Equity Profile
Pre-Earnings Brief
NTNL HEALTH INVS INC REIT (NHI) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on healthcare properties. As the healthcare sector continues to grow, NHI plays a vital role in providing the necessary facilities for patient care, making it an important player in the real estate market.
EPS
Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its properties and is crucial for assessing growth.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
63%
Avg EPS Surprise
+1.42%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.19%
In the last quarter, NHI reported an EPS of $1.22, slightly missing the estimate of $1.24. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 0.51% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect NHI to report an EPS of $0.86 and revenue of $105 million for Q1-2026. The market is watching closely for any signs of growth or challenges in the healthcare real estate sector.
Bull Case
If NHI beats EPS expectations, it could signal strong demand for healthcare properties, leading to increased investor confidence and potential stock price appreciation.
Bear Case
A miss on EPS or revenue could raise concerns about the company's ability to manage its properties effectively, potentially leading to a negative stock reaction.
EPS
0.86Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
105MTotal revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its properties and is crucial for assessing growth.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will NHI's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.86?
A beat could indicate stronger-than-expected performance in the healthcare real estate sector, boosting investor confidence.
Q2
What are the occupancy rates across NHI's properties?
Occupancy rates are critical for revenue generation; any decline could signal underlying issues in property management or market demand.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate NHI's ability to maintain occupancy rates and manage costs effectively, leading to better-than-expected earnings.
Supporting Evidence
NHI has a history of beating EPS estimates, with a 63% success rate over the last eight quarters.
Recent trends in healthcare demand suggest a stable environment for NHI's properties.
Management's commitment to operational efficiencies could positively impact margins.
Key Risk
If occupancy rates fall below 90%, it could significantly impact revenue and earnings.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is focused on NHI's ability to maintain profitability amidst potential challenges in the healthcare real estate sector.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.90 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and demand for healthcare properties.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.79 would raise concerns about the company's growth prospects and operational challenges.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±4.2%
Historical Avg
±1.0%
The options market is pricing in a 4.2% move, indicating that traders expect some volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±5.8% while NHI has averaged ±1.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
30d HV
30.8%
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If NHI beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.42%, confirming positive market sentiment.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors await further commentary on future growth prospects.
Miss
A miss on earnings could result in a decline of approximately 0.19%, reflecting investor disappointment.
Preparation
House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
1 buy·0 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
Net buying
Recent Transactions
Traded Jan 15, 2026 · disclosed Feb 13, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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