Equity Profile

LUNR

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$2.5B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced technology solutions for space exploration....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

This metric will indicate how well the company is expanding its business and capturing market share in the aerospace sector.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS provides insight into the company's profitability and is a key indicator of financial health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

LUNR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced technology solutions for space exploration. With a market cap of $2 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the growing space industry, which is increasingly attracting investment and interest due to advancements in satellite technology and lunar missions.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-284.62%

Avg Stock Reaction

+2.35%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Intuitive Machines reported an EPS of -$0.25, missing expectations significantly. Despite the miss, the stock rose by 2.35% the following day, indicating some investor optimism.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on securing new contracts in the space sector.
Commitment to improving operational efficiency.
Plans to enhance technology offerings for lunar missions.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as the company has not provided specific guidance. Investors are keen to see if the company can turn around its recent performance and meet growth targets.

Bull Case

If Intuitive Machines can demonstrate strong contract wins and improved revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround and attract more investor interest.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations and fails to secure new contracts, it could lead to further declines in investor confidence.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for upcoming contracts?

This will be critical in assessing the company's ability to generate future revenue and meet investor expectations.

How does management plan to address the recent EPS miss?

Understanding the strategy for improving profitability will be key for investor confidence moving forward.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for new contract wins in the space sector, which could significantly boost revenue.

Supporting Evidence

Recent trends in space exploration show increased government and private sector investment.

The options market's implied move suggests that traders expect more volatility than the current consensus reflects.

Key Risk

If new contracts exceed expectations, it could shift market sentiment dramatically.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate centers around the company's ability to grow revenue and improve profitability in a competitive market.

Bull Confirmed If

Securing new contracts worth over $100 million would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS loss greater than -$0.25 would reinforce the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.72%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

1.2%

30d HV

115.9%

Calls (2.4M)P/C Ratio: 0.73Puts (1.5M)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

71.39%

of float

Insider

5.18%

of float

Holders

347

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
10,068,017 sh · $257.0M
6.32%
22.2%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Intuitive Machines beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 2.35%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer guidance.

Miss

A significant miss could lead to a decline, with history indicating an average drop of 2.35% following such outcomes.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts secured in the last quarter.
2Management's strategy for improving EPS and profitability.
3Any updates on technology advancements for lunar missions.
4Insights into operational efficiency improvements.
5Future market opportunities in the aerospace sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

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Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced technology solutions for space exploration....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

This metric will indicate how well the company is expanding its business and capturing market share in the aerospace sector.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS provides insight into the company's profitability and is a key indicator of financial health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

LUNR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-284.62%

Avg Stock Reaction

+2.35%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Intuitive Machines reported an EPS of -$0.25, missing expectations significantly. Despite the miss, the stock rose by 2.35% the following day, indicating some investor optimism.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on securing new contracts in the space sector.
Commitment to improving operational efficiency.
Plans to enhance technology offerings for lunar missions.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as the company has not provided specific guidance. Investors are keen to see if the company can turn around its recent performance and meet growth targets.

Bull Case

If Intuitive Machines can demonstrate strong contract wins and improved revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround and attract more investor interest.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations and fails to secure new contracts, it could lead to further declines in investor confidence.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for upcoming contracts?

This will be critical in assessing the company's ability to generate future revenue and meet investor expectations.

How does management plan to address the recent EPS miss?

Understanding the strategy for improving profitability will be key for investor confidence moving forward.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for new contract wins in the space sector, which could significantly boost revenue.

Supporting Evidence

Recent trends in space exploration show increased government and private sector investment.

The options market's implied move suggests that traders expect more volatility than the current consensus reflects.

Key Risk

If new contracts exceed expectations, it could shift market sentiment dramatically.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate centers around the company's ability to grow revenue and improve profitability in a competitive market.

Bull Confirmed If

Securing new contracts worth over $100 million would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS loss greater than -$0.25 would reinforce the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.72%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

1.2%

30d HV

115.9%

Calls (2.4M)P/C Ratio: 0.73Puts (1.5M)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

71.39%

of float

Insider

5.18%

of float

Holders

347

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
10,068,017 sh · $257.0M
6.32%
22.2%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Intuitive Machines beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 2.35%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer guidance.

Miss

A significant miss could lead to a decline, with history indicating an average drop of 2.35% following such outcomes.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts secured in the last quarter.
2Management's strategy for improving EPS and profitability.
3Any updates on technology advancements for lunar missions.
4Insights into operational efficiency improvements.
5Future market opportunities in the aerospace sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime