Materials·Commodity Chemicals·$3.0B
OLIN Corp is a materials company that specializes in commodity chemicals, which are essential for various industries including agriculture and manufacturing. With a market cap of $3 billion, its performance can be influenced by trends in global demand for chemicals and raw materials.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will help investors gauge financial health this quarter.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and meet operational costs.
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EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
50%
Avg EPS Surprise
+33.83%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.53%
In the last quarter, OLIN reported an EPS of -$0.75, missing estimates by nearly 30%. This disappointing result contributed to a slight decline in the stock price the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, expectations for OLIN's upcoming earnings are cautious given the recent performance and lack of guidance. Investors are looking for signs of recovery or continued challenges.
Bull Case
If OLIN can show a significant improvement in EPS and revenue growth, it may indicate a turnaround in operations and boost investor confidence.
Bear Case
Continued losses or a failure to meet expectations could further erode investor trust, leading to a more significant decline in stock price.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will help investors gauge financial health this quarter.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth is critical for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and meet operational costs.
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)
N/AUnderstanding COGS will provide insights into the company's efficiency and pricing strategies in the current market environment.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What is the expected EPS for this quarter?
Given the company's recent struggles, a clear EPS figure will be crucial for assessing its financial recovery.
Q2
How has the cost of raw materials impacted COGS?
Understanding the impact of raw material costs will help investors gauge the company's operational efficiency and pricing strategies.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate OLIN's ability to recover from recent losses, as operational adjustments could lead to improved margins.
Supporting Evidence
Options are pricing in a significant move of 13.47%, indicating heightened expectations for volatility.
The company's historical EPS surprises show a pattern of volatility that could lead to unexpected outcomes.
Recent trends in raw material pricing may favor OLIN's cost structure, potentially improving margins.
Key Risk
If the company reports an EPS above $0.10, it could challenge the current negative sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing the potential for recovery against the backdrop of recent losses and economic conditions.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS improvement to above $0.10 would confirm a positive shift in profitability.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below -$0.50 would indicate ongoing financial struggles.
Implied Move
±13.47%
Historical Avg
±1.0%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±13.5% while OLN has averaged ±1.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If OLIN beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.00%, confirming a positive trend.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of about 0.54%, reinforcing negative sentiment around the company.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
PARAMOUNT SKYDANCE C Class B
May 4, 2026