Equity Profile

MATX

Matson, Inc.

IndustrialsMarine Transportation$6.2B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Matson, Inc. (MATX) operates in the marine transportation sector, providing shipping and logistics services across the Pacific....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well Matson is managing costs and generating revenue.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its business and capture market share, which is vital in the competitive transportation industry.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MATX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Matson, Inc. (MATX) operates in the marine transportation sector, providing shipping and logistics services across the Pacific. As a key player in the supply chain, Matson's performance is closely tied to consumer demand and global trade dynamics.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+9.46%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.18%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Matson reported an EPS of $1.85, exceeding expectations by 12.12%. However, the stock saw a slight decline of 1.57% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Commitment to maintaining competitive shipping rates.
Plans to enhance customer service and logistics capabilities.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Matson's upcoming earnings, given its recent performance and the broader economic context.

Bull Case

If Matson exceeds earnings expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand and operational strength, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports disappointing earnings or lower shipping volumes, it may raise concerns about demand and profitability, potentially leading to a negative market response.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the reported EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.

How has shipping volume changed compared to previous quarters?

Shipping volume trends will provide insights into demand and overall economic health, which are crucial for assessing future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Matson's ability to leverage operational efficiencies and capture market share, which could lead to stronger-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Matson's recent EPS surprises indicate a trend of outperforming expectations.

Options are pricing a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility, which could be a sign of underlying strength.

Historical data shows that Matson has a high EPS beat rate of 83%, indicating potential for positive surprises.

Key Risk

If shipping volume shows unexpected growth, it could significantly alter the earnings outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Matson's ability to maintain profitability amidst fluctuating shipping demand and costs.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.00 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would raise concerns about profitability and market demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.98%

Historical Avg

±1.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±18.0% while MATX has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

39.2%

Calls (500)P/C Ratio: 1.40Puts (700)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 19 of 24 (79%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matson beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +1.64%, confirming a strong operational outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the market may react cautiously, leading to muted stock movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of around -2.71%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about future performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on shipping volume trends and demand forecasts.
2Any commentary on cost management and operational efficiencies.
3Insights into competitive positioning in the marine transportation sector.
4Discussion on customer contracts and pricing strategies.
5Management's outlook on global trade conditions and their impact on operations.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Jul27

KRCAMC

Kilroy Realty Corporation

PreviewView

Jul27

PIIAMC

Company Snapshot

Matson, Inc. (MATX) operates in the marine transportation sector, providing shipping and logistics services across the Pacific....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well Matson is managing costs and generating revenue.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its business and capture market share, which is vital in the competitive transportation industry.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MATX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+9.46%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.18%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Matson reported an EPS of $1.85, exceeding expectations by 12.12%. However, the stock saw a slight decline of 1.57% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Commitment to maintaining competitive shipping rates.
Plans to enhance customer service and logistics capabilities.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Matson's upcoming earnings, given its recent performance and the broader economic context.

Bull Case

If Matson exceeds earnings expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand and operational strength, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports disappointing earnings or lower shipping volumes, it may raise concerns about demand and profitability, potentially leading to a negative market response.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the reported EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.

How has shipping volume changed compared to previous quarters?

Shipping volume trends will provide insights into demand and overall economic health, which are crucial for assessing future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Matson's ability to leverage operational efficiencies and capture market share, which could lead to stronger-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Matson's recent EPS surprises indicate a trend of outperforming expectations.

Options are pricing a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility, which could be a sign of underlying strength.

Historical data shows that Matson has a high EPS beat rate of 83%, indicating potential for positive surprises.

Key Risk

If shipping volume shows unexpected growth, it could significantly alter the earnings outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Matson's ability to maintain profitability amidst fluctuating shipping demand and costs.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.00 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would raise concerns about profitability and market demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.98%

Historical Avg

±1.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±18.0% while MATX has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

39.2%

Calls (500)P/C Ratio: 1.40Puts (700)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matson beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +1.64%, confirming a strong operational outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the market may react cautiously, leading to muted stock movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of around -2.71%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about future performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on shipping volume trends and demand forecasts.
2Any commentary on cost management and operational efficiencies.
3Insights into competitive positioning in the marine transportation sector.
4Discussion on customer contracts and pricing strategies.
5Management's outlook on global trade conditions and their impact on operations.