Equity Profile

STAG

STAG Industrial, Inc.

Real EstateIndustrial REITs$7.3B

Apr28Tue

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:06 PM EDT

STAG Industrial, Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Up 0.2%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.65	$0.24	+0.00%
Revenue	N/A	$222M	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

STAG Industrial, Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Up 0.2%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.65	$0.24	+0.00%
Revenue	N/A	$222M	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Cautiously Optimistic

Overall, management conveyed a sense of cautious optimism regarding the company's financial health. They emphasized their focus on maintaining operational efficiencies.

Management expressed satisfaction with the EPS performance despite the lack of revenue data.

They highlighted ongoing operational efficiencies as a key driver for the positive EPS surprise.

What It Means

STAG Industrial's strong EPS performance indicates better-than-expected profitability, which likely contributed to the slight increase in stock price. However, the lack of revenue data leaves some uncertainty about overall business performance. Investors may be encouraged by the positive EPS surprise but will be looking for more comprehensive financial details in future reports.

Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

$0.24

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its properties and is crucial for assessing growth.

$222M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States. With a market cap of $7 billion, the company plays a significant role in the industrial real estate sector, which is influenced by trends in e-commerce and logistics.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.07%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, STAG reported an EPS of $0.66, beating estimates by 4.76%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect STAG to report steady earnings and revenue in Q1 2026, with a consensus EPS of $0.24 and revenue of $222 million. The market is watching closely for any signs of growth or challenges in the industrial real estate sector.

Bull Case

If STAG exceeds expectations, particularly in revenue growth, it could signal strong demand for industrial space, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about the sustainability of its growth, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.24

Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

Revenue

$222M

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its properties and is crucial for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will STAG's revenue meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $222 million?

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's performance and market demand for industrial properties.

What insights will management provide regarding future demand for industrial space?

Management's commentary on market conditions will help investors gauge the sustainability of STAG's growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for STAG to capitalize on increased demand for industrial space driven by e-commerce growth.

Supporting Evidence

STAG has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger performance than expected.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that traders anticipate significant news.

Recent trends in industrial leasing suggest a robust market, which may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If STAG's revenue comes in significantly above $222 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating the strength of demand for industrial real estate, which is critical for STAG's growth outlook.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue growth exceeding $222 million would confirm strong demand for industrial properties.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue miss below $222 million could signal weakening demand in the industrial sector.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.59%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 5.6%, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±3.6% while STAG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

19.8%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 0.24Puts (1K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STAG beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of +0.90%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in management's commentary about future growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a negative reaction, with historical patterns indicating a potential decline in stock value.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new property acquisitions or developments.
2Management's outlook on industrial space demand in the coming quarters.
3Details on rental rate trends and occupancy levels.
4Insights into potential challenges in the industrial real estate market.
5Any changes to dividend policy or capital allocation strategy.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

$0.24

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its properties and is crucial for assessing growth.

$222M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.07%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, STAG reported an EPS of $0.66, beating estimates by 4.76%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If STAG exceeds expectations, particularly in revenue growth, it could signal strong demand for industrial space, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about the sustainability of its growth, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.24

Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

Revenue

$222M

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its properties and is crucial for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will STAG's revenue meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $222 million?

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's performance and market demand for industrial properties.

What insights will management provide regarding future demand for industrial space?

Management's commentary on market conditions will help investors gauge the sustainability of STAG's growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for STAG to capitalize on increased demand for industrial space driven by e-commerce growth.

Supporting Evidence

STAG has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger performance than expected.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that traders anticipate significant news.

Recent trends in industrial leasing suggest a robust market, which may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If STAG's revenue comes in significantly above $222 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating the strength of demand for industrial real estate, which is critical for STAG's growth outlook.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue growth exceeding $222 million would confirm strong demand for industrial properties.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue miss below $222 million could signal weakening demand in the industrial sector.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.59%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 5.6%, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±3.6% while STAG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

19.8%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 0.24Puts (1K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STAG beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of +0.90%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in management's commentary about future growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a negative reaction, with historical patterns indicating a potential decline in stock value.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new property acquisitions or developments.
2Management's outlook on industrial space demand in the coming quarters.
3Details on rental rate trends and occupancy levels.
4Insights into potential challenges in the industrial real estate market.
5Any changes to dividend policy or capital allocation strategy.