Equity Profile

IMO

Imperial Oil Limited

EnergyIntegrated Oil & Gas$57.4B

May1Fri

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market7:55 AM EDT

Imperial Oil Limited Misses on EPS, Stock Down 4.13%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.43	$2.37	-14.47%
Revenue	N/A	$13.4B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Imperial Oil Limited Misses on EPS, Stock Down 4.13%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.43	$2.37	-14.47%
Revenue	N/A	$13.4B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record for the earnings call, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

Imperial Oil Limited's earnings report shows a significant miss on EPS, which likely contributed to the stock's decline of 4.13%. Investors were expecting stronger earnings, but the actual results fell short of expectations. The lack of revenue data and guidance may add to investor uncertainty moving forward.

Company Snapshot

Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) is a major player in the energy sector, focusing on integrated oil and gas operations. With a market cap of $63 billion, it plays a crucial role in the Canadian energy landscape, particularly as global energy demands evolve.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

$2.37

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

$13.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.33%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.59%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3 2025, Imperial Oil reported an EPS of $1.55, exceeding expectations by nearly 8%. However, the stock declined by 3.33% the following day, indicating market caution despite the positive earnings surprise.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on maintaining operational efficiency.
Commitment to sustainable energy initiatives.
Plans to enhance shareholder returns through dividends.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Imperial Oil to report solid earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $2.37. The market is looking for signs of continued profitability amid fluctuating oil prices.

Bull Case

If Imperial Oil beats EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand and operational efficiency, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses earnings estimates or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about its ability to navigate market volatility, leading to a negative reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$2.37

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

Revenue

$13.4B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $2.37?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

What revenue figures will be reported, and how do they compare to the $13.4 billion consensus?

Revenue performance is critical to understanding market demand and the company's growth trajectory.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Imperial Oil's ability to capitalize on rising oil prices, as recent operational improvements could lead to better-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

The company's history of beating EPS estimates suggests a strong operational foundation.

Recent trends in oil prices indicate potential for increased revenue that analysts may not fully account for.

Key Risk

If the revenue exceeds $15 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Imperial Oil can sustain its profitability amid fluctuating oil prices and operational challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.17 would support the bear case, raising concerns about financial health.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.73%

Historical Avg

±2.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a moderate move around the earnings report, suggesting some uncertainty among investors.

Options are pricing ±3.7% while IMO has averaged ±2.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

30d HV

24.1%

Calls (2K)P/C Ratio: 0.25Puts (800)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Mixed flows

Institutional

29.10%

of float

Insider

69.61%

of float

Holders

581

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

FMR, LLC
56,181,276 sh · $7.0B
11.62%
8.0%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Imperial Oil beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 2.24% the next day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further commentary from management.

Miss

Should the company miss earnings estimates, history indicates a potential average decline of around 2.24%, reflecting market disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiencies that could impact profitability.
2Insights into the company's strategy for navigating fluctuating oil prices.
3Details on capital expenditures and future investment plans.
4Management's commentary on market demand and pricing trends.
5Any changes to dividend policies or shareholder return strategies.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

$2.37

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

$13.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.33%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.59%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on maintaining operational efficiency.
Commitment to sustainable energy initiatives.
Plans to enhance shareholder returns through dividends.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Imperial Oil to report solid earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $2.37. The market is looking for signs of continued profitability amid fluctuating oil prices.

Bull Case

If Imperial Oil beats EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand and operational efficiency, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses earnings estimates or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about its ability to navigate market volatility, leading to a negative reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$2.37

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

Revenue

$13.4B

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $2.37?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

What revenue figures will be reported, and how do they compare to the $13.4 billion consensus?

Revenue performance is critical to understanding market demand and the company's growth trajectory.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Imperial Oil's ability to capitalize on rising oil prices, as recent operational improvements could lead to better-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

The company's history of beating EPS estimates suggests a strong operational foundation.

Recent trends in oil prices indicate potential for increased revenue that analysts may not fully account for.

Key Risk

If the revenue exceeds $15 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Imperial Oil can sustain its profitability amid fluctuating oil prices and operational challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.17 would support the bear case, raising concerns about financial health.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.73%

Historical Avg

±2.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a moderate move around the earnings report, suggesting some uncertainty among investors.

Options are pricing ±3.7% while IMO has averaged ±2.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

30d HV

24.1%

Calls (2K)P/C Ratio: 0.25Puts (800)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Mixed flows

Institutional

29.10%

of float

Insider

69.61%

of float

Holders

581

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

FMR, LLC
56,181,276 sh · $7.0B
11.62%
8.0%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Imperial Oil beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 2.24% the next day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further commentary from management.

Miss

Should the company miss earnings estimates, history indicates a potential average decline of around 2.24%, reflecting market disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiencies that could impact profitability.
2Insights into the company's strategy for navigating fluctuating oil prices.
3Details on capital expenditures and future investment plans.
4Management's commentary on market demand and pricing trends.
5Any changes to dividend policies or shareholder return strategies.