Equity Profile

KKR

KKR & Co. Inc.

FinancialsAsset Management & Custody Banks$83.9B

May5Tue

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market6:50 AM EDT

KKR Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.3%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.39	$1.26	+24.66%
Revenue	—	$2.1B	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

KKR Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.3%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.39	$1.26	+24.66%
Revenue	—	$2.1B	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

KKR reported better-than-expected earnings per share, beating the consensus by nearly 25%. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 1.3%. The lack of revenue data and management commentary may have contributed to investor uncertainty.

Company Snapshot

KKR & Co. Inc....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

1.26

Revenue

Total revenue indicates the company's ability to generate income from its investment activities, which is vital for assessing growth.

2.1B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

KKR & Co. Inc. is a global investment firm that manages assets across various sectors, including private equity, real estate, and credit. As a major player in the financial sector, KKR's performance is closely tied to market conditions and investment trends, making it a key company to watch in the asset management industry.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

-8.96%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.19%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, KKR reported an EPS of $1.16, surpassing expectations by 9.33%. However, the stock fell 5.35% the following day, reflecting market concerns.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect KKR to report an EPS of $1.26 and revenue of $2.1 billion for Q1-2026. The market is cautious given recent earnings misses.

Bull Case

If KKR beats expectations, it could signal a recovery in profitability and investor confidence, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if KKR fails to meet estimates again, it may raise concerns about its growth prospects, leading to further declines in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

1.26

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

2.1B

Total revenue indicates the company's ability to generate income from its investment activities, which is vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will KKR's EPS exceed $1.26?

A beat on EPS could indicate stronger-than-expected profitability and boost investor sentiment.

What insights will management provide on revenue growth?

Understanding revenue trends is crucial for assessing KKR's ability to generate income in a challenging market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate KKR's ability to rebound from recent earnings misses, as the firm has a strong portfolio that could outperform expectations.

Supporting Evidence

KKR's recent EPS surprises indicate potential for recovery, with a history of beating expectations following downturns.

The options market pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating a shift in sentiment.

Key Risk

If KKR's revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a series of earnings misses, and the market is keenly watching for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.30 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.19 would validate the bear case, suggesting ongoing struggles in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±6.06%

Historical Avg

±3.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±6.1% while KKR has averaged ±3.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

37.0%

Calls (953K)P/C Ratio: 0.82Puts (782K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Financials

n=30

Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Financials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.3%, with a raw directional average of -1.2% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If KKR beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 4.56%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

If KKR misses estimates, the stock could drop by an average of 1.53%, reflecting ongoing concerns about its growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on investment performance in key sectors like private equity and real estate.
2Management's commentary on market conditions and their impact on future earnings.
3Insights into new investment strategies or areas of focus for growth.
4Details on any changes in asset management fees or structures.
5Guidance on expected revenue trends for the upcoming quarters.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

KKR & Co. Inc....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

1.26

Revenue

Total revenue indicates the company's ability to generate income from its investment activities, which is vital for assessing growth.

2.1B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

-8.96%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.19%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, KKR reported an EPS of $1.16, surpassing expectations by 9.33%. However, the stock fell 5.35% the following day, reflecting market concerns.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect KKR to report an EPS of $1.26 and revenue of $2.1 billion for Q1-2026. The market is cautious given recent earnings misses.

Bull Case

If KKR beats expectations, it could signal a recovery in profitability and investor confidence, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if KKR fails to meet estimates again, it may raise concerns about its growth prospects, leading to further declines in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

1.26

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

2.1B

Total revenue indicates the company's ability to generate income from its investment activities, which is vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will KKR's EPS exceed $1.26?

A beat on EPS could indicate stronger-than-expected profitability and boost investor sentiment.

What insights will management provide on revenue growth?

Understanding revenue trends is crucial for assessing KKR's ability to generate income in a challenging market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate KKR's ability to rebound from recent earnings misses, as the firm has a strong portfolio that could outperform expectations.

Supporting Evidence

KKR's recent EPS surprises indicate potential for recovery, with a history of beating expectations following downturns.

The options market pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating a shift in sentiment.

Key Risk

If KKR's revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a series of earnings misses, and the market is keenly watching for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.30 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.19 would validate the bear case, suggesting ongoing struggles in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±6.06%

Historical Avg

±3.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±6.1% while KKR has averaged ±3.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

37.0%

Calls (953K)P/C Ratio: 0.82Puts (782K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Financials

n=30

Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Financials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.3%, with a raw directional average of -1.2% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If KKR beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 4.56%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

If KKR misses estimates, the stock could drop by an average of 1.53%, reflecting ongoing concerns about its growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on investment performance in key sectors like private equity and real estate.
2Management's commentary on market conditions and their impact on future earnings.
3Insights into new investment strategies or areas of focus for growth.
4Details on any changes in asset management fees or structures.
5Guidance on expected revenue trends for the upcoming quarters.