Equity Profile

POOL

Pool Corporation

Consumer DiscretionaryDistributors$6.6B

Apr23Thu

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market7:00 AM EDT

Pool Corporation Beats on EPS, Stock Down 2.37%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.45	N/A	+8.53%
Revenue	N/A	N/A	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Pool Corporation Beats on EPS, Stock Down 2.37%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.45	N/A	+8.53%
Revenue	N/A	N/A	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Cautiously Optimistic

Management conveyed a cautiously optimistic outlook, emphasizing strong demand despite logistical challenges. They reiterated their commitment to navigating current market conditions.

Management highlighted strong demand in the pool supply segment.

They noted ongoing challenges in supply chain logistics.

The team expressed confidence in maintaining market leadership.

What It Means

Pool Corporation's earnings report shows a solid performance with an EPS beat, indicating effective cost management or strong sales. However, the stock fell by 2.37%, likely reflecting investor concerns about the lack of revenue data and ongoing supply chain issues. The cautious tone from management may also have contributed to the stock's decline.

Company Snapshot

POOL Corp is a leading distributor of swimming pool supplies and related products. As a key player in the consumer discretionary sector, it benefits from trends in home improvement and leisure spending, especially as more people invest in outdoor living spaces.

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

This metric will indicate how well POOL Corp is capitalizing on consumer spending in the pool and outdoor living market.

N/A

Gross Margin

Gross margin will show how effectively the company is managing its costs amidst potential inflationary pressures.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

-0.18%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, POOL Corp reported an EPS of $0.84, missing estimates by 15.15%. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 14.48% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautious ahead of POOL Corp's earnings report, especially after the significant miss last quarter. The market is looking for signs of recovery in revenue and profitability.

Bull Case

If POOL Corp can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a rebound in consumer spending and confidence in outdoor investments.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss on earnings and revenue expectations, it may indicate deeper issues in demand or cost management, leading to further stock declines.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of how well POOL Corp is performing in a competitive market, especially after last quarter's miss.

How is the company managing its gross margins in the current economic environment?

Understanding margin management will provide insights into the company's cost control measures and pricing strategies, which are crucial for profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in consumer spending on pool-related products, given the recent trends in home improvement investments.

Supporting Evidence

Historical data shows that POOL Corp has a 63% EPS beat rate, indicating potential for positive surprises.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting a lack of confidence in a significant change.

The recent trend in home improvement spending may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing the potential for recovery against the backdrop of previous earnings misses and current economic conditions.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of over 10% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

If EPS comes in below $0.80, it would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.9%

Historical Avg

±5.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a relatively modest move for POOL Corp's stock following the earnings report, suggesting uncertainty about the outcomes.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while POOL has averaged ±5.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

30d HV

27.8%

Calls (23K)P/C Ratio: 0.52Puts (12K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.8%, with a raw directional average of -0.2% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If POOL Corp beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 3.5%, confirming a positive outlook for consumer spending.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report with cautious management commentary may lead to a muted reaction, as investors seek clarity on future growth.

Miss

If the company misses again, history suggests a potential drop of around 6%, raising concerns about ongoing demand challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on consumer demand trends in the pool supply market.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on gross margins.
3Details on any new product lines or services that could drive future growth.
4Management's outlook on the overall economic environment and its effect on consumer spending.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding the company's competitive positioning.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

This metric will indicate how well POOL Corp is capitalizing on consumer spending in the pool and outdoor living market.

N/A

Gross Margin

Gross margin will show how effectively the company is managing its costs amidst potential inflationary pressures.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

63%

Avg EPS Surprise

-0.18%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.12%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, POOL Corp reported an EPS of $0.84, missing estimates by 15.15%. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 14.48% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautious ahead of POOL Corp's earnings report, especially after the significant miss last quarter. The market is looking for signs of recovery in revenue and profitability.

Bull Case

If POOL Corp can demonstrate strong revenue growth and improved margins, it could signal a rebound in consumer spending and confidence in outdoor investments.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss on earnings and revenue expectations, it may indicate deeper issues in demand or cost management, leading to further stock declines.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of how well POOL Corp is performing in a competitive market, especially after last quarter's miss.

How is the company managing its gross margins in the current economic environment?

Understanding margin management will provide insights into the company's cost control measures and pricing strategies, which are crucial for profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in consumer spending on pool-related products, given the recent trends in home improvement investments.

Supporting Evidence

Historical data shows that POOL Corp has a 63% EPS beat rate, indicating potential for positive surprises.

The options market is pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting a lack of confidence in a significant change.

The recent trend in home improvement spending may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing the potential for recovery against the backdrop of previous earnings misses and current economic conditions.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of over 10% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

If EPS comes in below $0.80, it would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.9%

Historical Avg

±5.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a relatively modest move for POOL Corp's stock following the earnings report, suggesting uncertainty about the outcomes.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while POOL has averaged ±5.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

30d HV

27.8%

Calls (23K)P/C Ratio: 0.52Puts (12K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If POOL Corp beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 3.5%, confirming a positive outlook for consumer spending.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report with cautious management commentary may lead to a muted reaction, as investors seek clarity on future growth.

Miss

If the company misses again, history suggests a potential drop of around 6%, raising concerns about ongoing demand challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on consumer demand trends in the pool supply market.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on gross margins.
3Details on any new product lines or services that could drive future growth.
4Management's outlook on the overall economic environment and its effect on consumer spending.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding the company's competitive positioning.