Equity Profile

MATX

Matson, Inc.

IndustrialsMarine Transportation$5.9B

May4Mon

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:05 PM EDT

Matson, Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.57%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.85	$1.58	+12.12%
Revenue	N/A	$784M	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Matson, Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.57%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.85	$1.58	+12.12%
Revenue	N/A	$784M	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Matson, Inc. reported better-than-expected earnings per share, indicating stronger profitability than analysts anticipated. However, the stock fell by 1.57%, suggesting that investors may have been disappointed by the lack of revenue information or future guidance. The absence of management commentary may have contributed to the stock's decline as investors seek clarity on the company's direction.

Company Snapshot

Matson, Inc. is a key player in the marine transportation sector, focusing on shipping and logistics services across the Pacific....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and indicates how much money the company makes for each share of stock.

$1.58

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand.

$784M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Matson, Inc. is a key player in the marine transportation sector, focusing on shipping and logistics services across the Pacific. With a market cap of $5 billion, the company plays a vital role in global trade, particularly in connecting the U.S. mainland with Hawaii and other Pacific islands.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+9.46%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.18%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Matson reported an EPS of $4.60, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The stock experienced a modest increase of 1.59% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to enhance operational efficiency.
Expand service offerings in the Pacific region.
Focus on cost management to improve margins.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about Matson's upcoming earnings, with expectations for solid EPS and revenue figures. However, the market is also cautious given the recent volatility in the sector.

Bull Case

If Matson beats EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could indicate robust demand and operational strength, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about demand and profitability, resulting in a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$1.58

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and indicates how much money the company makes for each share of stock.

Revenue

$784M

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.58?

A beat on EPS would reinforce confidence in Matson's profitability and operational efficiency, potentially driving the stock higher.

What guidance will management provide for revenue growth?

Clear guidance on revenue growth will help investors gauge future performance and demand trends, impacting stock sentiment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Matson's ability to leverage operational efficiencies and demand in the Pacific shipping market.

Supporting Evidence

The company has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, with an 83% beat rate over the last eight quarters.

Options are pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting potential for a surprise.

Recent operational improvements may not be fully reflected in analyst expectations.

Key Risk

If Matson's revenue growth exceeds $800M, it could significantly shift market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating Matson's ability to maintain profitability amidst fluctuating demand and operational challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.60 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.55 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.46%

Historical Avg

±1.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±7.5% while MATX has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

26.9%

Calls (900)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (400)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matson beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.7%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in future growth.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of around 2.7%, indicating market concerns over profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiency improvements.
2Details on demand trends in the Pacific shipping market.
3Management's outlook on future revenue growth.
4Insights into cost management strategies.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the marine transportation sector.

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Company Snapshot

Matson, Inc. is a key player in the marine transportation sector, focusing on shipping and logistics services across the Pacific....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and indicates how much money the company makes for each share of stock.

$1.58

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand.

$784M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+9.46%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.18%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Matson reported an EPS of $4.60, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The stock experienced a modest increase of 1.59% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to enhance operational efficiency.
Expand service offerings in the Pacific region.
Focus on cost management to improve margins.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Matson beats EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could indicate robust demand and operational strength, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about demand and profitability, resulting in a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$1.58

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and indicates how much money the company makes for each share of stock.

Revenue

$784M

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.58?

A beat on EPS would reinforce confidence in Matson's profitability and operational efficiency, potentially driving the stock higher.

What guidance will management provide for revenue growth?

Clear guidance on revenue growth will help investors gauge future performance and demand trends, impacting stock sentiment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Matson's ability to leverage operational efficiencies and demand in the Pacific shipping market.

Supporting Evidence

The company has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, with an 83% beat rate over the last eight quarters.

Options are pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting potential for a surprise.

Recent operational improvements may not be fully reflected in analyst expectations.

Key Risk

If Matson's revenue growth exceeds $800M, it could significantly shift market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating Matson's ability to maintain profitability amidst fluctuating demand and operational challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.60 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.55 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.46%

Historical Avg

±1.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±7.5% while MATX has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

26.9%

Calls (900)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (400)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matson beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.7%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in future growth.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of around 2.7%, indicating market concerns over profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiency improvements.
2Details on demand trends in the Pacific shipping market.
3Management's outlook on future revenue growth.
4Insights into cost management strategies.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the marine transportation sector.