Equity Profile

MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.

Information TechnologySemiconductors$22.4B

Nov17Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. is a semiconductor company that designs and manufactures high-performance analog and mixed-signal solutions....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and drive sales, which is vital in the competitive semiconductor industry.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MTSI Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. is a semiconductor company that designs and manufactures high-performance analog and mixed-signal solutions. Operating in the Information Technology sector, MACOM plays a crucial role in enabling advanced technologies such as 5G, data centers, and cloud computing, which are pivotal for modern communication and data processing.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+33.39%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.29%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2-2026, MACOM reported an EPS of $1.09, significantly exceeding expectations by 42.86%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 11.19% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about MACOM's upcoming earnings, given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates in recent quarters. However, the lack of guidance may lead to uncertainty.

Bull Case

If MACOM continues its trend of exceeding EPS estimates, it could signal robust demand for its products, particularly in growth areas like 5G and cloud computing.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about market demand and competitive pressures.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q3-2026, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given MACOM's strong EPS performance in the past, any deviation could significantly impact investor sentiment.

What are the company's expectations for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?

Revenue growth is critical for sustaining investor confidence, especially in a competitive market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate MACOM's ability to sustain its growth trajectory despite market challenges, particularly given its recent strong EPS performance.

Supporting Evidence

MACOM has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting potential for a larger reaction.

Insider activity has been minimal, indicating no major red flags from management.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $0.90, it could undermine the positive narrative around MACOM's growth.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter centers around whether MACOM can maintain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition and market fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating continued strong demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.90 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about market demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.94%

Historical Avg

±7.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 4.94%, which is below the historical average realized move of 7.78%, suggesting a potentially muted reaction.

Options are pricing ±4.9% while MTSI has averaged ±7.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

60.1%

Calls (126K)P/C Ratio: 0.08Puts (24K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Information Technology

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 4 of 9 faded and 5 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If MACOM beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.29%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around 4.59%.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$2,002.00–$30,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
2

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on demand for 5G and data center products.
2Insights into cost management and gross margin expectations.
3Comments on competitive pressures in the semiconductor market.
4Guidance on revenue growth for the next quarter.
5Any new product announcements or technological advancements.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. is a semiconductor company that designs and manufactures high-performance analog and mixed-signal solutions....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and drive sales, which is vital in the competitive semiconductor industry.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MTSI Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+33.39%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.29%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2-2026, MACOM reported an EPS of $1.09, significantly exceeding expectations by 42.86%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 11.19% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about MACOM's upcoming earnings, given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates in recent quarters. However, the lack of guidance may lead to uncertainty.

Bull Case

If MACOM continues its trend of exceeding EPS estimates, it could signal robust demand for its products, particularly in growth areas like 5G and cloud computing.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about market demand and competitive pressures.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q3-2026, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given MACOM's strong EPS performance in the past, any deviation could significantly impact investor sentiment.

What are the company's expectations for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?

Revenue growth is critical for sustaining investor confidence, especially in a competitive market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate MACOM's ability to sustain its growth trajectory despite market challenges, particularly given its recent strong EPS performance.

Supporting Evidence

MACOM has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting potential for a larger reaction.

Insider activity has been minimal, indicating no major red flags from management.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $0.90, it could undermine the positive narrative around MACOM's growth.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter centers around whether MACOM can maintain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition and market fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating continued strong demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.90 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about market demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.94%

Historical Avg

±7.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 4.94%, which is below the historical average realized move of 7.78%, suggesting a potentially muted reaction.

Options are pricing ±4.9% while MTSI has averaged ±7.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

60.1%

Calls (126K)P/C Ratio: 0.08Puts (24K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Information Technology

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If MACOM beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.29%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around 4.59%.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$2,002.00–$30,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
2

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on demand for 5G and data center products.
2Insights into cost management and gross margin expectations.
3Comments on competitive pressures in the semiconductor market.
4Guidance on revenue growth for the next quarter.
5Any new product announcements or technological advancements.