Equity Profile

PH

Parker-Hannifin Corporation

IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components$133.5B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) is a leading manufacturer in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in motion and control technologies. With a market cap of $134 billion, the company plays a crucial role in various industries, including aerospace, automotive, and energy, making it a key player in the industrial landscape.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if the company continues its trend of beating estimates.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market share and is essential for assessing overall business health.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PH Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.68%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.78%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Parker-Hannifin reported an EPS of $8.17, surpassing estimates by 4.04%. However, the stock reacted negatively, dropping 4.02% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations are mixed as the company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, but the recent stock price drop raises concerns about future performance.

Bull Case

If Parker-Hannifin continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and growth potential, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing growth, it could lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the recent negative reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed $8.17, and by how much?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this will be a key indicator of continued profitability and operational strength.

What are the revenue growth figures for this quarter?

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's market position and future potential, especially in light of recent stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Parker-Hannifin's ability to leverage operational efficiencies for higher EPS, especially given the recent historical performance.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past eight quarters, indicating strong management execution.

Options pricing suggests a lower expected move compared to historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $8.00, it could lead to a significant reevaluation of the company's growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis this quarter revolves around the company's ability to maintain or exceed its historical EPS performance amid market volatility.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $8.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong earnings momentum.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $8.00 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.89%

Historical Avg

±4.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 3.89%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while PH has averaged ±4.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.0%

Calls (97K)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (8K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 19 of 24 (79%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Parker-Hannifin beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 3.78%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors digest management commentary.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential drop of around 4.79%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OHDavid J. TaylorRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management initiatives and their impact on margins.
2Insights into demand trends in key sectors like aerospace and automotive.
3Management's outlook on supply chain challenges and their resolution.
4Discussion on new product developments and their expected market impact.
5Any commentary on macroeconomic conditions affecting the industrial sector.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if the company continues its trend of beating estimates.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market share and is essential for assessing overall business health.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PH Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.68%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.78%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Parker-Hannifin reported an EPS of $8.17, surpassing estimates by 4.04%. However, the stock reacted negatively, dropping 4.02% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations are mixed as the company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, but the recent stock price drop raises concerns about future performance.

Bull Case

If Parker-Hannifin continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and growth potential, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing growth, it could lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the recent negative reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed $8.17, and by how much?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this will be a key indicator of continued profitability and operational strength.

What are the revenue growth figures for this quarter?

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's market position and future potential, especially in light of recent stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Parker-Hannifin's ability to leverage operational efficiencies for higher EPS, especially given the recent historical performance.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past eight quarters, indicating strong management execution.

Options pricing suggests a lower expected move compared to historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $8.00, it could lead to a significant reevaluation of the company's growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core thesis this quarter revolves around the company's ability to maintain or exceed its historical EPS performance amid market volatility.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $8.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong earnings momentum.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $8.00 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.89%

Historical Avg

±4.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 3.89%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while PH has averaged ±4.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.0%

Calls (97K)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (8K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Parker-Hannifin beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 3.78%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors digest management commentary.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential drop of around 4.79%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OHDavid J. TaylorRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management initiatives and their impact on margins.
2Insights into demand trends in key sectors like aerospace and automotive.
3Management's outlook on supply chain challenges and their resolution.
4Discussion on new product developments and their expected market impact.
5Any commentary on macroeconomic conditions affecting the industrial sector.