Equity Profile

SAIC

Science Applications International Corporation

IndustrialsResearch & Consulting Services$5.4B

Jun1Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2027Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) operates in the industrial sector, focusing on research and consulting services. The company plays a crucial role in providing technology solutions to government and commercial clients, which is increasingly important as industries adopt advanced technologies like AI and cloud computing.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well SAIC is managing costs and generating income.

$2.28

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which is vital for its long-term success.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

SAIC Q1-2027 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+18.79%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.64%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, SAIC reported an EPS of $2.62, significantly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.24% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect SAIC to report strong earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $2.28 and revenue of $1.8 billion. The company has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates.

Bull Case

If SAIC continues its trend of exceeding earnings expectations, it could see a significant stock price increase, especially if revenue growth is strong.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet the consensus estimates or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price, as seen in previous misses.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$2.28

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well SAIC is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.8B

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which is vital for its long-term success.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will SAIC's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $2.28?

A beat on EPS could reinforce investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

What guidance will management provide regarding future revenue growth?

Clear guidance on revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's trajectory and could significantly impact stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate SAIC's ability to leverage recent government contracts, which could lead to higher-than-expected revenue growth this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

SAIC has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, suggesting strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility that could favor a positive outcome.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in below $1.8 billion, it could undermine the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is focused on whether SAIC can maintain its strong performance and provide positive guidance, which will be critical for investor sentiment.

Bull Confirmed If

Reporting an EPS of $2.30 or higher with revenue exceeding $1.85 billion would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.17 or revenue below $1.8 billion would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±8.17%

Historical Avg

±8.0%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in an expected move of about 8.17% in either direction following the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±8.2% while SAIC has averaged ±8.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

25.3%

Calls (30K)P/C Ratio: 0.41Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If SAIC beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.32%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

If SAIC misses estimates, the stock could drop by approximately 12.51%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new government contracts or projects that could drive revenue.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
3Management's outlook on industry trends and how SAIC plans to adapt.
4Details on client retention rates and new client acquisitions.
5Any commentary on the impact of macroeconomic conditions on future performance.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well SAIC is managing costs and generating income.

$2.28

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which is vital for its long-term success.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

SAIC Q1-2027 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+18.79%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.64%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, SAIC reported an EPS of $2.62, significantly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.24% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect SAIC to report strong earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $2.28 and revenue of $1.8 billion. The company has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates.

Bull Case

If SAIC continues its trend of exceeding earnings expectations, it could see a significant stock price increase, especially if revenue growth is strong.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet the consensus estimates or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price, as seen in previous misses.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$2.28

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well SAIC is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.8B

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain clients, which is vital for its long-term success.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will SAIC's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $2.28?

A beat on EPS could reinforce investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

What guidance will management provide regarding future revenue growth?

Clear guidance on revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's trajectory and could significantly impact stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate SAIC's ability to leverage recent government contracts, which could lead to higher-than-expected revenue growth this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

SAIC has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, suggesting strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility that could favor a positive outcome.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in below $1.8 billion, it could undermine the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is focused on whether SAIC can maintain its strong performance and provide positive guidance, which will be critical for investor sentiment.

Bull Confirmed If

Reporting an EPS of $2.30 or higher with revenue exceeding $1.85 billion would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.17 or revenue below $1.8 billion would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±8.17%

Historical Avg

±8.0%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in an expected move of about 8.17% in either direction following the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±8.2% while SAIC has averaged ±8.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

25.3%

Calls (30K)P/C Ratio: 0.41Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If SAIC beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.32%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

If SAIC misses estimates, the stock could drop by approximately 12.51%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new government contracts or projects that could drive revenue.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
3Management's outlook on industry trends and how SAIC plans to adapt.
4Details on client retention rates and new client acquisitions.
5Any commentary on the impact of macroeconomic conditions on future performance.