Equity Profile
Pre-Earnings Brief
ONEOK, Inc. is a major player in the energy sector, focusing on the storage and transportation of oil and gas....
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing its costs and revenue.
Revenue Growth
While specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in revenue is critical for assessing the company's market position and operational efficiency.
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EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
63%
Avg EPS Surprise
+0.82%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.09%
In Q1-2026, ONEOK reported an EPS of $1.23, falling short of the estimate of $1.28, resulting in a slight stock increase of 2.32% the following day. This indicates some investor optimism despite the earnings miss.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, expectations for ONEOK's upcoming earnings are mixed due to the lack of analyst estimates and management guidance. Investors will be closely watching for any signs of recovery in profitability and revenue growth.
Bull Case
If ONEOK can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a positive trend in the energy sector, driving investor confidence.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company reports another earnings miss or weak guidance, it could raise concerns about its operational efficiency and market position.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing its costs and revenue.
Revenue Growth
N/AWhile specific revenue estimates are not available, growth in revenue is critical for assessing the company's market position and operational efficiency.
Operating Margin
N/AThis metric will provide insight into how efficiently ONEOK is operating in the current market environment.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?
EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.
Q2
How is ONEOK managing its operating costs in the current market?
Understanding cost management will be essential for assessing the company's ability to maintain margins and profitability.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating ONEOK's ability to rebound from its previous earnings miss, as operational efficiencies could lead to better-than-expected results this quarter.
Supporting Evidence
The options market is pricing a 4.45% move, indicating expectations for volatility that may not align with historical performance.
The historical trend shows that the stock has often reacted positively after earnings misses, suggesting potential for recovery.
Key Risk
If the EPS comes in above $1.30, it could significantly challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing ONEOK's ability to recover from previous earnings misses and improve its operational efficiency.
Bull Confirmed If
A reported EPS above $1.30 would confirm the bull case and indicate strong operational performance.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $1.20 would support the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±4.45%
Historical Avg
±0.76%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing a 4.45% move, while the stock has averaged only a 0.76% move over the last 8 quarters, indicating a rich setup.
ATM IV
0.3%
30d HV
28.0%
Edge
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich setup in Energy
n=30Fade rate: 18 of 26 (69%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 18 of 26 (69%) reversed within 5 days — this setup typically fades. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.8%, with a raw directional average of +1.1% (modestly positive historical bias).
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If ONEOK beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.61%, confirming a positive trend in profitability.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest management commentary.
Miss
A miss could lead to a downside move of approximately 0.61%, reflecting ongoing concerns about operational efficiency.
Preparation
House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
3
2 buys·1 sell
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$3,003.00–$45,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
3 trades
Mixed
Recent Transactions
Traded Feb 10, 2026 · disclosed Mar 9, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Jan 9, 2026 · disclosed Feb 13, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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SBA Communications Corporation
Traded Nov 18, 2025 · disclosed Dec 15, 2025
$1,001.00–$15,000.00