Equity Profile

MNST

Monster Beverage Corporation

Consumer StaplesSoft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages$87.6B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is a leading company in the consumer staples sector, specializing in energy drinks and non-alcoholic beverages. With a market cap of $88 billion, it plays a significant role in the beverage industry, catering to a growing demand for energy products among consumers.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's ability to expand its market share and attract new customers.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MNST Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.32%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.05%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Monster reported an EPS of $0.58, surpassing estimates by 9.02%. However, the stock fell 1.59% the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Monster's upcoming earnings, especially given its recent EPS beats. However, concerns about revenue growth and market competition remain prevalent.

Bull Case

If Monster continues to beat EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if revenue growth disappoints or if there are signs of increased competition, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the reported revenue growth rate for the energy drink segment?

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing Monster's market position and ability to compete effectively in the energy drink market.

How does management view competition in the energy drink sector?

Understanding management's perspective on competition will help investors gauge potential risks to market share and profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Monster's ability to capture market share in the growing energy drink segment, especially given recent trends in consumer preferences.

Supporting Evidence

Monster has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.

The company's innovative marketing strategies may be driving increased brand loyalty and sales.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds 10%, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's focus is on revenue growth and competitive positioning, as these factors will significantly influence investor sentiment.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of 10% or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong demand.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate below 5% would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about market share loss.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.46%

Historical Avg

±1.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move following the earnings report, suggesting heightened investor uncertainty.

Options are pricing ±12.5% while MNST has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

42.3%

Calls (133K)P/C Ratio: 0.59Puts (26K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 27 (30%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 19 of 27 (70%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Monster beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a positive stock reaction, potentially around a 1.7% increase.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest the information.

Miss

A miss on revenue growth could lead to a decline in the stock, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around 0.17%.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-NJJosh GottheimerRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches or marketing strategies.
2Details on sales performance in key markets.
3Insights into consumer trends affecting energy drink consumption.
4Management's outlook on competition and market dynamics.
5Any commentary on supply chain challenges or cost management efforts.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's ability to expand its market share and attract new customers.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MNST Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.32%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.05%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Monster reported an EPS of $0.58, surpassing estimates by 9.02%. However, the stock fell 1.59% the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Monster's upcoming earnings, especially given its recent EPS beats. However, concerns about revenue growth and market competition remain prevalent.

Bull Case

If Monster continues to beat EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if revenue growth disappoints or if there are signs of increased competition, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the reported revenue growth rate for the energy drink segment?

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing Monster's market position and ability to compete effectively in the energy drink market.

How does management view competition in the energy drink sector?

Understanding management's perspective on competition will help investors gauge potential risks to market share and profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Monster's ability to capture market share in the growing energy drink segment, especially given recent trends in consumer preferences.

Supporting Evidence

Monster has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.

The company's innovative marketing strategies may be driving increased brand loyalty and sales.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds 10%, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's focus is on revenue growth and competitive positioning, as these factors will significantly influence investor sentiment.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of 10% or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong demand.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate below 5% would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about market share loss.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.46%

Historical Avg

±1.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move following the earnings report, suggesting heightened investor uncertainty.

Options are pricing ±12.5% while MNST has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

42.3%

Calls (133K)P/C Ratio: 0.59Puts (26K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 27 (30%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Monster beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a positive stock reaction, potentially around a 1.7% increase.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest the information.

Miss

A miss on revenue growth could lead to a decline in the stock, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around 0.17%.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-NJJosh GottheimerRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches or marketing strategies.
2Details on sales performance in key markets.
3Insights into consumer trends affecting energy drink consumption.
4Management's outlook on competition and market dynamics.
5Any commentary on supply chain challenges or cost management efforts.