Equity Profile

LUNR

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$2.9B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced space technologies and lunar exploration....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its expenses.

$-0.07

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and demand for its services.

$221M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

LUNR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced space technologies and lunar exploration. As a player in the growing space industry, its performance is closely tied to government contracts and commercial space missions, making it a significant company to watch in this evolving market.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-284.62%

Avg Stock Reaction

+2.35%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Intuitive Machines reported an EPS of $-0.25, significantly missing the estimate of $-0.07. This disappointing performance led to a modest stock increase of 2.35% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Commitment to securing new contracts in the aerospace sector.
Plans to enhance product offerings related to lunar missions.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Intuitive Machines' upcoming earnings, with expectations of a narrower loss and steady revenue growth.

Bull Case

If the company can exceed revenue expectations and show signs of improved cost management, it could signal a recovery and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue targets or continues to report significant losses, it may raise concerns about its long-term viability.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.07

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its expenses.

Revenue

$221M

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and demand for its services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of $-0.07?

A smaller loss than expected could indicate improved financial health and operational efficiency.

How does the company plan to achieve the consensus revenue target of $221M?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue growth will be crucial for assessing future performance and investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for revenue growth driven by new contracts in lunar exploration, which could significantly boost sales.

Supporting Evidence

The aerospace sector is seeing increased government spending, which may benefit Intuitive Machines more than anticipated.

Options pricing suggests a larger potential move than historical averages, indicating that traders are expecting a significant shift.

The company's recent focus on operational efficiency may lead to better-than-expected cost management.

Key Risk

If the company announces new contracts or partnerships that significantly enhance revenue prospects, it could challenge the current consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a significant miss last quarter, and investors are looking for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue exceeding $221M with a clear path to profitability would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS worse than $-0.10 would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.72%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Detail

ATM IV

1.2%

30d HV

115.9%

Calls (2.4M)P/C Ratio: 0.73Puts (1.5M)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

71.39%

of float

Insider

5.18%

of float

Holders

347

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
10,068,017 sh · $257.0M
6.32%
22.2%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Intuitive Machines beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise significantly, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but lack strong guidance, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer signals.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, as historical data indicates a pattern of negative reactions following disappointing earnings.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts or partnerships in the aerospace sector.
2Updates on cost management strategies and operational efficiency improvements.
3Any commentary on the outlook for lunar missions and related revenue streams.
4Insights into customer demand and market trends affecting the business.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

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Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced space technologies and lunar exploration....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its expenses.

$-0.07

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and demand for its services.

$221M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

LUNR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-284.62%

Avg Stock Reaction

+2.35%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Intuitive Machines reported an EPS of $-0.25, significantly missing the estimate of $-0.07. This disappointing performance led to a modest stock increase of 2.35% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Commitment to securing new contracts in the aerospace sector.
Plans to enhance product offerings related to lunar missions.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Intuitive Machines' upcoming earnings, with expectations of a narrower loss and steady revenue growth.

Bull Case

If the company can exceed revenue expectations and show signs of improved cost management, it could signal a recovery and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue targets or continues to report significant losses, it may raise concerns about its long-term viability.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.07

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its expenses.

Revenue

$221M

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and demand for its services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of $-0.07?

A smaller loss than expected could indicate improved financial health and operational efficiency.

How does the company plan to achieve the consensus revenue target of $221M?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue growth will be crucial for assessing future performance and investor confidence.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for revenue growth driven by new contracts in lunar exploration, which could significantly boost sales.

Supporting Evidence

The aerospace sector is seeing increased government spending, which may benefit Intuitive Machines more than anticipated.

Options pricing suggests a larger potential move than historical averages, indicating that traders are expecting a significant shift.

The company's recent focus on operational efficiency may lead to better-than-expected cost management.

Key Risk

If the company announces new contracts or partnerships that significantly enhance revenue prospects, it could challenge the current consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a significant miss last quarter, and investors are looking for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue exceeding $221M with a clear path to profitability would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS worse than $-0.10 would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.72%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Detail

ATM IV

1.2%

30d HV

115.9%

Calls (2.4M)P/C Ratio: 0.73Puts (1.5M)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

71.39%

of float

Insider

5.18%

of float

Holders

347

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
10,068,017 sh · $257.0M
6.32%
22.2%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Intuitive Machines beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise significantly, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but lack strong guidance, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer signals.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, as historical data indicates a pattern of negative reactions following disappointing earnings.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts or partnerships in the aerospace sector.
2Updates on cost management strategies and operational efficiency improvements.
3Any commentary on the outlook for lunar missions and related revenue streams.
4Insights into customer demand and market trends affecting the business.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime