ability to leverage its recent innovations in turbocharging technology, which could drive higher-than-expected demand.

Supporting Evidence

Garrett has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting potential undervaluation of the stock's volatility.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $0.40, it could undermine the bullish narrative and lead to a reevaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Garrett's ability to maintain its earnings momentum and provide clarity on revenue growth.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and likely boost investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 could raise concerns about demand and profitability, leading to a negative market reaction.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.25%

Historical Avg

±11.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 7.25%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility following the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±7.3% while GTX has averaged ±11.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

75.6%

Calls (90K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Garrett beats expectations, history suggests a positive stock reaction of around +6.5%, confirming the bullish outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but lack strong guidance, the stock may experience muted movement as investors digest the information.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of about -7.39%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about future performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches in turbocharging technology.
2Management's outlook on global automotive demand trends.
3Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
4Discussion on competitive positioning in the automotive parts market.
5Any commentary on supply chain challenges and their resolution.

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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Garrett Motion Inc. is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, specializing in turbocharging technologies that enhance vehicle performance and efficiency....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and a strong performance could indicate robust demand for Garrett's products.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential to assess the company's ability to expand and capture market share in the competitive automotive sector.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

GTX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+19.87%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.77%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Garrett reported an EPS of $0.49, exceeding expectations by 15.29%. The stock reacted positively, gaining nearly 25% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given Garrett's strong track record of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance raises some concerns.

Bull Case

If Garrett continues its trend of exceeding EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and market demand, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to provide clear revenue growth signals or misses EPS expectations, it could lead to a significant sell-off.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given Garrett's history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for investor sentiment and stock performance.

What insights can management provide on revenue growth?

Revenue growth is vital for assessing the company's market position and future potential, especially in a competitive sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Garrett's ability to leverage its recent innovations in turbocharging technology, which could drive higher-than-expected demand.

Supporting Evidence

Garrett has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting potential undervaluation of the stock's volatility.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $0.40, it could undermine the bullish narrative and lead to a reevaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Garrett's ability to maintain its earnings momentum and provide clarity on revenue growth.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and likely boost investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 could raise concerns about demand and profitability, leading to a negative market reaction.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.25%

Historical Avg

±11.1%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 7.25%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility following the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±7.3% while GTX has averaged ±11.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

75.6%

Calls (90K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Garrett beats expectations, history suggests a positive stock reaction of around +6.5%, confirming the bullish outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but lack strong guidance, the stock may experience muted movement as investors digest the information.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of about -7.39%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about future performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches in turbocharging technology.
2Management's outlook on global automotive demand trends.
3Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
4Discussion on competitive positioning in the automotive parts market.
5Any commentary on supply chain challenges and their resolution.